Yesterday in numbers, Monday, 12 October 2026: 35 matches finished across TACTIX's tracked competitions for 126 goals (3.60 per game), and only 1 rated pick settled on the day, too few to state as a strike rate. Every result is below with the probability the model stated for it before kick-off — as of 13 October 2026.
TACTIX daily review, 12 October 2026: 35 matches finished for 126 goals (3.60 per game); only 1 rated pick settled on the day, too few to state as a strike rate, as of 13 October 2026.
The day in numbers
35 matches finished — 126 goals (3.60 per game). The model made 1 rated match-result pick (≥70% confidence) — only 1 rated pick settled on the day — too small a sample to quote as a strike rate, so the count is reported and the rate is not. The full record, over every league and market, is on the live scoreboard.
Biggest surprise: CF Pachuca 3–3 Necaxa (Liga MX) — the model priced this result at 19.7% before kick-off. A whole week of results like this one is ranked every Monday in the TACTIX Upset Index.
Results by competition
Major League Soccer
- St. Louis City 6–2 Los Angeles Galaxy — the model priced this result at 73.6% pre-match; its rated 1X2 pick landed.
AFC Champions League Elite
- Pakhtakor 1–1 Al-Qadisiyah FC — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Al-Wasl FC 1–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Tractor Sazi 0–0 Al Shamal — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Al-Gharafa 1–2 Esteghlal FC — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Al-Nassr 3–1 Neftchi — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1–4 Al Ain — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Segunda División
- Valladolid 5–0 Albacete — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Burgos 0–1 Granada CF — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Oviedo 3–1 Eibar — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Tenerife 1–1 Girona — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Liga MX
- Atletico San Luis 1–2 Santos Laguna — the model priced this result at 31.8% pre-match (no rated pick — under the 70% tipping line).
- CF Pachuca 3–3 Necaxa — the model priced this result at 19.7% pre-match (no rated pick — under the 70% tipping line).
- U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3–3 Cruz Azul — the model priced this result at 20.3% pre-match (no rated pick — under the 70% tipping line).
Liga Profesional Argentina
- Talleres Cordoba 0–0 Independiente — the model priced this result at 22.4% pre-match (no rated pick — under the 70% tipping line).
- Lanus 2–0 Velez Sarsfield — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Gimnasia M. 1–0 Newells Old Boys — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Allsvenskan
- IF Elfsborg 4–0 Halmstad — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Malmo FF 1–0 Kalmar FF — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Ekstraklasa
- Radomiak Radom 2–3 Motor Lublin — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- GKS Katowice 2–1 Wieczysta Kraków — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Serie A
- Atalanta 3–1 Venezia — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Torino 2–1 Udinese — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Serie A
- Coritiba 1–1 Botafogo — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
- Chapecoense-sc 1–4 Atletico Paranaense — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Eliteserien
- KFUM Oslo 2–1 Valerenga — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
La Liga
- Levante 3–3 Sevilla — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Ligue 2
- Dijon 4–2 Metz — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Premier Division
- Shamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Premier League
- Livyi Bereh 1–3 Zorya Luhansk — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Premier League
- Coventry 4–1 Newcastle — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Primeira Liga
- Famalicao 1–4 Alverca — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Super League 1
- PAOK 1–3 Kalamata — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Süper Lig
- Eyüpspor 0–4 Göztepe — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Superliga
- Aarhus 3–0 Sonderjyske — no settled 1X2 model prediction for this fixture.
Priced low is not the same as wrong
A result the model priced at a low pre-match figure is not by itself a model failure — a calibrated model expects outcomes it prices at 20% to land about one time in five, so surprises arrive on schedule rather than never. The test that matters is the long run, and it is public: every settled prediction, winners and losers alike, is measured on the live TACTIX scoreboard.
How this review is computed
Source. Fixtures that finished on Monday, 12 October 2026 (UK time) in TACTIX's tracked competitions, joined to the model's settled match-result (1X2) predictions — the same measurement basis as the public scoreboard. Measure. For each finished match we show the figure the model stated for the result that actually happened, frozen before kick-off and graded after full-time; a competition's tally counts how many of its results the model graded and how many of its 1X2 picks landed. Nothing on this page looks forward: it reviews only the day already played.
Yesterday in numbers — FAQs
What is “Yesterday in numbers”?
It is the TACTIX daily model review: every fixture that finished the previous day (UK time) in the tracked competitions, with the final score and the figure the model stated for that exact result before kick-off. It is rebuilt every morning from the same settled records that feed the public scoreboard.
Why does each result show the model's pre-match figure?
Because that is the honest unit of review: the number was published before kick-off, frozen, and graded after full-time. Settled figures are public by design at TACTIX — showing them daily, misses included, is what keeps the record checkable.
Does a low-probability result mean the model was wrong?
Not by itself. A calibrated model expects outcomes it prices at 20% to land about one time in five, so occasional surprises are part of an honest forecast rather than a defect. What matters is the long-run record, which is published for every league and market — losers included — on the scoreboard.
Where can I see the longer-run record?
On the live TACTIX scoreboard, which carries calibration and settled results for every league and market. The approach is documented on the methodology page and in How accurate is TACTIX?.
More from TACTIX
- Live model scoreboard — calibration and settled results, losers included
- TACTIX Upset Index — the week's least likely results, ranked
- How accurate is TACTIX?
- Football predictions today — every match graded by model confidence
18+. TACTIX previews, predictions and reviews are model-informed analysis — not betting advice or guarantees. Please gamble responsibly — support at BeGambleAware.org.
This post is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically. How it works →
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