Vasteras SK FK v Orgryte IS result

Full-time · Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Orgryte IS

Allsvenskan · Fri, 24 Jul 2026 18:00 BST · Hitachi Energy Arena

Updated 17 Oct 2026, 20:33 UK · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Orgryte IS — Vasteras SK FK won this Allsvenskan match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Over 2.5 goals.

Free pick

Over 2.5 goals

Best price: 1.58 at Unibet

What this price implies, and its fair odds with the margin removed →

This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.

The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.7% of 641 landed (95% range 61.9–69.3%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →

How often calls like this land: when the model rated over 2.5 goals between 62% and 80% in 21 top-flight leagues over the last 365 days — every such forecast, not only the free picks — it landed 406 of 618 times (65.7%), against an average rating of 68.6%. How we measure →

Match report, in numbers

The result

Vasteras SK FK beat Orgryte IS 2–0 at Hitachi Energy Arena in the Allsvenskan on Friday 24 July. Vasteras SK FK are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Vasteras SK FK led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Vasteras SK FK: T. Axel (13’; 59’, assisted by K. Gunnarsson).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with T. Axel’s goal on 13 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) agree with the result: Vasteras SK FK 3.09, Orgryte IS 1.36, from 16 shots to 13 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

Erik Mattsson, Sweden showed one yellow card — against 2.5 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Orgryte IS: Owen Parker Price (83’).

What it changes

Vasteras SK FK move up from seventh to fourth (14 league matches played).

Orgryte IS stay 15th after this result (14 league matches played).

Vasteras SK FK have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, T. Axel (Vasteras SK FK) 12.4, H. Magnusson (Vasteras SK FK) 6.9 and Benjamin Laturnus (Orgryte IS) 4.8 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Over 2.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 65.7% of the time in the last 90 days (421 of 641).

Next up

Vasteras SK FK next host Halmstad on 23 October 2026.

Orgryte IS next travel to Djurgardens IF on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Vasteras SK FK: Vasteras SK FK v Halmstad, Friday 23 October — the preview. Next for Orgryte IS: Djurgardens IF v Orgryte IS, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

Result: Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Orgryte IS · Allsvenskan
Venue: Hitachi Energy Arena · Västerås
Referee: Erik Mattsson, Sweden
Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
Recent form: Vasteras SK FK 3W 1D 1L · Orgryte IS 1W 2D 2L

Vasteras SK FK 2–0 Orgryte IS (Allsvenskan): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1

Goals

against 1.63 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 3

over 8 matches

3.63 / 3.75

Corners

against 5.13 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5

over 8 matches

3.38 / 3

Shots on target

against 4.75 / 4.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5

over 8 matches

1.38 / 1.25

Cards

against 3.38 / 1.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5

over 8 matches

2.53 yellows

Referee · Erik Mattsson, Sweden

0.93 home / 1.6 away

over 15 matches

246

Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 July 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 July 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per game	Vasteras SK FK for / against	Line	Orgryte IS for / against
Goals scored	1.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5	3our book	1 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5
Corners won	3.63 for · 5.13 against n 8 Last 5	9.5standard	3.75 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5
Shots	11.25 for · 14.63 against n 8 Last 5	19.5standard	9.13 for · 15 against n 8 Last 5
Shots on target	3.38 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5	8.5standard	3 for · 4.88 against n 8 Last 5
Fouls committed	12.38 for · 14.75 against n 8 Last 5	21.5standard	11 for · 10.25 against n 8 Last 5
Cards shown	1.38 for · 3.38 against n 8 Last 5	3.5standard	1.25 for · 1.25 against n 8 Last 5

Referee: Erik Mattsson, Sweden — 2.53 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 24.8 fouls over 15 matches (0.93 to the home side, 1.6 to the away side).

Home 0.93Away 1.6

Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jack Tagesson n 5	6	3 1/0	6 2/0	—
M. Ladefoged n 8	82.5	2.3 8/4	1.5 7/4	—
I. Lushaku n 8	77.1	2 7/5	1.2 5/3	—
M. Ljungqvist n 7	12.7	2 1/1	0 0/0	—
M. Diagne n 8	87.5	1.5 7/5	2.3 8/5	—

Vasteras SK FK — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
T. Axel n 8	59.3	2.7 5/4	1.5 4/2
M. Ladefoged n 8	82.5	2.6 7/6	1.1 6/1
A. Boudah n 8	66.9	1.2 4/3	0.2 1/0
J. Magnusson n 8	37.3	1.2 2/2	0.3 1/0
K. Gunnarsson n 8	67.8	1 4/2	0.5 3/0

Vasteras SK FK — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
M. Ladefoged n 8	82.5	0.5 4/0	0.3 1/1
T. Axel n 8	59.3	0.8 2/2	0 0/0
I. Lushaku n 8	77.1	0 0/0	0.6 3/1
K. Gunnarsson n 8	67.8	0.3 2/0	0.3 2/0
J. Magnusson n 8	37.3	0.3 1/0	0.3 1/0

Vasteras SK FK — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Jack Tagesson n 5	6	3 1/0
S. Gefvert n 8	89.9	2.8 7/6
M. Diagne n 8	87.5	2.4 7/6
T. Axel n 8	59.3	2.3 6/2
V. Wernersson n 8	56.3	2.2 6/3

Vasteras SK FK — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
E. Jager n 8	90	3.1 7/4

Orgryte IS

Orgryte IS — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Fouls committed 1+2+	Fouls won 1+2+	Likely duel
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo n 8	49.9	3.6 6/3	1.1 2/2	—
Demirel Hodžić n 6	20	3 2/2	1.5 2/0	—
Hampus Dahlqvist n 4	25.5	2.6 2/1	1.8 2/0	—
Charlie Vindehall n 8	38.8	2.3 4/4	0.6 2/0	—
William Svensson n 8	30.1	1.9 3/1	0.7 1/1	—

Orgryte IS — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Shots 1+2+	Shots on target 1+2+
Noah Christoffersson n 8	67.4	2.7 6/5	1.7 6/4
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo n 8	49.9	2 5/3	0.9 4/0
William Hofvander n 8	50.8	1.6 4/3	0.4 2/0
A. Andersson n 8	45.1	1 4/0	0.5 2/0
Marlon Ebietomere n 4	21.5	1 1/0	1 1/0

Orgryte IS — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Goals 1+2+	Assists 1+2+
Noah Christoffersson n 8	67.4	0.7 2/2	0 0/0
William Hofvander n 8	50.8	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo n 8	49.9	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
A. Andersson n 8	45.1	0.2 1/0	0.2 1/0
Owen Parker Price n 8	72.6	0 0/0	0.3 1/1

Orgryte IS — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
Player	Mins	Tackles 1+2+
Demirel Hodžić n 6	20	5.3 5/2
Marlon Ebietomere n 4	21.5	4.2 2/2
Hampus Dahlqvist n 4	25.5	3.5 1/1
Benjamin Laturnus n 8	63	3.4 8/5
A. Andersson n 8	45.1	3 6/4

Orgryte IS — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 July 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
Player	Mins	Saves 2+3+
Hampus Gustafsson n 8	83.8	2.7 7/3

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
Vasteras SK FK		Orgryte IS
57%	Possession	43%
3.09	Expected goals (xG)	1.36
16	Shots	13
8	Shots on target	2
7	Shots off target	9
1	Blocked shots	2
13	Shots inside the box	9
2	Corners	5
0	Offsides	1
17	Fouls	13
0	Yellow cards	1
0	Red cards	0
2	Saves	5
511	Passes	376
81%	Pass accuracy	75%

Vasteras SK FK player stats

Player	Min	G	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Rating
E. Jager	90	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
H. Magnusson	90	0	0	0	1	5	8.2
P. Bonde	90	0	0	0	0	2	7.2
S. Gefvert	90	0	0	0	3	2	7.2
M. Diagne	90	0	0	0	1	1	7.3
K. Gunnarsson	90	0	2	1	0	2	7
T. Axel	90	2	7	4	2	3	8.6
I. Lushaku	79	0	1	0	1	3	7.2
M. Ladefoged	79	0	3	2	2	2	6.9
Madiou Keita	65	0	0	0	0	1	7.3
Marcus Baggesen	65	0	0	0	0	2	6.6
V. Wernersson sub	25	0	0	0	0	1	6.6
J. Karlsson sub	25	0	0	0	1	0	6.9
Mattias Hellisdal sub	11	0	0	0	0	0	6.7
Bonaventure Lendambi sub	11	0	2	1	1	0	6.3

Orgryte IS player stats

Player	Min	Sh	SoT	KP	Tkl	Cards	Rating
Hampus Gustafsson	90	0	0	0	0	0	7.3
Mikael Dyrestam	90	2	0	0	1	0	7.2
A. Andersson	90	0	0	2	0	0	6.3
Owen Parker Price	90	3	0	1	5	Y	6.9
Benjamin Laturnus	90	1	0	1	5	0	7
Noah Christoffersson	90	0	0	1	0	0	5.9
Tobias Sana	90	0	0	1	0	0	7
Sebastian Lagerlund	88	0	0	0	1	0	6.2
William Hofvander	58	2	2	0	0	0	6.3
Daniel Paulson	57	1	0	0	0	0	6.5
Christoffer Styffe	21	0	0	1	1	0	6.2
Michael Parker sub	69	0	0	1	1	0	6.6
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo sub	33	1	0	0	1	0	6.6
Anton Andreasson sub	32	1	0	0	1	0	6.2
Marlon Ebietomere sub	2	0	0	0	0	0	–

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Vasteras SK FK v Orgryte IS — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form

Vasteras SK FKWLWWD

Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 2.4 scored / 1.6 conceded per game

Orgryte ISLDLWD

Last 5: 1W 2D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2 conceded per game

League standing · 2026

Vasteras SK FK#6 pos38 pts24 pl-1 GD

Orgryte IS#15 pos18 pts24 pl-25 GD

Goals per game

Vasteras SK FK scored1.46

Orgryte IS scored1.21

Vasteras SK FK conceded1.5

Orgryte IS conceded2.25

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

Try Pro for £1.00 — the full match analysis

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Vasteras SK FK v Orgryte IS?: TACTIX’s free model pick for Vasteras SK FK v Orgryte IS was Over 2.5 goals (best price 1.58 at Unibet).
What is the recent form of Vasteras SK FK and Orgryte IS?: Recent form — Vasteras SK FK 3W 1D 1L; Orgryte IS 1W 2D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions today Tomorrow BTTS board Over 2.5 board Under 2.5 board Over 1.5 board Home win board Away win board Double chance board

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of 17 Oct 2026, 20:33 UK. How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.