As of 4 November 2026, TACTIX’s 10,000-run simulation gives Palermo a 75% chance of the title and Ascoli 18%. Sampdoria are the most likely to go down (52%). The table re-runs as results land; the model’s record is on the scoreboard.
| Pos | Club | Median finish | Proj. pts | Title | Promotion | Relegation | Move |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 1 | 78 | 75% | 92% | < 1% | – |
| 2 | Ascoli | 2 | 69 | 18% | 63% | < 1% | ▼ |
| 3 | Modena | 4 | 61 | 3% | 14% | < 1% | – |
| 4 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 59 | 1% | 9% | < 1% | – |
| 5 | Mantova | 6 | 58 | 1% | 7% | < 1% | – |
| 6 | Benevento | 6 | 58 | 1% | 6% | < 1% | – |
| 7 | Pisa | 6 | 58 | 1% | 6% | 1% | – |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 52 | < 1% | 1% | 3% | – |
| 9 | Avellino | 10 | 50 | < 1% | 1% | 5% | – |
| 10 | Cremonese | 11 | 49 | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | – |
| 11 | Padova | 11 | 49 | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | – |
| 12 | Sudtirol | 12 | 49 | < 1% | < 1% | 8% | – |
| 13 | Catanzaro | 13 | 46 | < 1% | < 1% | 17% | ▲ |
| 14 | Carrarese | 14 | 45 | < 1% | < 1% | 22% | – |
| 15 | Cesena | 15 | 44 | < 1% | < 1% | 29% | ▲ |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 16 | 43 | < 1% | < 1% | 32% | – |
| 17 | Empoli | 16 | 43 | < 1% | < 1% | 33% | – |
| 18 | Virtus Entella | 16 | 43 | < 1% | < 1% | 31% | ▼ |
| 19 | Arezzo | 17 | 40 | < 1% | < 1% | 50% | – |
| 20 | Sampdoria | 18 | 40 | < 1% | < 1% | 52% | ▼ |
Matchday: 31 October to 1 November. The simulation of 4 November (10,000 simulated seasons) against the last one before the matchday, 30 October (10,000).
Club-by-club detail is in the Serie B hub. How the model is checked: the scoreboard.
Updated 4 November 2026 · 10,000 simulated seasons · how the model is checked: /scoreboard
Use this table: the table as an image (PNG) · embed it on your site (free, with the credit).
18+. TACTIX predictions are model-informed analysis, not betting advice or guarantees. Accuracy shown counts rated picks (≥70% confidence) only; calibration is ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included). Please gamble responsibly — BeGambleAware.org.
