Derby v Bolton prediction
Team pages: Derby · Bolton · Head-to-head
TACTIX’s free model pick for Derby v Bolton, Championship on Sat, 07 Nov 2026 15:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.
The match
Derby host Bolton in the Championship on Saturday 7 November (kick-off 15:00 UK).
The key numbers
Derby are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
10 of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Derby have no wins, two draws and six defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 0.25 points per game, scoring 0.75 and conceding 1.75. Derby have scored nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Derby have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Bolton have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Bolton have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bolton have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Derby (23rd) and Bolton (15th) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bolton the stronger side, 154 rating points above Derby (Bolton 1481, Derby 1327, after at least 103 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 16 March 2024, finished Derby 1–0 Bolton.
Team news
Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Vickers, D. Sanderson, S. Langås, J. Ward, C. Taylor, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, S. Szmodics, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 690 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances.
Predicted Bolton XI (4-2-3-1): G. Bazunu, E. Toal, G. Larrazabal, B. Davies, M. Conway, J. Sheehan, T. Gale, E. Erhahon, S. Iling-Junior, R. Rodrigues, S. Dalby — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Chris Forino-Joseph (4.6 per match over seven appearances) and Max Conway (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Bolton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bolton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Chris Forino-Joseph averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 616 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances. Max Conway averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 693 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Pride Park
- Head-to-head (last 6): Derby 3 · draws 1 · Bolton 2 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: Derby 0W 2D 3L · Bolton 3W 1D 1L
Derby v Bolton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Derby for / against | Line | Bolton for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5standard | 1.63 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.63 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 12.75 for · 13 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5 for · 5 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.88 for · 9.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.63 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Derby
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Meister n 8 | 34.3 | 3.9 | 1 | — |
| L. Salvesen n 8 | 28.8 | 2.7 | 0 | — |
| D. Ozoh n 8 | 74.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 | — |
| F. Bilbija n 8 | 48.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| L. Travis n 8 | 77.1 | 2 | 2.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Salvesen n 8 | 28.8 | 4.3 | 2 |
| H. Meister n 8 | 34.3 | 2.3 | 0.7 |
| C. Blackett-Taylor n 8 | 23.1 | 1.9 | 1 |
| S. Szmodics n 8 | 84.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| F. Bilbija n 8 | 48.4 | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Salvesen n 8 | 28.8 | 0.8 | 0 |
| S. Szmodics n 8 | 84.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| M. Fuseini n 8 | 62.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| F. Bilbija n 8 | 48.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| R. Brewster n 8 | 29.4 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Ozoh n 8 | 74.3 | 3.6 |
| A. Mowatt n 8 | 85 | 2.5 |
| L. Travis n 8 | 77.1 | 2.5 |
| R. Hedges n 8 | 69.5 | 2.3 |
| J. Ward n 8 | 68.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Widell Zetterström n 8 | 90.6 | 3.7 |
| J. Vickers n 8 | 89.5 | 2 |
Bolton
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson n 8 | 25 | 2.7 | 1.8 | — |
| Thelonius Bair n 8 | 27 | 2.1 | 0.4 | — |
| Ruben Rodrigues n 8 | 52 | 1.9 | 3 | — |
| S. Iling-Junior n 8 | 47.8 | 1.6 | 0.7 | — |
| E. Erhahon n 8 | 61.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nelson n 8 | 25 | 3.6 | 1.8 |
| Thelonius Bair n 8 | 27 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| R. Hardie n 8 | 22.6 | 2 | 0.5 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 69.4 | 1.9 | 1 |
| T. Gale n 8 | 65.5 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thelonius Bair n 8 | 27 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| A. Ito n 8 | 39 | 0.6 | 0 |
| S. Dalby n 8 | 69.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Gale n 8 | 65.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 |
| X. Simons n 8 | 47.8 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Conway n 8 | 60.8 | 3.7 |
| E. Erhahon n 8 | 61.3 | 2.8 |
| C. Forino-Joseph n 8 | 88.3 | 2.5 |
| J. McAtee n 8 | 47.5 | 2.4 |
| J. Nelson n 8 | 25 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Bazunu n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
| J. Bonham n 8 | 90.9 | 2.7 |
The day’s free picks, by email
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Derby v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2024-03-16 Derby 1–0 Bolton
- 2023-09-02 Bolton 2–1 Derby
- 2023-01-21 Derby 2–1 Bolton
- 2022-12-27 Bolton 0–0 Derby
- 2019-04-13 Derby 4–0 Bolton
- 2018-09-29 Bolton 1–0 Derby
Frequently asked questions
- What is the head-to-head record between Derby and Bolton?
- In their last 6 meetings, Derby won 3, Bolton won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Derby and Bolton?
- Recent form — Derby 0W 2D 3L; Bolton 3W 1D 1L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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