Free model picks
Bundesliga stats 2026/27
9 Bundesliga fixtures kick off in the next 10 days, starting with Bayern München v 1. FC Köln (Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT). 0 of them carry a free TACTIX model pick, shown with the best bookmaker price. Bayern München lead the table on 21 points after 9 games, level with Borussia Dortmund.
A free TACTIX model pick for every upcoming Bundesliga fixture, with the best bookmaker price. Our model is calibrated to ±0.1% across 6M+ graded predictions (all markets, player markets included) — the full win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets are part of Pro.
Updated · picks refresh daily · live track record
Our Bundesliga predictions put a free model pick on every German top-flight fixture in the next ten days: 9 fixtures as of today, alongside the best UK bookmaker price. Kick-offs are shown in UK time, and each pick joins the graded record after full time, losing ones included.
Key Facts
Figures as of
The Bundesliga’s top scorer is N. Füllkrug with nine goals, one goal ahead of P. Schick (this season so far).
Across 81 matches (this season so far), the Bundesliga has produced 3.48 goals per game.
Bayern München are unbeaten in their last 21 (all competitions we cover)
FC Augsburg have scored in their last 11 (all competitions we cover)
RB Leipzig have scored in their last 9 (all competitions we cover)
Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
FC Schalke 04 are winless in their last 7 (all competitions we cover)
SC Freiburg have scored in their last 5 (all competitions we cover)
About TACTIX’s Bundesliga Predictions
For Bundesliga, TACTIX grades each upcoming fixture by how confident the model is, from Gold down to Bronze.
TACTIX processes each upcoming Bundesliga fixture and grades it Gold, Silver or Bronze by model confidence. The headline metric is deliberately calibration rather than raw accuracy — a flattering accuracy figure is easy to cherry-pick, whereas calibration shows whether the probabilities are honest, and we keep it in the open on the live scoreboard. Updated daily.
What the Data Says About Bundesliga
TACTIX lists nine upcoming Bundesliga fixtures in the next ten days, none of them with a free model pick yet. Across the whole estate the model runs at ±0.1% mean calibration error across a 6M+-prediction track record (all markets, player markets included); the record is published live, losing predictions included, on the scoreboard and as a hash-chained pre-commitment ledger, so any pick can be checked against what was written before kick-off. In Bundesliga specifically, the last 30 days of settled free picks read 23 from 35, every result kept. Expected goals, venue-adjusted team ratings and market prices feed one calibrated probability per market; a prediction is a probability, never a certainty. This page is regenerated daily (figures as of 11 Nov 2026) and every number in this paragraph is computed at build time, never typed in. Scoreboard · Ledger · How accurate is TACTIX?
This matchweek in numbers
Nine fixtures in the Bundesliga fall inside the next 10 days, starting with Bayern München v 1. FC Köln (Sat, 21 Nov 2026 14:30 GMT). Recent record: the free Bundesliga pick landed 23 of 35 over the last 30 days (each free pick graded as shown).
The table so far
Bayern München lead the Bundesliga on 21 points from nine games, level with Borussia Dortmund (this season so far). The Bundesliga is averaging 3.48 goals a game across 81 matches, this season so far. The scoring race: N. Füllkrug on nine goals, P. Schick on 8.
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Bundesliga at a Glance
Long-run averages the model fits for Bundesliga — the baseline every Bundesliga match starts from before team form.
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 10 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 17 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | -14 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Current Bundesliga standings — tap a club for its form, fixtures and model outlook.
Model record · last 30 Days
How the free (Bronze) Bundesliga pick shown on each match has settled over the last 30 days — every result, win or lose. 1-unit flat stakes at the price shown.
Season Leaders
Top Scorers
- N. Füllkrug9 G
- P. Schick8 G
- M. Olise6 G
- P. Tietz6 G
- Y. Ebnoutalib6 G
Top Assists
- H. Kane8 A
- A. Nusa7 A
- M. Grüll6 A
- F. Rieder5 A
- A. Grønbæk4 A
How Are These Bundesliga Predictions Made?
Each card shows the model’s free pick and the best price we can find across UK bookmakers. We surface one pick per match free; the complete forecast — calibrated win probability, expected goals and value vs the market — opens with TACTIX Pro. We lead with calibration, not an inflated accuracy headline, and the live record (losers included) is on the scoreboard. To see the probability a price implies, and its fair odds with the bookmaker’s margin removed, use the odds calculator.
Responsible Gambling
Predictions are probabilities, not certainties. 18+. Please gamble responsibly — see our responsible-gambling policy (BeGambleAware, GamCare, GAMSTOP).
Bundesliga Player Stats
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See the Full Forecast
Win probability, xG and value across 240+ markets for every fixture.