Free model picks
12 Championship fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Bolton v Portsmouth (Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). 0 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Birmingham lead the table on 29 points after 15 games, level with Middlesbrough. W. Lankshear leads the scorers with 13 goals.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Championship fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.1% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Our Championship predictions list every second-tier fixture in the next ten days: 12 fixtures as of today, each carrying a free model pick and the best UK price. The Championship packs a lot of matches into a season, midweek rounds included, so check back often: the list refreshes daily and each pick with a result is graded after the final whistle.
Burnley are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Sheffield Utd have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Stoke City are unbeaten in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
West Brom are unbeaten in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
West Ham have scored in their last 20 (all competitions we cover)
Wolves have scored in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)

Looking for data-driven Championship predictions? TACTIX models every upcoming Championship fixture and grades it by confidence tier.
What TACTIX reports is not a headline win-rate but calibration — whether a stated probability actually holds up — published live and in full on the scoreboard, losing picks included.
TACTIX lists 12 upcoming Championship fixtures in the next ten days, none of them with a free model pick yet. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.1% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Championship specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 49 from 67, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 11 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
12 fixtures in the Championship fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Bolton v Portsmouth (Sat, 21 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT). Recent record: the free Championship pick landed 49 of 67 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
Birmingham lead the Championship on 29 points from 15 games, level with Middlesbrough (this season so far). The Championship is averaging 2.96 goals a game across 180 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: W. Lankshear on 13 goals, A. Guðjohnsen on 10.
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Long-run averages the model fits for Championship — the baseline every Championship match starts from before team form.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 28 | 14 | +14 | 29 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 19 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 29 |
| 4 | Wolves | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 18 | +8 | 28 |
| 5 | West Brom | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 15 | +8 | 28 |
| 6 | Swansea | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 18 | +4 | 26 |
| 7 | Southampton | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 15 | +14 | 24 |
| 8 | QPR | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | +6 | 24 |
| 9 | West Ham | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 37 | 23 | +14 | 23 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | +2 | 22 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | +2 | 22 |
| 12 | Norwich | 15 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 32 | 24 | +8 | 21 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 21 |
| 14 | Cardiff | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 27 | 27 | 0 | 18 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Millwall | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
| 17 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 18 |
| 18 | Bolton | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 17 |
| 19 | Charlton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 17 |
| 20 | Watford | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
| 21 | Lincoln | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
| 22 | Burnley | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 10 |
| 23 | Derby | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 30 | -16 | 10 |
| 24 | Preston | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 30 | -17 | 8 |
Current Championship standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
How the free (Bronze) Championship pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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The day’s free model picks — each with its confidence tier and the tier’s settled record — in one email at 07:30 UK. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.