Al Merreikh v Horoya prediction

CAF Champions League · · Al Merreikh Stadium

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TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Under 3.5 goals the free pick for Al Merreikh vs Horoya, CAF Champions League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 18:00 BST.

Free pick
Under 3.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 3.5 goals in the last 90 days, 72% of 1735 landed (95% range 69.9–74.1%); it had given them 77.6% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Al Merreikh host Horoya in CAF Champions League on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 18:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Under 3.5 goals, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Two of Al Merreikh’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (13%).

Form and the table

Al Merreikh are unbeaten in their last three matches. Al Merreikh have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches. Both teams scored in four of Al Merreikh’s last 15 results (27%). At home, Al Merreikh have two wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 0.86 and conceding 0.71.

Six of Horoya’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (40%). Both teams scored in six of Horoya’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Horoya have no wins, one draw and six defeats in their last 7 away matches — 0.14 points per game, scoring 0.14 and conceding 2.43.

Al Merreikh (fourth) and Horoya (third) are two points apart, the most recent table TACTIX holds. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Horoya the stronger side, 29 rating points above Al Merreikh (Horoya 1633, Al Merreikh 1604, after at least 36 rated matches each).

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · CAF Champions League · Al Merreikh Stadium
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Al Merreikh 2W 1D 2L · Horoya 2W 1D 2L

Al Merreikh v Horoya (CAF Champions League): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 17 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Al Merreikh v Horoya — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Al MerreikhLLDWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 0.4 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
HoroyaWDLLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
League standing · 2022/23
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Al Merreikh#4 pos5 pts6 pl-2 GD
Horoya#3 pos7 pts6 pl-8 GD
Goals per game
Al Merreikh scored0.83
Horoya scored0.67
Al Merreikh conceded1.17
Horoya conceded2

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock all 19 markets for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value vs the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
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Win probability & value
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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Al Merreikh vs Horoya?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Al Merreikh v Horoya is Under 3.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Al Merreikh and Horoya?
Recent form — Al Merreikh 2W 1D 2L; Horoya 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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