Ayr Utd v ST Johnstone result

Full-time · Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone

Championship – Scotland · · Somerset Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone — ST Johnstone won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Away win.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.3% of 102 landed (95% range 77.1–90.9%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Johnstone won 1–0 at Somerset Park in the Championship – Scotland on Friday 1 May. ST Johnstone have scored in six consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

ST Johnstone led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Johnstone: Kai Fotheringham (37’, assisted by Jason Holt).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Kai Fotheringham’s goal on 37 minutes.

Discipline

The bookings — Ayr Utd: N. McAllister (64’); ST Johnstone: Morgan Boyes (80’).

What it changes

Ayr Utd stay seventh after this result (36 league matches played).

ST Johnstone stay first after this result (36 league matches played).

ST Johnstone recorded the only away win among the five finished matches of round 36. Ayr Utd have lost their last three matches in all competitions. ST Johnstone are unbeaten in at least their last 15 matches in all competitions. ST Johnstone have kept a clean sheet in their last four matches in all competitions.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, ST Johnstone to win, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call.

Next up

Ayr Utd next travel to Morton on 24 October 2026.

ST Johnstone next travel to Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Ayr Utd: Morton v Ayr Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for ST Johnstone: Rangers v ST Johnstone, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone · Championship – Scotland
  • Venue: Somerset Park · Ayr
  • Referee: J. Hay
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Ayr Utd 1 · draws 2 · ST Johnstone 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: Ayr Utd 1W 1D 3L · ST Johnstone 4W 1D 0L

Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Ayr Utd v ST Johnstone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Ayr UtdDLWLL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
ST JohnstoneDWWWW
Last 5: 4W 1D 0L · 2.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Ayr Utd 1 · 2 draws · ST Johnstone 3 · 3.33 goals/game
  • 2026-02-28 ST Johnstone 3–1 Ayr Utd
  • 2026-02-17 ST Johnstone 3–3 Ayr Utd
  • 2025-12-12 Ayr Utd 2–4 ST Johnstone
  • 2025-10-04 ST Johnstone 0–0 Ayr Utd
  • 2023-07-25 ST Johnstone 1–2 Ayr Utd
  • 2022-07-23 ST Johnstone 1–0 Ayr Utd
League standing · 2025/26
Ayr Utd#7 pos39 pts36 pl-9 GD
ST Johnstone#1 pos77 pts36 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Ayr Utd scored1.06
ST Johnstone scored1.86
Ayr Utd conceded1.31
ST Johnstone conceded0.69

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Ayr Utd v ST Johnstone?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Ayr Utd v ST Johnstone was Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr Utd and ST Johnstone?
In their last 6 meetings, Ayr Utd won 1, ST Johnstone won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Ayr Utd and ST Johnstone?
Recent form — Ayr Utd 1W 1D 3L; ST Johnstone 4W 1D 0L.

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