Seraing United v Excelsior Virton prediction

Challenger Pro League · · Stade du Pairay

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Seraing United · Excelsior Virton

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Seraing United v Excelsior Virton, Challenger Pro League on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 15:00 BST.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value vs the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.6% of 643 landed (95% range 61.9–69.2%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Seraing United host Excelsior Virton in Challenger Pro League on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 15:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

Form and the table

Nine of Seraing United’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Seraing United’s last 15 results (67%). At home, Seraing United have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 home matches — 0.83 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 1.50. Seraing United have scored eight goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far). Seraing United have conceded 15 goals, the fourth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Nine of Excelsior Virton’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Excelsior Virton’s last 15 results (47%). Away from home, Excelsior Virton have two wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 6 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.83 and conceding 1.50. Excelsior Virton have scored 11 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 15 clubs (2026/27 so far). Excelsior Virton have conceded six goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 15 clubs.

Seraing United (14th) and Excelsior Virton (sixth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Excelsior Virton the stronger side, 145 rating points above Seraing United (Excelsior Virton 1462, Seraing United 1317, after at least 94 rated matches each).

Team news

Predicted Seraing United XI (4-4-2): N. Gillekens, V. Corneillie, M. Diop, O. Kébé, E. Tshimbalanga, M. Scarpinati, A. Namri, F. Mabani, W. Bahri, T. Lockman, A. Messoussa — derived from the last 7 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Messoussa (7.6 per match over three appearances, three goals and one assist) and A. Namri (5.0 per match over three appearances, one assist) have been Seraing United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions.

Predicted Excelsior Virton XI (5-3-2): C. De Schrevel, A. Tchaptchet, J. Ntenda, E. Kari, S. Assengue, H. Lambotte, A. Dembélé, G. Arib, P. Wade, A. Hachem, I. Goudani — derived from the last 6 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Hachem (8.8 per match over four appearances, three goals and two assists) and I. Goudani (5.4 per match over four appearances, one goal) have been Excelsior Virton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Excelsior Virton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Hachem averages 4.5 shots per 90 over 357 minutes, with a shot in four of the last five appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Challenger Pro League · Stade du Pairay
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Recent form: Seraing United 1W 1D 3L · Excelsior Virton 2W 1D 2L

As of 18 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Seraing United v Excelsior Virton across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →

Key stats

1.63 / 1.75
Goals
against 2.25 / 1 · 5 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.2
Corners
against 6.5 / 5.6 · 2 of the last 3 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4 / 5.6
Shots on target
against 4.5 / 4.8 · 2 of the last 3 over 8.5
over 4 matches
2 / 1.4
Cards
against 3 / 2.2 · 2 of the last 3 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameSeraing United for / againstLineExcelsior Virton for / against
Goals scored
1.63 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1 against n 8
Corners won
4.25 for · 6.5 against n 4
9.5standard
3.2 for · 5.6 against n 5
Shots
9.5 for · 11.75 against n 4
19.5standard
14.2 for · 15.4 against n 5
Shots on target
4 for · 4.5 against n 4
8.5standard
5.6 for · 4.8 against n 5
Fouls committed
14.5 for · 14 against n 4
21.5standard
11.4 for · 13.2 against n 5
Cards shown
2 for · 3 against n 4
3.5standard
1.4 for · 2.2 against n 5
Seraing United
Seraing United — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Aamer n 329.7
42/2
5.11/1
—
M. Bisarre n 420.8
3.33/0
2.22/0
—
A. Messoussa n 840.4
2.55/3
0.83/0
—
Tom Lockman n 836.5
2.55/3
0.93/0
—
A. Namri n 680.2
2.45/4
0.94/1
—
Seraing United — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Matthieu Muland n 881.5
37/6
1.14/3
Tom Lockman n 836.5
2.57/1
1.24/0
A. Messoussa n 840.4
1.74/2
1.43/2
V. Di Crescenzo n 715.4
1.72/0
0.81/0
A. Tunkadi n 374.7
1.63/1
0.82/0
Seraing United — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Messoussa n 840.4
0.83/0
0.31/0
V. Di Crescenzo n 715.4
0.81/0
00/0
Matthieu Muland n 881.5
0.62/1
0.11/0
F. Mabani n 879.8
0.11/0
0.43/0
A. Tunkadi n 374.7
0.41/0
00/0
Seraing United — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
V. Di Crescenzo n 715.4
54/2
A. Namri n 680.2
36/6
R. Aamer n 329.7
32/1
W. Bahri n 675.2
2.46/4
A. Tunkadi n 374.7
2.43/2
Seraing United — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Gillekens n 890
2.85/5
Excelsior Virton
Excelsior Virton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Luca Maiorano n 313.7
6.61/1
00/0
—
M. Inchaud n 612.8
5.83/2
00/0
—
W. Simba n 838.8
24/3
0.93/0
—
A. Dembélé n 490
1.83/2
1.83/3
—
A. Tchaptchet n 890
1.36/3
0.32/0
—
Excelsior Virton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Hachem n 850.6
4.45/4
1.63/2
Luca Maiorano n 313.7
4.41/1
2.21/0
I. Goudani n 462.5
44/2
2.23/2
A. Valério n 811.9
2.83/0
0.91/0
P. Wade n 652.2
2.65/3
0.93/0
Excelsior Virton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Hachem n 850.6
0.72/1
0.72/1
M. Inchaud n 612.8
1.21/0
00/0
P. Wade n 652.2
0.31/0
0.31/0
T. Tormin n 822.6
00/0
0.51/0
I. Goudani n 462.5
0.41/0
00/0
Excelsior Virton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luca Maiorano n 313.7
4.42/0
A. Dembélé n 490
3.84/3
Steeven Assengue n 852.1
3.26/5
H. Lambotte n 390
33/3
E. Kari n 586
2.94/3
Excelsior Virton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Celestin De Schrevel n 690
2.23/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Seraing United v Excelsior Virton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Seraing UnitedLDWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Excelsior VirtonWDWLL
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 2 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
League standing · 2026/27
Seraing United#14 pos2 pts7 pl-7 GD
Excelsior Virton#6 pos10 pts6 pl+5 GD
Goals per game
Seraing United scored1.14
Excelsior Virton scored1.83
Seraing United conceded2.14
Excelsior Virton conceded1

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Seraing United v Excelsior Virton?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Seraing United v Excelsior Virton is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the recent form of Seraing United and Excelsior Virton?
Recent form — Seraing United 1W 1D 3L; Excelsior Virton 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

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