Free model picks
Premier League stats 2026/27: the model's view of every fixture
10 Premier League fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Aston Villa v Sunderland (Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). 0 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Arsenal lead the table on 27 points after 10 games, 5 points clear of Brighton.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Premier League fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.1% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Our Premier League predictions cover every fixture in the next ten days: 10 fixtures as of today, each with a free model pick for the likeliest outcome and the best UK bookmaker price we can find. Each pick is a calibrated probability rather than a tip, and it is graded in public after full time, win or lose.
Key Facts
Figures as of
The Premier League’s top scorer is E. Haaland with nine goals, two goals ahead of A. Isak (this season so far).
Across 100 matches (this season so far), the Premier League has produced 2.73 goals per game.
Bournemouth have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Hull City are winless in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Ipswich have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
About TACTIX’s Premier League Predictions
TACTIX publishes calibrated Premier League predictions for every upcoming fixture.
TACTIX runs every upcoming Premier League fixture through its model and grades each one by confidence — Gold, Silver or Bronze. Rather than headline a single flattering accuracy figure, TACTIX leads with calibration — how closely predicted probabilities track real results — measured in the open and refreshed continuously on the live scoreboard.
More on Premier League and Championship predictions and predicted tables
What the Data Says About Premier League
TACTIX lists 10 upcoming Premier League fixtures in the next ten days, none of them with a free model pick yet. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.1% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Premier League specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 21 from 37, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 12 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
10 fixtures in the Premier League fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Aston Villa v Sunderland (Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). Recent record: the free Premier League pick landed 21 of 37 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Arsenal lead the Premier League on 27 points from 10 games, five points clear of Brighton (this season so far). The Premier League is averaging 2.73 goals a game across 100 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: E. Haaland on nine goals, A. Isak on 7.
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Premier League at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Premier League — the baseline every Premier League match starts from before team form.
Premier League Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 | Brighton | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 | Manchester City | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 | Brentford | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Leeds | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Hull City | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 | Manchester United | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Sunderland | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
Current Premier League standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) Premier League pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- E. Haaland9 G
- A. Isak7 G
- N. Jackson6 G
- T. Barry6 G
- Evanilson5 G
Top Assists
- Declan Rice5 A
- Evanilson4 A
- J. McGinn4 A
- P. Groß4 A
- A. Semenyo3 A
How Are These Premier League Predictions Made?
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
Responsible Gambling
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy (BeGambleAware, GamCare, GAMSTOP).
Premier League Player Stats
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The day’s free model picks — each with its confidence tier and the tier’s settled record — in one email at 07:30 UK. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
See the Full Forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.
Frequently Asked Questions
- Are TACTIX’s Premier League predictions free?
- Yes. Every upcoming Premier League fixture carries a free TACTIX model pick with the best bookmaker price. The full win probability, expected goals (xG) and value across 240+ markets are part of TACTIX Pro.
- Which Premier League fixtures does this page cover?
- Every Premier League fixture in the next 10 days, each with a free model pick and, where bookmakers price it, the best available price; the list is refreshed daily.
- How is TACTIX’s Premier League record measured?
- Each prediction with a result is graded against it, losing predictions included. Across all competitions the model is calibrated to within ±0.1% over 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included), and the record by market is on the scoreboard.