Correct score. A correct score bet names the exact final scoreline, such as 2–1. Because dozens of scorelines are possible, prices are long and single-scoreline strike rates are low.
Models price this market as a grid: the probability of every scoreline from each team’s expected goals. Low-scoring lines (0–0, 1–0, 1–1) are the ones plain Poisson misprices most, which is exactly what the Dixon–Coles correction fixes.
FAQ
- What is correct score betting?
- A correct score bet names the exact final scoreline, such as 2–1. Because dozens of scorelines are possible, prices are long and single-scoreline strike rates are low.
Related: Dixon-Coles model · Full glossary
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