Al-Nassr v Al-Wasl FC prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · Al-Awwal Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Al-Nassr v Al-Wasl FC, AFC Champions League Elite on Mon, 26 Oct 2026 18:15 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 634 landed (95% range 62.2–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Nassr host Al-Wasl FC in AFC Champions League Elite on Monday 26 October (kick-off 18:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

12 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Nassr’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Al-Nassr have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.75.

11 of Al-Wasl FC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of Al-Wasl FC’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Al-Wasl FC have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 2.00.

Al-Wasl FC have lost their last three matches in all competitions. Al-Nassr (eighth) and Al-Wasl FC (14th) are three points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Al-Nassr the stronger side, 350 rating points above Al-Wasl FC (Al-Nassr 1744, Al-Wasl FC 1394, after at least 24 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Al-Nassr are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Al-Wasl FC. The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Al-Wasl FC 0–4 Al-Nassr.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, S. Mané (5.2 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and three assists) and Ângelo (4.7 per match over nine appearances, four goals and two assists) have been Al-Nassr’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Al-Nassr (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), S. Mané averages 2.6 key passes per 90 over 1285 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Ângelo averages 2.4 key passes per 90 over 634 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Elite · Al-Awwal Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Al-Nassr 3 · draws 0 · Al-Wasl FC 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • Recent form: Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L · Al-Wasl FC 1W 0D 4L

Al-Nassr v Al-Wasl FC (AFC Champions League Elite): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.88 / 1.63
Goals
against 1.5 / 2.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
8.5 / 7
Corners
against 3.75 / 3.14 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
5.75 / 5.29
Shots on target
against 3 / 4.29 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.75 / 1.88
Cards
against 2.38 / 2 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Nassr for / againstLineAl-Wasl FC for / against
Goals scored
1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
8.5 for · 3.75 against n 8
9.5standard
7 for · 3.14 against n 7
Shots
16 for · 9.63 against n 8
19.5standard
15 for · 10.43 against n 7
Shots on target
5.75 for · 3 against n 8
8.5standard
5.29 for · 4.29 against n 7
Fouls committed
11.63 for · 10 against n 8
21.5standard
10 for · 10.43 against n 7
Cards shown
1.75 for · 2.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.88 for · 2 against n 8
Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Samú Costa n 883.5
36/5
1.66/3
—
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
2.63/1
23/1
—
Nader Al Sharari n 89.8
2.32/0
2.32/0
—
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
2.16/1
0.92/1
—
Abdullah Al Khaibari n 848.5
1.44/2
0.92/1
—
Al-Nassr — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
4.16/1
1.53/0
Cristiano Ronaldo n 885.9
3.78/7
1.77/4
S. Mané n 888.8
1.86/5
0.94/2
João Félix n 878.3
1.77/5
15/2
K. Coman n 869
1.55/3
13/2
Al-Nassr — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
12/0
00/0
Ângelo n 868
0.53/0
0.32/0
João Félix n 878.3
0.43/0
0.32/0
Ayman Yahya n 831
00/0
0.72/0
S. Mané n 888.8
0.31/1
0.32/0
Al-Nassr — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
R. Al Ghamdi n 324.7
4.92/2
Saad Al Nasser n 837.3
36/1
Abdullah Al Hamdan n 822
2.63/1
Nawaf Boushal n 890
2.17/6
Samú Costa n 883.5
27/5
Al-Nassr — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Nawaf Al Aqidi n 886.8
2.25/3
Bento n 880.3
11/1
Al-Wasl FC
Al-Wasl FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Borja n 847.1
2.48/1
0.73/0
—
Abdulrahman Saleh n 838.6
25/1
00/0
—
S. Sidibe n 786.1
1.66/2
14/2
—
Saldanha n 856.3
1.65/3
1.24/2
—
Hugo n 874.4
1.44/3
1.15/2
—
Al-Wasl FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Borja n 847.1
4.58/6
2.66/4
A. Diallo n 439.3
2.34/0
2.34/0
Fábio Lima n 858.1
1.96/3
1.45/1
Serginho n 855.3
1.85/4
0.21/0
Adryelson n 882.5
1.46/4
0.53/1
Al-Wasl FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Borja n 847.1
1.75/2
00/0
Fábio Lima n 858.1
0.63/0
0.21/0
Pedro Malheiro n 893.8
0.11/0
0.53/1
Adryelson n 882.5
0.53/1
0.11/0
Serginho n 855.3
00/0
0.63/0
Al-Wasl FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Abdulrahman Saleh n 838.6
3.55/3
Hugo n 874.4
25/3
Pedro Malheiro n 893.8
1.98/4
S. Sidibe n 786.1
1.96/4
R. Tapia n 873.4
1.76/3
Al-Wasl FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Horkaš n 891.6
2.86/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Nassr v Al-Wasl FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-NassrWDLWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Al-Wasl FCLWLLL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.6 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Al-Nassr 3 · 0 draws · Al-Wasl FC 1 · 3.25 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 Al-Wasl FC 0–4 Al-Nassr
  • 2025-02-03 Al-Nassr 4–0 Al-Wasl FC
  • 2019-05-07 Al-Nassr 3–1 Al-Wasl FC
  • 2019-03-04 Al-Wasl FC 1–0 Al-Nassr
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Nassr#8 pos3 pts2 pl-2 GD
Al-Wasl FC#14 pos0 pts2 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Al-Nassr scored1.5
Al-Wasl FC scored1
Al-Nassr conceded2.5
Al-Wasl FC conceded2.5

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Nassr v Al-Wasl FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Nassr v Al-Wasl FC is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Al-Nassr and Al-Wasl FC?
In their last 4 meetings, Al-Nassr won 3, Al-Wasl FC won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.25 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Al-Nassr and Al-Wasl FC?
Recent form — Al-Nassr 3W 1D 1L; Al-Wasl FC 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

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