Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück prediction

2. Bundesliga ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück, 2. Bundesliga on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 12:30 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.4% of 645 landed (95% range 61.7–69%); it had given them 76.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Arminia Bielefeld host VfL Osnabrück in the 2. Bundesliga on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Arminia Bielefeld have scored in nine consecutive matches. Both teams scored in 12 of Arminia Bielefeld’s last 15 results (80%).

VfL Osnabrück have scored in six consecutive matches.

Form and the table

11 of Arminia Bielefeld’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). At home, Arminia Bielefeld have three wins, four draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 2.43 and conceding 1.14. Arminia Bielefeld have scored 11 goals, the eighth-most of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Arminia Bielefeld have conceded 12 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

VfL Osnabrück are winless in their last three matches. 11 of VfL Osnabrück’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of VfL Osnabrück’s last 15 results (60%). Away from home, VfL Osnabrück have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.17. VfL Osnabrück have scored 10 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). VfL Osnabrück have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Arminia Bielefeld (ninth) and VfL Osnabrück (10th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Arminia Bielefeld the stronger side, 109 rating points above VfL Osnabrück (Arminia Bielefeld 1543, VfL Osnabrück 1434, after at least 111 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 May 2020, finished Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Osnabruck.

Team news

Predicted Arminia Bielefeld XI (4-1-4-1): J. Kersken, M. Bauer, M. Großer, H. Koudossou, A. Sicker, S. Russo, M. Wörl, M. Momuluh, J. Rochelt, M. Mehlem, J. Grodowski — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, J. Grodowski (4.9 per match over eight appearances, six goals and one assist) and S. Russo (4.0 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been Arminia Bielefeld’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Arminia Bielefeld (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. Grodowski averages 1.7 shots per 90 over 709 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. S. Russo averages 0.6 key passes per 90 over 735 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last eight appearances.

Predicted VfL Osnabrück XI (3-4-2-1): J. Krumrey, N. Wiemann, R. Fabinski, J. Muller, B. Jacobsen, P. Kammerbauer, F. Wagner, J. Gómez, D. Kyereh, A. Beck, R. Meissner — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, A. Beck (4.6 per match over six appearances, two assists) and R. Fabinski (4.3 per match over eight appearances, one goal) have been VfL Osnabrück’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Osnabrück (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Beck averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 672 minutes, with a shot in four of the last eight appearances. R. Fabinski averages 3.2 tackles per 90 over 727 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · 2. Bundesliga
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 2): Arminia Bielefeld 1 · draws 1 · VfL Osnabrück 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Arminia Bielefeld 1W 2D 2L · VfL Osnabrück 1W 2D 2L

As of 13 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.38
Goals
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
6 / 3
Corners
against 6 / 7.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.88 / 4.63
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 5.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.25 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.88 / 2.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameArminia Bielefeld for / againstLineVfL Osnabrück for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.25our book
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
Corners won
6 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
3 for · 7.25 against n 8
Shots
13.25 for · 13.63 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 19 against n 8
Shots on target
3.88 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
4.63 for · 5.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 13.25 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.25 for · 2.88 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.63 against n 8
Arminia Bielefeld
Arminia Bielefeld — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Min n 831.3
46/4
1.43/1
—
J. Felix n 860.1
2.25/4
0.61/1
—
L. Jensen n 846.3
2.26/3
0.21/0
—
Roberts Uldriķis n 835.9
1.94/2
0.91/1
—
M. Mehlem n 864
1.86/3
1.66/2
—
Arminia Bielefeld — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Benjamin Bediako Boakye n 831.1
2.25/1
0.72/0
Roberts Uldriķis n 835.9
1.94/2
0.31/0
J. Grodowski n 888.6
1.77/4
1.36/3
M. Momuluh n 876.3
1.57/3
0.43/0
M. Wörl n 867.9
1.55/3
0.52/1
Arminia Bielefeld — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Grodowski n 888.6
0.84/1
0.11/0
D. Min n 831.3
0.41/0
00/0
Benjamin Bediako Boakye n 831.1
0.41/0
00/0
I. Young n 827
00/0
0.41/0
M. Wörl n 867.9
0.32/0
00/0
Arminia Bielefeld — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Sicker n 879.1
37/6
L. Jensen n 846.3
2.97/4
S. Schreck n 836.8
2.45/2
M. Momuluh n 876.3
2.28/4
T. Handwerker n 866.8
2.26/4
Arminia Bielefeld — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Kersken n 893.8
3.27/6
VfL Osnabrück
VfL Osnabrück — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Opitz n 812
3.83/1
00/0
—
L. Raimund n 813.8
2.53/0
1.62/0
—
L. Munst n 748.1
2.16/2
2.46/2
—
L. Flach n 847.4
2.15/2
1.93/3
—
J. Abu Hanna n 843.3
2.14/2
13/1
—
VfL Osnabrück — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Bernd Riesselmann n 731.6
2.94/1
1.22/1
R. Meissner n 886.6
2.38/6
1.46/4
Ismail Badjie n 659
2.36/1
1.34/1
D. Kopacz n 371.7
2.12/2
1.32/1
B. Henning n 329.7
22/0
00/0
VfL Osnabrück — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
D. Kopacz n 371.7
0.41/0
0.41/0
K. Faber n 829.4
00/0
0.81/1
R. Meissner n 886.6
0.43/0
00/0
D. Kyereh n 828
0.41/0
00/0
A. Beck n 884
00/0
0.32/0
VfL Osnabrück — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
L. Flach n 847.4
3.65/5
R. Fabinski n 890.9
3.27/7
N. Wiemann n 890.9
2.78/7
L. Raimund n 813.8
2.53/0
F. Wagner n 872.4
2.37/5
VfL Osnabrück — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 11 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Krumrey n 890.9
3.66/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Arminia BielefeldLDLDW
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
VfL OsnabrückLWLDD
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 2
Arminia Bielefeld 1 · 1 draw · VfL Osnabrück 0 · 1.5 goals/game
  • 2020-05-17 Arminia Bielefeld 1–1 VfL Osnabruck
  • 2019-10-07 VfL Osnabruck 0–1 Arminia Bielefeld
League standing · 2026/27
Arminia Bielefeld#9 pos8 pts7 pl-1 GD
VfL Osnabrück#10 pos8 pts7 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Arminia Bielefeld scored1.57
VfL Osnabrück scored1.43
Arminia Bielefeld conceded1.71
VfL Osnabrück conceded1.86

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück?
In their last 2 meetings, Arminia Bielefeld won 1, VfL Osnabrück won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Arminia Bielefeld and VfL Osnabrück?
Recent form — Arminia Bielefeld 1W 2D 2L; VfL Osnabrück 1W 2D 2L.

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