Dunfermline v ST Johnstone result

Full-time · Dunfermline 0–2 ST Johnstone

Championship – Scotland ·

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

Dunfermline 0–2 ST Johnstone — ST Johnstone won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Draw or Away.

Free pick
Draw or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Draw or Away in the last 90 days, 67% of 1316 landed (95% range 64.4–69.5%); it had given them 75.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Johnstone won 2–0 at Dunfermline in the Championship – Scotland on Tuesday 21 April. Dunfermline are winless in their last four matches in all competitions. ST Johnstone are unbeaten in their last 13 matches in all competitions.

The goals

It was 0–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Johnstone: Reece McAlear (56’, assisted by Ruari Paton) and Ruari Paton (73’, assisted by Liam Smith).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s two key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Reece McAlear’s goal on 56 minutes.

Discipline

D. Robertson showed three yellow cards — against 4.1 yellows a game across the last 19 matches refereed (all competitions). The bookings — Dunfermline: Kieran Ngwenya (45+1’) and C. Gilmour (52’); ST Johnstone: Matthew Foulds (81’).

What it changes

Dunfermline move down from third to fourth (34 league matches played).

ST Johnstone stay first after this result (34 league matches played).

ST Johnstone recorded the only away win among the five finished matches of round 34.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, the draw or ST Johnstone, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 67% of the time in the last 90 days (882 of 1316).

Next up

Dunfermline next host Partick on 20 October 2026.

ST Johnstone next travel to Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Dunfermline: Dunfermline v Partick, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for ST Johnstone: Rangers v ST Johnstone, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Dunfermline 0–2 ST Johnstone · Championship – Scotland
  • Referee: D. Robertson
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Dunfermline 1 · draws 2 · ST Johnstone 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Dunfermline 2W 2D 1L · ST Johnstone 3W 2D 0L

Dunfermline 0–2 ST Johnstone (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Dunfermline v ST Johnstone — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
DunfermlineWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
ST JohnstoneWDDWW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 2 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Dunfermline 1 · 2 draws · ST Johnstone 1 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-01-24 ST Johnstone 0–1 Dunfermline
  • 2025-11-08 Dunfermline 2–2 ST Johnstone
  • 2025-09-19 ST Johnstone 2–1 Dunfermline
  • 2020-12-15 Dunfermline 1–1 ST Johnstone
League standing · 2025/26
Dunfermline#4 pos51 pts36 pl+11 GD
ST Johnstone#1 pos77 pts36 pl+42 GD
Goals per game
Dunfermline scored1.44
ST Johnstone scored1.86
Dunfermline conceded1.14
ST Johnstone conceded0.69

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Dunfermline v ST Johnstone?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Dunfermline v ST Johnstone was Draw or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Dunfermline and ST Johnstone?
In their last 4 meetings, Dunfermline won 1, ST Johnstone won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Dunfermline and ST Johnstone?
Recent form — Dunfermline 2W 2D 1L; ST Johnstone 3W 2D 0L.

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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

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