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Liga Profesional Argentina xG table 2026

Expected points (xPts) from match expected goals, beside actual points · Updated 2026-10-19 · 239 matches with xG on both sides · xG source: apisports_proxy

As of 19 October 2026, Aldosivi have 11.3 fewer points than their expected goals suggest — the unluckiest side in Liga Profesional Argentina on expected points. Independ. Rivadavia are the luckiest (9.4 more). Argentinos JRS lead the Liga Profesional Argentina on 34 points; River Plate top the expected-points column on 34.4 xPts.

#	Club	P	Pts	xPts	Diff
1	Argentinos JRS	17	34	29.7	+4.3
2	Independ. Rivadavia	16	34	24.6	+9.4
3	River Plate	18	33	34.4	-1.4
4	Rosario Central	18	33	28.7	+4.3
5	Estudiantes L.P.	16	31	24.6	+6.4
6	Boca Juniors	16	29	25.0	+4.0
7	Belgrano Cordoba	17	29	24.0	+5.0
8	Velez Sarsfield	17	28	23.5	+4.5
9	Gimnasia L.P.	17	26	18.3	+7.7
10	Huracan	17	25	23.4	+1.6
11	Union Santa Fe	18	24	31.5	-7.5
12	Racing Club	18	24	27.3	-3.3
13	Independiente	17	24	25.2	-1.2
14	Talleres Cordoba	16	23	22.9	+0.1
15	San Lorenzo	16	22	17.9	+4.1
16	Instituto Cordoba	15	21	25.2	-4.2
17	Lanus	16	21	23.4	-2.4
18	Sarmiento Junin	16	19	17.5	+1.5
19	Defensa Y Justicia	15	18	17.5	+0.5
20	Barracas Central	15	18	17.4	+0.6
21	Banfield	15	18	15.3	+2.7
22	Tigre	15	17	24.1	-7.1
23	Platense	15	15	19.1	-4.1
24	Gimnasia M.	14	15	17.2	-2.2
25	Central Cordoba de Santiago	14	15	11.2	+3.8
26	Newells Old Boys	15	14	19.7	-5.7
27	Atletico Tucuman	15	13	20.9	-7.9
28	Deportivo Riestra	15	10	19.3	-9.3
29	Aldosivi	15	7	18.3	-11.3
30	Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto	14	5	15.9	-10.9

Sorted by actual points. Diff = points − xPts. Download this table as CSV.

How to read this table

Expected goals measure the quality of the chances a side created and conceded; expected points convert each match’s xG pair into the points a side would earn on average from chances of that quality. A club well above its xPts has been winning tighter matches than the chances suggest; a club well below has been losing them. Neither is a prediction on its own, but a large gap is the first thing to check before trusting a position in the real table.

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Questions this page answers

What is an xG table?: An xG (expected-goals) table replaces goals with expected goals. For every finished Liga Profesional Argentina match, each club’s expected points (xPts) are computed from the two sides’ expected goals using a Poisson goal model; the table then shows those xPts beside the points actually won.
How is xPts calculated?: For each match the probabilities of a home win, a draw and an away win are derived from the two expected-goal figures (a Poisson model over 0–10 goals per side). xPts for a side is 3 × P(win) + 1 × P(draw). A club’s season xPts is the sum over its matches with expected-goals data on both sides.
What does the diff column mean?: Diff is actual points minus expected points. A positive number means the club has taken more points than its underlying chances suggest — often finishing or goalkeeping above the model, or luck; a negative number means the reverse. Over a season the column tends to shrink towards zero.

Expected goals and expected points are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ — please gamble responsibly (BeGambleAware.org).