Championship 2026-27 promotion odds: who will go up?
10,000 season simulations · run · recomputed daily
As of 30 October 2026, across 10,000 season simulations, West Ham are the most likely to finish in the top two (automatic promotion) at 79.8%, ahead of Southampton on 64.3%. These are probabilities from the simulations, not certainties.
The Top Five, With Probabilities
| # | Club | Top two (automatic promotion) | Avg pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham | 79.8% | 90.9 |
| 2 | Southampton | 64.3% | 88 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 29.2% | 82.4 |
| 4 | Wolves | 15.6% | 78.8 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 4.9% | 73.9 |
How Is This Calculated?
Each covered league is simulated thousands of times from the current table and remaining fixtures using the same calibrated match model that prices every TACTIX prediction. The full table is on the Supercomputer hub; today's Championship match predictions are on the league hub. Free embeddable versions are at /widgets.
18+ · Predictions are probabilities, not certainties, and nothing here is betting advice. Please gamble responsibly — BeGambleAware.org.