Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg result

Full-time · Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg

2. Bundesliga · · LEAG Energie Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Energie Cottbus · 1. FC Nürnberg

The model’s pre-match pick

Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg — this 2. Bundesliga match was drawn. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
Best price: 1.34 at Betano
What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg drew 1–1 at LEAG Energie Stadion in the 2. Bundesliga on Friday 16 October. Expected goals (xG) tell a different story: Energie Cottbus, from fewer shots (14 to 19), created the better chances, 1.91 xG to 1.37 (the provider’s expected goals for this match). Variance.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — Energie Cottbus: J. Butler (56’, assisted by L. Bittencourt); 1. FC Nürnberg: S. Mkrtchyan (79’, assisted by E. Porstner).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Mkrtchyan’s goal on 79 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Energie Cottbus: Henry Rorig (45+1’), Tolcay Cigerci (68’) and Christian Kinsombi (90+1’); 1. FC Nürnberg: A. Marhiev (34’) and A. Kalogeropoulos (61’).

What it changes

Energie Cottbus move down from seventh to eighth (eight league matches played).

1. FC Nürnberg stay second after this result (eight league matches played).

Energie Cottbus are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. 1. FC Nürnberg are unbeaten in their last 14 matches in all competitions. Energie Cottbus have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions. 1. FC Nürnberg have scored in 14 consecutive matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, E. Porstner (1. FC Nürnberg) 6.2, L. Bittencourt (Energie Cottbus) 5.6 and J. Butler (Energie Cottbus) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Energie Cottbus next travel to 1. FC Heidenheim on 24 October 2026.

1. FC Nürnberg next host 1. FC Kaiserslautern on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Energie Cottbus: 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for 1. FC Nürnberg: 1. FC Nürnberg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg · 2. Bundesliga
  • Venue: LEAG Energie Stadion · Cottbus
  • Referee: Felix Bickel
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Energie Cottbus 1W 2D 2L · 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L

Energie Cottbus 1–1 1. FC Nürnberg (2. Bundesliga): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 2.63
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.75
over 8 matches
7.88 / 5.38
Corners
against 5.5 / 5.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 6.63
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 4.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 2.25
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 10 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameEnergie Cottbus for / againstLine1. FC Nürnberg for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.75our book
2.63 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
7.88 for · 5.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.38 for · 5.88 against n 8
Shots
17 for · 17.63 against n 8
19.5standard
16.5 for · 15 against n 8
Shots on target
5.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
6.63 for · 4.38 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 14.38 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8

Referee: Felix Bickel.

Energie Cottbus
Energie Cottbus — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Fousseny Doumbia n 838.4
2.66/2
0.92/1
—
Erik Engelhardt n 676
2.44/3
1.44/2
—
Moritz Hannemann n 853
2.16/3
1.55/2
—
L. Bittencourt n 862.8
26/4
2.25/4
J. Fernandez
Tolcay Cigerci n 874.5
1.77/3
1.46/1
—
Energie Cottbus — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Dmytro Bohdanov n 816.3
4.83/3
2.13/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 874.5
37/6
1.25/2
J. Butler n 855.6
2.66/4
1.85/2
Lucas Copado n 853.4
2.35/4
1.75/3
Christian Kinsombi n 840
25/1
0.62/0
Energie Cottbus — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Dmytro Bohdanov n 816.3
1.42/0
00/0
J. Butler n 855.6
0.84/0
0.21/0
Tolcay Cigerci n 874.5
0.63/1
0.21/0
Lucas Copado n 853.4
0.42/0
0.21/0
Lukas Michelbrink n 877.9
0.32/0
0.11/0
Energie Cottbus — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Campulka n 446.3
2.43/2
L. Bittencourt n 862.8
2.26/3
R. Malone n 864.5
2.16/4
D. Pelivan n 847.4
1.94/3
King Samuel Manu n 890
1.68/4
Energie Cottbus — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Lotka n 890
47/6
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Nürnberg — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
C. Y. Moustfa n 342.7
2.82/1
2.12/1
—
A. Marhiev n 881.3
2.27/3
3.27/7
—
J. Fernandez n 892.1
28/5
1.26/4
L. Bittencourt
Rafael Lubach n 828.5
24/1
24/1
—
A. Grimaldi n 830.3
1.53/1
0.72/0
—
1. FC Nürnberg — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Scobel n 882.1
3.88/6
2.15/5
R. Ghrieb n 816.1
2.82/1
0.71/0
W. Bøving n 816.6
2.73/1
0.71/0
M. Zoma n 876.3
2.26/5
1.36/3
J. Justvan n 878.6
2.15/4
1.14/3
1. FC Nürnberg — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Scobel n 882.1
0.84/2
0.11/0
W. Bøving n 816.6
0.71/0
00/0
R. Ghrieb n 816.1
00/0
0.71/0
M. Zoma n 876.3
0.64/0
00/0
J. Justvan n 878.6
0.42/1
0.11/0
1. FC Nürnberg — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Rafael Lubach n 828.5
5.18/3
G. Masouras n 843.9
2.85/3
Tobias Hess n 322.3
2.72/0
Marko Soldic n 89.5
2.42/0
A. Marhiev n 881.3
2.17/4
1. FC Nürnberg — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 10 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Reichert n 893.8
2.85/5

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Energie Cottbus1. FC Nürnberg
38%Possession62%
1.91Expected goals (xG)1.37
14Shots19
5Shots on target5
6Shots off target8
3Blocked shots6
11Shots inside the box13
2Corners8
2Offsides1
9Fouls12
3Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
4Saves4
324Passes525

Energie Cottbus player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
M. Lotka9000000007
Lucas Copado9000103106.8
Lukas Michelbrink9000211306.6
Moritz Hannemann9000102206.5
Luca Erlein9000000207.2
Tolcay Cigerci90004242Y6.7
King Samuel Manu8200110107.1
J. Butler8010410007.4
Henry Rorig80001003Y6.3
L. Bittencourt6501002307.7
L. Guwara6500001106.4
D. Pelivan2500000006.5
Fousseny Doumbia2500000006.6
Dmytro Bohdanov1000001006.8
Christian Kinsombi10000000Y6.3
T. Campulka800000006.7

1. FC Nürnberg player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
P. Scobel9000510006.4
E. Porstner9001004207.1
F. Otto9000001107.2
A. Marhiev90002002Y6.6
J. Justvan9000315006.5
T. Janisch9000101006.7
J. Fernandez9000311106.4
J. Reichert9000000007.4
A. Kalogeropoulos66000003Y6.8
R. Ghrieb6500113106.5
W. Bøving5700101207
M. Zoma3300100006.1
Rafael Lubach2500101006.6
S. Mkrtchyan2410110008

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Energie CottbusLDWDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 2.4 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
1. FC NürnbergWDWWD
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Energie Cottbus#9 pos9 pts8 pl-1 GD
1. FC Nürnberg#2 pos18 pts8 pl+10 GD
Goals per game
Energie Cottbus scored2
1. FC Nürnberg scored2.63
Energie Cottbus conceded2.13
1. FC Nürnberg conceded1.38

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Energie Cottbus v 1. FC Nürnberg was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.34 at Betano).
What is the recent form of Energie Cottbus and 1. FC Nürnberg?
Recent form — Energie Cottbus 1W 2D 2L; 1. FC Nürnberg 3W 2D 0L.

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