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Liga Profesional Argentina predictions: free model picks, graded
18 Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Newells Old Boys v Central Cordoba de Santiago (Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:00 BST). 18 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Instituto Cordoba lead the table on 29 points after 13 games, 4 points clear of Rosario Central.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.5% across 8M+ settled predictions — the full win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Key facts
As of 19 October 2026: After 13 games Instituto Cordoba top Liga Profesional Argentina with 29 points, Rosario Central next at 25 (this season so far).
As of 19 October 2026: Cristian Tarragona leads the Liga Profesional Argentina scorers with 14 goals, level with J. Caicedo — this season so far.
As of 19 October 2026: Across 192 matches (this season so far), Liga Profesional Argentina has produced 2.28 goals per game.
This round at a glance
- Closest call: Deportivo Riestra v Union Santa Fe (Tue, 20 Oct 2026 01:15 BST) — the smallest gap of the round between the two sides’ chances of winning, by the model.
- Likeliest draw: Sarmiento Junin v Barracas Central (Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:00 BST) — the highest draw chance of the round, by the model.
Each line ranks the model’s own probabilities for the round’s three matches (from Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:00 BST); the favourite and goals lines rank the free picks only. The probabilities themselves, and every market, are on each match page with Pro.
Central Cordoba de Santiago are winless in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Sarmiento Junin have scored in their last 12 (all competitions we cover)
Deportivo Riestra are winless in their last 10 (all competitions we cover)
Sarmiento Junin have scored in their last 12 (all competitions we cover)
Tigre are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
Lanus are unbeaten in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Rosario Central have scored in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
Deportivo Riestra are winless in their last 10 (all competitions we cover)
River Plate have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Central Cordoba de Santiago are winless in their last 8 (all competitions we cover)
What the data says about Liga Profesional Argentina
TACTIX lists 18 upcoming Liga Profesional Argentina fixtures in the next ten days, 18 of them with a free model pick — the single strongest lean in the 62–80% probability band — shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.5% mean calibration error across an 8M+-prediction track record; the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Liga Profesional Argentina specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 25 from 36, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 19 Oct 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
18 fixtures in Liga Profesional Argentina fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Newells Old Boys v Central Cordoba de Santiago (Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:00 BST). TACTIX’s free pick is posted on 18 of the 18 fixtures in the next 10 days; the remaining markets on every match are Pro. Recent record: the free Liga Profesional Argentina pick landed 25 of 36 over the last 30 days (every pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Instituto Cordoba lead Liga Profesional Argentina on 29 points from 13 games, four points clear of Rosario Central (this season so far). Liga Profesional Argentina is averaging 2.28 goals a game across 192 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: Cristian Tarragona on 14 goals, J. Caicedo on 14.
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Liga Profesional Argentina at a glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Liga Profesional Argentina — the baseline every Liga Profesional Argentina match starts from before team form.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 29 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 11 | +9 | 25 |
| 3 | Argentinos JRS | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +6 | 25 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 21 | 14 | +7 | 24 |
| 5 | Defensa Y Justicia | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +6 | 24 |
| 6 | Velez Sarsfield | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 24 |
| 7 | Lanus | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 9 | +7 | 23 |
| 8 | Belgrano Cordoba | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 22 |
| 9 | Gimnasia L.P. | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 18 | +1 | 22 |
| 10 | River Plate | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 13 | +5 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 18 | +3 | 20 |
| 12 | Gimnasia M. | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 20 |
| 13 | Huracan | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 19 |
| 14 | Independiente | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 19 |
| 15 | Independ. Rivadavia | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
| 16 | Barracas Central | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 18 |
| 17 | Newells Old Boys | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 17 |
| 18 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 17 |
| 19 | Estudiantes L.P. | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 15 | +1 | 14 |
| 20 | Atletico Tucuman | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 21 | Tigre | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 22 | Union Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 13 |
| 23 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 12 |
| 25 | Deportivo Riestra | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 26 | Platense | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 11 |
| 27 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 28 | Talleres Cordoba | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 20 | -8 | 9 |
| 29 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
| 30 | Aldosivi | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 8 |
Current Liga Profesional Argentina standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 days
How the free (Bronze) Liga Profesional Argentina pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season leaders
Top scorers
- Cristian Tarragona14 G
- J. Caicedo14 G
- Junior Marabel14 G
- A. Módica13 G
- Gabriel Ávalos11 G
Top assists
How these picks work
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
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Liga Profesional Argentina player stats
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Win probability, xG and value across 30+ markets for every fixture.