Al Ain v Tractor Sazi prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Al Ain v Tractor Sazi, AFC Champions League Elite on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Ain host Tractor Sazi in AFC Champions League Elite on Monday 26 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Al Ain’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Al Ain’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Al Ain have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 2.29 and conceding 2.29.

Six of Tractor Sazi’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Tractor Sazi’s last 15 results in all competitions (33%). Away from home, Tractor Sazi have four wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 2.00 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.71.

Al Ain have won their last three matches in all competitions. Tractor Sazi are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Tractor Sazi have failed to score in their last three matches in all competitions. Al Ain (first) and Tractor Sazi (12th) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al Ain the stronger side, 183 rating points above Tractor Sazi (Al Ain 1696, Tractor Sazi 1512, after at least 25 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · Hazza Bin Zayed Stadium
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Al Ain 3W 0D 2L · Tractor Sazi 1W 1D 3L

Al Ain v Tractor Sazi (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 0.75
Goals
against 2.25 / 0.88 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.75 / 3.13
Corners
against 6.25 / 4.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 3.25
Shots on target
against 4.88 / 4.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.63 / 1.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl Ain for / againstLineTractor Sazi for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
4.75 for · 6.25 against n 8
9.5standard
3.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
Shots
13.13 for · 14.38 against n 8
19.5standard
11.13 for · 15.13 against n 8
Shots on target
4.63 for · 4.88 against n 8
8.5standard
3.25 for · 4.88 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.25 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
8.38 for · 8.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
Al Ain
Al Ain — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Facundo Zabala n 872.4
1.97/3
0.83/2
—
Mohammed Al Baloushi n 854.1
1.95/3
0.83/1
—
Erik n 846.9
1.96/2
1.23/2
—
Mohamed Awadalla n 381.3
1.83/2
2.22/2
—
Fábio Cardoso n 882.1
1.64/4
0.43/0
—
Al Ain — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Rahimi n 546.2
5.13/3
3.13/2
K. Laba n 871.4
2.77/5
1.36/2
S. Rahimi n 843.4
2.35/2
1.85/2
Mohamed Awadalla n 381.3
1.52/2
0.41/0
Erik n 846.9
1.45/1
0.51/1
Al Ain — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Rahimi n 546.2
1.62/2
00/0
S. Rahimi n 843.4
0.83/0
0.83/0
A. Romero n 844
0.52/0
0.51/1
Rafael Rodrigues n 869.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
K. Laba n 871.4
0.32/0
00/0
Al Ain — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Jašić n 854.9
4.15/3
Y. Ben Khaleq n 390
3.73/2
Facundo Zabala n 872.4
3.67/5
Rafael Rodrigues n 869.3
2.97/6
Bandar Al Ahbabi n 888.1
2.68/5
Al Ain — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Khalid Eisa n 890
2.35/3
Tractor Sazi
Tractor Sazi — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Kazemayni n 720.4
3.84/1
00/0
—
S. Moghanlou n 828.8
2.34/1
1.63/1
—
R. Lushkja n 659.5
1.85/2
1.55/1
—
S. Khalilzadeh n 889.4
1.58/3
0.32/0
—
S. Moharrami n 845.8
1.53/2
1.73/2
—
Tractor Sazi — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Moghanlou n 828.8
2.74/3
0.41/0
A. Hosseinzadeh n 870.1
1.95/4
0.84/1
T. Halilović n 885.6
1.67/4
0.42/1
D. Drožđek n 862.1
1.64/3
1.13/2
R. Lushkja n 659.5
1.54/2
1.34/1
Tractor Sazi — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Kazemayni n 720.4
0.61/0
0.61/0
R. Lushkja n 659.5
0.82/1
00/0
M. Torabi n 853.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
T. Štrkalj n 843.6
00/0
0.52/0
M. Hashemnejad n 882
0.32/0
0.11/0
Tractor Sazi — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Moharrami n 845.8
4.76/4
M. Kazemayni n 720.4
3.12/1
S. Khalilzadeh n 889.4
2.58/7
S. Moghanlou n 828.8
2.35/1
M. Naderi n 888.9
26/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al Ain v Tractor Sazi — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al AinLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Tractor SaziLWLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Al Ain#1 pos6 pts2 pl+7 GD
Tractor Sazi#12 pos1 pts2 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Al Ain scored4
Tractor Sazi scored0
Al Ain conceded0.5
Tractor Sazi conceded0.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al Ain v Tractor Sazi?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Ain v Tractor Sazi is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Al Ain and Tractor Sazi?
Recent form — Al Ain 3W 0D 2L; Tractor Sazi 1W 1D 3L.

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