Free model picks
Serie B Predictions: Free Model Picks, Graded
10 Serie B fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Ascoli v Palermo (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT). 10 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Palermo lead the table on 26 points after 10 games, 6 points clear of Modena. C. Shpendi leads the scorers with 8 goals.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Serie B fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.2% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
This Round at a Glance
- Closest call: Ascoli v Palermo (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Vicenza Virtus v Cremonese (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:30 GMT) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
- Most goals among the free picks: Carrarese v Sampdoria (Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15 GMT) — the free pick is over 2.5 goals.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s 10 matches (from Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Palermo are unbeaten in their last 13 (all competitions we cover)
Catanzaro have scored in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Empoli are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Sudtirol are winless in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
Hellas Verona have scored in their last 12 (all competitions we cover)
Modena have scored in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
What the Data Says About Serie B
TACTIX lists 10 upcoming Serie B fixtures in the next ten days, 10 of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.2% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Serie B specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 31 from 45, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 5 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
10 fixtures in Serie B fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Ascoli v Palermo (Fri, 06 Nov 2026 19:30 GMT). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 10 of the 10 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free Serie B pick landed 31 of 45 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Palermo lead Serie B on 26 points from 10 games, six points clear of Modena (this season so far). Serie B is averaging 2.65 goals a game across 100 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: C. Shpendi on eight goals, A. Belotti on 7.
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Serie B at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Serie B — the baseline every Serie B match starts from before team form.
Serie B Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 24 | 12 | +12 | 26 |
| 2 | Modena | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 20 |
| 3 | Ascoli | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 6 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | Mantova | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Avellino | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 6 | Benevento | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 | Pisa | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 15 |
| 9 | Padova | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Sudtirol | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Cesena | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Arezzo | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Carrarese | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Juve Stabia | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Vicenza Virtus | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
| 18 | Empoli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 6 |
Current Serie B standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) Serie B pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- C. Shpendi8 G
- A. Belotti7 G
- Antonio Di Nardo7 G
- D. Johnsen7 G
- D. Mosquera7 G
Top Assists
- D. Johnsen5 A
- A. Castellini4 A
- A. Sarr4 A
- F. Maistro4 A
- M. Tramoni4 A
How These Picks Work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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Serie B Player Stats
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Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.