Ayr Utd v Partick result

Full-time · Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick

Championship – Scotland · · Somerset Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick — Partick won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
Best price: 1.23 at Betano
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Partick won 1–0 at Somerset Park in the Championship – Scotland on Friday 16 October. Partick are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions.

The goals

Partick led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Partick: O. Smyth (45’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with O. Smyth’s goal on 45 minutes.

What it changes

Ayr Utd move down from sixth to seventh (11 league matches played).

Partick stay second after this result (10 league matches played).

Partick recorded the only away win among the five finished matches of round 11.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or Partick, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Ayr Utd next travel to Morton on 24 October 2026.

Partick next travel to Dunfermline on 20 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ayr Utd: Morton v Ayr Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Partick: Dunfermline v Partick, Tuesday 20 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick · Championship – Scotland
  • Venue: Somerset Park · Ayr
  • Referee: M. MacDermid
  • Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ayr Utd 0 · draws 2 · Partick 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ayr Utd 2W 1D 2L · Partick 3W 1D 1L

Ayr Utd 0–1 Partick (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

19
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ayr Utd v Partick — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ayr UtdLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PartickWLDWW
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.2 scored / 0.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ayr Utd 0 · 2 draws · Partick 4 · 1.83 goals/game
  • 2026-09-05 Partick 1–0 Ayr Utd
  • 2026-04-04 Ayr Utd 1–1 Partick
  • 2026-01-24 Partick 2–1 Ayr Utd
  • 2025-12-06 Ayr Utd 0–0 Partick
  • 2025-10-21 Partick 2–1 Ayr Utd
  • 2025-08-16 Partick 2–0 Ayr Utd
League standing · 2026/27
Ayr Utd#7 pos12 pts11 pl-2 GD
Partick#3 pos21 pts10 pl+8 GD
Goals per game
Ayr Utd scored0.91
Partick scored1.1
Ayr Utd conceded1.09
Partick conceded0.3

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ayr Utd v Partick?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ayr Utd v Partick was Draw or Away (best price 1.23 at Betano).
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr Utd and Partick?
In their last 6 meetings, Ayr Utd won 0, Partick won 4 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ayr Utd and Partick?
Recent form — Ayr Utd 2W 1D 2L; Partick 3W 1D 1L.

Today’s boards

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