Ayr Utd v Stenhousemuir result
Team pages: Ayr Utd · Stenhousemuir
The model’s pre-match pick
Ayr Utd 0–1 Stenhousemuir — Stenhousemuir won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.
The result
Stenhousemuir won 1–0 at Somerset Park in the Championship – Scotland on Friday 25 September.
The goals
Stenhousemuir led 1–0 at half-time. The goals — Stenhousemuir: S. Young (20’, assisted by S. Bright).
How it turned
Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s one key moment (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with S. Young’s goal on 20 minutes.
What it changes
Ayr Utd move down from sixth to seventh (eight league matches played).
Stenhousemuir stay first after this result (eight league matches played).
Stenhousemuir have won their last three matches in all competitions. Stenhousemuir have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions.
What the model said
The model’s free pick, the draw or Stenhousemuir, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67.3% of the time in the last 90 days (923 of 1371).
Next up
Ayr Utd next travel to Morton on 24 October 2026.
Stenhousemuir next travel to Partick on 24 October 2026.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
Next for Ayr Utd: Morton v Ayr Utd, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Stenhousemuir: Partick v Stenhousemuir, Saturday 24 October — the preview.
The numbers
- Result: Ayr Utd 0–1 Stenhousemuir · Championship – Scotland
- Venue: Somerset Park · Ayr
- Referee: R. Lee
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 3): Ayr Utd 3 · draws 0 · Stenhousemuir 0 · 3.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Ayr Utd 1W 1D 3L · Stenhousemuir 4W 0D 1L
Ayr Utd 0–1 Stenhousemuir (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 19 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 9 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
The next free picks, by email
The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.
Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Ayr Utd v Stenhousemuir — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-07-23 Stenhousemuir 1–4 Ayr Utd
- 2023-07-18 Ayr Utd 1–0 Stenhousemuir
- 2018-07-24 Ayr Utd 5–0 Stenhousemuir
The full post-match picture
Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.
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Frequently asked questions
- What was the model’s pick for Ayr Utd v Stenhousemuir?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Ayr Utd v Stenhousemuir was Draw or Away (best price 1.62 at Betfair).
- What is the head-to-head record between Ayr Utd and Stenhousemuir?
- In their last 3 meetings, Ayr Utd won 3, Stenhousemuir won 0 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Ayr Utd and Stenhousemuir?
- Recent form — Ayr Utd 1W 1D 3L; Stenhousemuir 4W 0D 1L.
Today’s boards
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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