ST Johnstone v Airdrie United result

Full-time · ST Johnstone 4–0 Airdrie United

Championship – Scotland · · McDiarmid Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

The model’s pre-match pick

ST Johnstone 4–0 Airdrie United — ST Johnstone won this Championship – Scotland match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1553 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

ST Johnstone beat Airdrie United 4–0 at McDiarmid Park in the Championship – Scotland on Saturday 11 April. ST Johnstone are unbeaten in their last 12 matches in all competitions.

The goals

ST Johnstone led 3–0 at half-time. The goals — ST Johnstone: Ruari Paton (16’; 35’, assisted by James Gullan), Morgan Boyes (34’, assisted by James Gullan) and Josh Mcpake (81’ pen).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s four key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Ruari Paton’s goal on 16 minutes.

Discipline

G. Irvine showed two yellow cards — against 3.6 yellows a game across the last 11 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — ST Johnstone: Jack Baird (12’); Airdrie United: C. Ross (56’).

What it changes

ST Johnstone stay first after this result (33 league matches played).

Airdrie United stay ninth after this result (32 league matches played).

ST Johnstone’s four-goal margin was the biggest of round 33, across five matches.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, ST Johnstone or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, landed — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.3% of the time in the last 90 days (1170 of 1553).

Next up

ST Johnstone next travel to Rangers on 24 October 2026.

Airdrie United next travel to Ross County on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for ST Johnstone: Rangers v ST Johnstone, Saturday 24 October — the preview. Next for Airdrie United: Ross County v Airdrie United, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: ST Johnstone 4–0 Airdrie United · Championship – Scotland
  • Venue: McDiarmid Park · Perth
  • Referee: G. Irvine
  • Model coverage: 182 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): ST Johnstone 3 · draws 0 · Airdrie United 1 · 2 goals/game
  • Recent form: ST Johnstone 3W 2D 0L · Airdrie United 2W 1D 2L

ST Johnstone 4–0 Airdrie United (Championship – Scotland): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 182 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

182
Markets analysed

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind ST Johnstone v Airdrie United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
ST JohnstoneWWDDW
Last 5: 3W 2D 0L · 1.6 scored / 0.6 conceded per game
Airdrie UnitedWLDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
ST Johnstone 3 · 0 draws · Airdrie United 1 · 2 goals/game
  • 2026-02-13 Airdrie United 0–1 ST Johnstone
  • 2025-11-01 ST Johnstone 3–0 Airdrie United
  • 2025-09-23 Airdrie United 1–2 ST Johnstone
  • 2024-01-20 Airdrie United 1–0 ST Johnstone
League standing · 2025/26
ST Johnstone#1 pos77 pts36 pl+42 GD
Airdrie United#9 pos36 pts36 pl-14 GD
Goals per game
ST Johnstone scored1.86
Airdrie United scored0.97
ST Johnstone conceded0.69
Airdrie United conceded1.36

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for ST Johnstone v Airdrie United?
TACTIX’s free model pick for ST Johnstone v Airdrie United was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between ST Johnstone and Airdrie United?
In their last 4 meetings, ST Johnstone won 3, Airdrie United won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2 goals per game.
What is the recent form of ST Johnstone and Airdrie United?
Recent form — ST Johnstone 3W 2D 0L; Airdrie United 2W 1D 2L.

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