Alloa Athletic v Stenhousemuir result

Full-time · Alloa Athletic 1–3 Stenhousemuir

Championship – Scotland ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Alloa Athletic 1–3 Stenhousemuir — Stenhousemuir won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Under 2.5 goals.

Free pick
Under 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Under 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 52.3% of 176 landed (95% range 44.9–59.5%); it had given them 77.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Stenhousemuir won 3–1 at Alloa Athletic in the Championship – Scotland on Wednesday 13 May. Stenhousemuir are unbeaten in their last five matches in all competitions.

The goals

Stenhousemuir led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Stenhousemuir: R. Taylor (15’), M. Aitken (30’ pen) and M. Anderson (69’); Alloa Athletic: C. Waters (90’).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with R. Taylor’s goal on 15 minutes.

Discipline

C. Graham showed four yellow cards — against 3.5 yellows a game across the last 15 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Alloa Athletic: C. Dewar (90+3’); Stenhousemuir: R. Taylor (57’), R. Meechan (68’) and Olly Whyte (78’).

What it changes

Stenhousemuir have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Under 2.5 goals, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Alloa Athletic next host Queen of the South on 24 October 2026.

Stenhousemuir next travel to Partick on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Alloa Athletic: Alloa Athletic v Queen of the South, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Stenhousemuir: Partick v Stenhousemuir, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Alloa Athletic 1–3 Stenhousemuir · Championship – Scotland
  • Referee: C. Graham
  • Model coverage: 232 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Alloa Athletic 2 · draws 2 · Stenhousemuir 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Alloa Athletic 3W 0D 2L · Stenhousemuir 2W 2D 1L

Alloa Athletic 1–3 Stenhousemuir (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 232 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

232
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Alloa Athletic v Stenhousemuir — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Alloa AthleticWLLWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
StenhousemuirLWWDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Alloa Athletic 2 · 2 draws · Stenhousemuir 2 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-04-25 Stenhousemuir 1–0 Alloa Athletic
  • 2025-12-27 Alloa Athletic 0–0 Stenhousemuir
  • 2025-10-25 Alloa Athletic 0–0 Stenhousemuir
  • 2025-08-02 Stenhousemuir 1–2 Alloa Athletic
  • 2025-04-05 Stenhousemuir 1–4 Alloa Athletic
  • 2024-12-28 Alloa Athletic 1–3 Stenhousemuir
League standing · 2020/21
Last recorded position from an earlier season — not updated during the season.
Alloa Athletic#10 pos19 pts26 pl-31 GD
StenhousemuirNot in this league table
Goals per game
Alloa Athletic scored1.12
Stenhousemuir scored1
Alloa Athletic conceded2.31
Stenhousemuir conceded0.8

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Alloa Athletic v Stenhousemuir?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Alloa Athletic v Stenhousemuir was Under 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Alloa Athletic and Stenhousemuir?
In their last 6 meetings, Alloa Athletic won 2, Stenhousemuir won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Alloa Athletic and Stenhousemuir?
Recent form — Alloa Athletic 3W 0D 2L; Stenhousemuir 2W 2D 1L.

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