Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC prediction

AFC Champions League Elite · · Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC, AFC Champions League Elite on Wed, 14 Oct 2026 11:00 BST.

Match preview, in numbers

Form and momentum

Port FC are winless in their last five matches (last 15 results). Nine of Port FC’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Port FC’s last 15 results (53%).

Six of Kashiwa Reysol’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in five of Kashiwa Reysol’s last 15 results (33%).

The shape of the game

At home, Kashiwa Reysol have four wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.00.

At away, Port FC have three wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 8 away matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.63.

Kashiwa Reysol (10th) and Port FC (11th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Port FC the stronger side, 9 rating points above Kashiwa Reysol (1403 v 1412, after at least eight rated matches each).

Players to watch

By TACTIX Impact, Nobuteru Nakagawa (3.8 per match over 21 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Tojiro Kubo (3.5 per match over 18 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Kashiwa Reysol’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Kashiwa Reysol: Nobuteru Nakagawa 1.1 key passes per 90 (1779 minutes), a key pass in 6 of the last 10 appearances; Tojiro Kubo 1.3 key passes per 90 (1424 minutes), a key pass in 7 of the last 10 appearances (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off).

What the model says

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick across 242 priced markets; the full forecast, probabilities and value against the bookmakers are part of Pro.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

As of 9 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC across 242 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.13
Goals
against 1.13 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.38 / 4.38
Corners
against 4.5 / 3.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.5 / 2.75
Shots on target
against 3.38 / 5.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
0.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 2 / 1.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 16 September 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameKashiwa Reysol for / againstLinePort FC for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.13 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
5.38 for · 4.5 against n 8
9.5standard
4.38 for · 3.63 against n 8
Shots
10.88 for · 12.5 against n 8
19.5standard
9.25 for · 14.38 against n 8
Shots on target
3.5 for · 3.38 against n 8
8.5standard
2.75 for · 5.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
7.75 for · 7.88 against n 8
21.5standard
12 for · 10.88 against n 8
Cards shown
0.75 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1.25 against n 8
Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Nakama n 819.5
44/2
1.73/0
—
Yusuke Segawa n 833.5
3.46/2
12/1
—
Rei Shimano n 438.3
2.92/2
1.22/0
—
Hinata Yamauchi n 836.9
2.75/3
1.53/2
—
Riki Harakawa n 836.4
1.93/1
0.62/0
—
Kashiwa Reysol — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
H. Nakama n 819.5
45/2
1.73/0
Mao Hosoya n 831
2.97/1
1.54/0
Rei Shimano n 438.3
1.82/1
1.22/0
Yusuke Segawa n 833.5
1.74/1
1.33/1
Hinata Yamauchi n 836.9
1.54/1
1.54/1
Kashiwa Reysol — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
H. Nakama n 819.5
1.22/0
0.61/0
Mao Hosoya n 831
0.72/0
0.41/0
Yuki Kakita n 856.8
0.42/0
0.42/0
Yoshio Koizumi n 881.1
0.32/0
0.42/1
Y. Komi n 853.5
0.62/1
00/0
Kashiwa Reysol — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Koki Kumasaka n 864.3
3.58/6
Rei Shimano n 438.3
3.53/2
Tojiro Kubo n 879
2.37/5
Yudai Konishi n 862.3
2.26/3
Seiya Baba n 837.5
2.13/2
Kashiwa Reysol — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ryosuke Kojima n 890
2.36/3
Port FC
Port FC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Lonsana Doumbouya n 869.6
2.17/4
1.34/2
—
P. Mlapa n 858.9
1.95/2
14/1
—
S. Boonlha n 635.2
1.73/1
1.72/2
—
Felipe Amorim n 787.7
1.66/3
1.65/4
—
Suphanan Bureerat n 850.5
1.65/1
00/0
—
Port FC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
P. Mlapa n 858.9
4.26/6
0.63/0
Lonsana Doumbouya n 869.6
3.17/6
0.83/2
Bordin Phala n 480.5
2.24/2
0.83/0
Felipe Amorim n 787.7
1.86/4
1.26/1
Peeradol Chamratsamee n 861.3
0.73/1
0.21/0
Port FC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Felipe Amorim n 787.7
0.43/0
0.11/0
Lonsana Doumbouya n 869.6
0.52/1
00/0
Teerasak Poeiphimai n 847.4
00/0
0.51/1
Matheus Lins n 689.8
0.21/0
00/0
Noboru Shimura n 572.6
0.21/0
00/0
Port FC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
C. Buran n 360
43/2
S. Boonlha n 635.2
3.43/1
A. Mangkualam n 783.7
2.85/5
Matheus Lins n 689.8
25/5
Frans Putros n 872.1
26/4
Port FC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 16 September 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
W. Srisupa n 490
22/2

TACTIX model preview

The TACTIX model has priced Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC across 242 betting markets. Here’s a free pick to get you started:

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 64.8% of 630 landed (95% range 61–68.4%); it had given them 76.7% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Kashiwa Reysol v Port FC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Kashiwa ReysolWWWLL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Port FCDLLLL
Last 5: 0W 1D 4L · 1 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Kashiwa Reysol#10 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Port FC#11 pos0 pts1 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
Kashiwa Reysol scored1
Port FC scored1
Kashiwa Reysol conceded2
Port FC conceded2

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Kashiwa Reysol vs Port FC is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Kashiwa Reysol and Port FC?
Recent form — Kashiwa Reysol 3W 0D 2L; Port FC 0W 1D 4L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works →

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