FPL Gameweek 10 Planner: Captain Picks, Fixtures and Chip Timing

This FPL Gameweek 10 planner was drawn up on 5 November 2026 from TACTIX’s venue-adjusted ratings: 20 clubs, 6 gameweeks, and one difficulty score from 1 to 5 for each club.

TACTIX planner for FPL Gameweek 10, as of 5 November 2026: fixture difficulty is rated for 20 Premier League clubs across the next 6 gameweeks, from TACTIX's venue-adjusted team ratings, with projected points for Gameweek 10 across 495 players.

Everything below comes from the TACTIX fixture-difficulty model, which rates every Premier League club’s next 6 gameweeks using our own venue-adjusted team ratings — the same engine behind our published, settled track record — rather than the generic FDR. Difficulty runs 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest).

Captain Picks for Gameweek 10

The rule, fixed before the numbers came in: the captain and vice-captain are the two highest projected midfielders or forwards in the starting eleven of the TACTIX squad (a legal 15-man FPL squad within the £100.0m budget) without a doubt flag — the same XI and the same armband as the FPL hub. The pick is the model’s, and projected points are a likelihood estimate, never a promise.

• Captain: Haaland (MCI, FWD, £15.8m) — projected 5.9 pts vs NFO (A)
• Vice-captain: Tavernier (BOU, MID, £6.6m) — projected 5.32 pts vs IPS (A)

Why Haaland: Haaland is projected 5.9 points against NFO (A) (the TACTIX projection for Gameweek 10). His chance of scoring against NFO (A) is projected at 47%. Minutes come from his last five club matches: 79 expected. He has 35 FPL points from his last five club matches. MCI play in Europe within three days of this fixture (his club’s fixture list), so his minutes are discounted for rotation.

Why Tavernier: Tavernier is projected 5.32 points against IPS (A) (the TACTIX projection for Gameweek 10). His chance of scoring against IPS (A) is projected at 30%. Minutes come from his last five club matches: 72 expected. He has 26 FPL points from his last five club matches. BOU play in Europe within three days of this fixture (his club’s fixture list), so his minutes are discounted for rotation.

Also in the running:

• N.Jackson (AVL, FWD, £7m) — projected 4.86 pts vs MUN (A)

FPL Gameweek 10 Planner: Fixture Runs Over the Next 6 Gameweeks

Sorted by average difficulty across the whole horizon, so a soft opener followed by a brutal run does not flatter a side.

Kindest runs

• Aston Villa — 1.83/5
• Liverpool — 2.17/5
• Coventry City — 2.33/5
• Spurs — 2.5/5
• Chelsea — 2.67/5

Toughest runs

• Brentford — 3.83/5
• Fulham — 3.67/5
• Nott'm Forest — 3.5/5
• Everton — 3.5/5
• Arsenal — 3.5/5

Gameweek Shape

Every club plays exactly once in each of GW10–GW15. There are no blanks and no doubles in this horizon, which is normal early in a season — they arrive once cup rearrangements start. That matters for chips, and it is why most of them are a hold below.

Chip Guidance

Each chip is judged against a rule fixed in advance, printed with the verdict. Where no gameweek clears the bar we say hold rather than naming one — a chip recommendation you can always produce is not a recommendation.

• Wildcard — target GW13. Fixtures turn from GW13: Man Utd (4.33→1.33), Newcastle (4.33→1.33), Ipswich Town (4→2.33) all improve materially, which is what a Wildcard is for.
• Bench Boost — hold. No gameweek in this horizon has 4+ teams playing twice, so there is no Bench Boost week to name yet. Hold it.
• Triple Captain — hold. No team in this horizon has a double gameweek soft enough to triple-captain (the bar is an average difficulty of 2.6 or better). Hold it.
• Free Hit — hold. No gameweek in this horizon blanks 5+ teams, so a Free Hit would be spent on a week you can field a normal XI in. Hold it.

Fixture Swings

Average difficulty in the first half of the horizon versus the second. A large positive swing is a run that is about to get easier.

Four Names for Gameweek 10

From 495 projected players, the model’s three captain options and its defence pick for this gameweek:

• Haaland (MCI, FWD) — captain option 1
• Tavernier (BOU, MID) — captain option 2
• N.Jackson (AVL, FWD) — captain option 3
• Silva (BOU, DEF) — the defence pick

The full table for every position is on the TACTIX FPL hub. The fixture matrix is free; the complete projection table is part of Pro.

Method

Projections v2: expected FPL points from the TACTIX match model’s expected goals for each fixture (its clean-sheet market where it has one), each player’s share of his club’s xG and xA (last 8 matches, shrunk to his position), minutes from his last five club matches, penalties from FPL’s order, bonus, defensive contributions, saves and cards — scored with FPL’s own points table, read from the game each day. Doubles are summed. Fixtures the match model has not forecast yet use expected goals fitted from TACTIX team ratings (10 model, 50 ratings-fitted). Not modelled: own goals, red cards, penalty saves and misses. Every figure here is a likelihood estimate, never a promise — how the model works and how it has actually done.

More from the model: the TACTIX FPL hub, how accurate the model is, the scoreboard and the methodology.

Earlier Planners in This Series

• FPL Gameweek 9 planner: captain picks, fixtures and chip timing
• FPL Gameweek 8 planner: TACTIX research, Thu 22 Oct
• FPL Gameweek 7 planner: TACTIX research, Thu 15 Oct

This post is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically. How it works →