Free model picks
19 upcoming fixtures in the next 10 days have Away win as TACTIX’s single free model pick. The first is Navalcarnero v Real Betis (Copa del Rey), Thu, 12 Nov 2026 18:00 GMT. Each card shows the pick and the best bookmaker price; the model’s probabilities are part of Pro.
The model’s record: ±0.1% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included). Each match is graded on the forecasts of the one model that served it. Pre-match forecasts only; 4,256,462 written after kick-off are not counted. Since 1 Nov 2026, the record counts forecasts written before kick-off only. No prediction is sure — probabilities are estimates. 18+ | BeGambleAware.org
Every upcoming fixture where the TACTIX model’s free pick is Away win, with the best bookmaker price. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline — the full win probability, xG and value are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Spain are unbeaten in their last 20 (all competitions we cover)
Sochaux are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Peterborough are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)
Gateshead are winless in their last 15 (all competitions we cover)
Senegal have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
Kazakhstan are winless in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Brazil have scored in their last 16 (all competitions we cover)
Qatar are winless in their last 6 (all competitions we cover)

TACTIX lists 19 upcoming fixtures whose free model pick is Away win, each shown with the best bookmaker price at build time. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.1% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. For this market specifically the published calibration error is ±5.3% across 25,500 settled predictions. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 10 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
A fixture appears here when Away win is the model’s single strongest free lean for that match. One free pick per game, label and best price only — the complete forecast (calibrated probability, xG, value vs the market) opens with Pro. The live record, losers included, is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy.
The day’s free model picks — each with its confidence tier and the tier’s settled record — in one email at 07:30 UK. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.