Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC prediction

AFC Champions League Two ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Al-Nahda · Al-Rayyan SC

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC, AFC Champions League Two on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 16:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al-Nahda host Al-Rayyan SC in AFC Champions League Two on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

Al-Nahda are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Seven of Al-Nahda’s last 12 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (58%). Both teams scored in eight of Al-Nahda’s last 12 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Al-Nahda have four wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 2.33 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.00.

Seven of Al-Rayyan SC’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (47%). Both teams scored in 10 of Al-Rayyan SC’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Al-Rayyan SC have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.13.

Al-Nahda (fourth) and Al-Rayyan SC (second) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · AFC Champions League Two
  • Model coverage: 242 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Al-Nahda 1W 2D 2L · Al-Rayyan SC 1W 0D 4L

Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC (AFC Champions League Two): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.25
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.83 / 6.29
Corners
against 2.67 / 5.29 · 0 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.17 / 4.14
Shots on target
against 3.33 / 5.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 6 matches
1.5 / 1.86
Cards
against 2.17 / 1.57 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 6 matches
242
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 14 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAl-Nahda for / againstLineAl-Rayyan SC for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
2.83 for · 2.67 against n 6
9.5standard
6.29 for · 5.29 against n 7
Shots
11.83 for · 10 against n 6
19.5standard
11.86 for · 14.71 against n 7
Shots on target
4.17 for · 3.33 against n 6
8.5standard
4.14 for · 5.57 against n 7
Fouls committed
13 for · 16.5 against n 6
21.5standard
11.57 for · 11.71 against n 7
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.17 against n 6
3.5standard
1.86 for · 1.57 against n 7
Al-Nahda
Al-Nahda — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Issam Al Sabhi n 853.4
2.56/4
0.84/0
—
Rabia Al Alawi n 754.1
2.45/3
1.73/3
—
B. Bensaha n 866.8
2.25/3
2.96/5
—
W. Bwalya n 842.1
2.14/2
2.15/2
—
Omer Al Malki n 871.9
26/3
1.45/3
—
Al-Nahda — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Gui n 475
2.73/3
1.23/1
W. Bwalya n 842.1
2.15/3
1.64/2
Ali Dhahi Al Rusheidi n 623
22/1
0.71/0
Issam Al Sabhi n 853.4
1.93/3
1.13/2
Omer Al Malki n 871.9
1.36/2
0.63/1
Al-Nahda — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Hamood Al Sadi n 517.2
11/0
00/0
Omer Al Malki n 871.9
0.32/0
0.21/0
Abdullah Fawaz n 568.6
00/0
0.52/0
Salaah Al Yahyaei n 862.1
00/0
0.52/1
W. Bwalya n 842.1
0.52/0
00/0
Al-Nahda — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ali Dhahi Al Rusheidi n 623
2.63/1
Harib Al Saadi n 893.8
2.37/6
Abdul Aziz Khalfan n 679.3
2.14/1
Ahmed Al Kaabi n 893.6
1.77/5
B. Bensaha n 866.8
1.74/4
Al-Nahda — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Ibrahim Al Mukhaini n 893.8
1.76/0
Al-Rayyan SC
Al-Rayyan SC — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Bareiro n 858.6
3.15/5
1.75/3
—
Wesley n 853.4
2.15/3
2.17/2
—
Otávio n 881.8
1.87/5
3.78/7
—
Ahmed Al-Rawi n 510
1.81/0
5.42/1
—
J. De Sart n 888.4
1.77/4
0.53/1
—
Al-Rayyan SC — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Gabriel Pereira n 845.5
2.74/2
12/1
Róger Guedes n 889.9
2.67/6
1.46/4
Trézéguet n 863
26/5
0.42/0
Ahmed Al-Rawi n 510
1.81/0
00/0
Romarinho n 844.1
1.53/2
0.82/1
Al-Rayyan SC — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Ahmed Al-Rawi n 510
00/0
1.81/0
Trézéguet n 863
0.42/0
0.21/0
A. Bareiro n 858.6
0.63/0
00/0
Wesley n 853.4
00/0
0.42/0
Róger Guedes n 889.9
0.32/0
00/0
Al-Rayyan SC — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Otávio n 881.8
3.28/7
Amid Mahajna n 652.2
2.94/3
J. De Sart n 888.4
2.56/4
Ahmed Al Ganehi n 855.8
2.46/4
A. Bencharki n 868.9
2.35/4
Al-Rayyan SC — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 14 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Paulo Victor n 890
4.18/6
Mahmud Abunada n 884.4
2.96/5

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al-NahdaWLDDL
Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Al-Rayyan SCLLLWL
Last 5: 1W 0D 4L · 1.2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Al-Nahda#4 pos1 pts2 pl-2 GD
Al-Rayyan SC#2 pos3 pts2 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Al-Nahda scored0.5
Al-Rayyan SC scored2.5
Al-Nahda conceded1.5
Al-Rayyan SC conceded2.5

See the full prediction

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Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al-Nahda v Al-Rayyan SC is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Al-Nahda and Al-Rayyan SC?
Recent form — Al-Nahda 1W 2D 2L; Al-Rayyan SC 1W 0D 4L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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