Lincoln v Bolton prediction

Championship · · LNER stadium

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for Lincoln v Bolton, Championship on Sat, 17 Apr 2027 15:00 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Lincoln host Bolton in the Championship on Saturday 17 April (kick-off 15:00 UK).

The key numbers

Lincoln are winless in their last four matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Nine of Lincoln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in seven of Lincoln’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). At home, Lincoln have no wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 5 home matches in all competitions — 0.40 points per game, scoring 0.60 and conceding 2.40. Lincoln have scored nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Lincoln have conceded 19 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of Bolton’s last 15 results in all competitions (47%). Away from home, Bolton have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 1.50. Bolton have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Bolton have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Lincoln (18th) and Bolton (15th) are two points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Bolton the stronger side, 112 rating points above Lincoln (Bolton 1481, Lincoln 1368, after at least 11 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Lincoln are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Bolton. The most recent meeting, on 29 August 2026, finished Bolton 0–1 Lincoln.

Team news

Predicted Lincoln XI (3-4-2-1): G. Wickens, D. Elerewe, S. Bradley, R. Towler, C. McGrandles, A. Reach, I. Varfolomeev, D. Jefferies, T. Bayliss, Y. Konak, F. Draper — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Benjamin House (3.7 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) and George Wickens (3.0 per match over 12 appearances) have been Lincoln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lincoln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Benjamin House averages 1.5 shots per 90 over 801 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. George Wickens averages 3.4 saves per 90 over 1085 minutes, with two or more saves in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Bolton XI (4-2-3-1): G. Bazunu, E. Toal, G. Larrazabal, B. Davies, M. Conway, J. Sheehan, T. Gale, E. Erhahon, S. Iling-Junior, R. Rodrigues, S. Dalby — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Chris Forino-Joseph (4.6 per match over seven appearances) and Max Conway (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, one assist) have been Bolton’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Bolton (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Chris Forino-Joseph averages 2.6 tackles per 90 over 616 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last seven appearances. Max Conway averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 693 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · LNER stadium
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Lincoln 2 · draws 2 · Bolton 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Lincoln 1W 1D 3L · Bolton 3W 1D 1L

Lincoln v Bolton (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

0.75 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.25 / 2 · 4 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
2.5 / 4.75
Corners
against 8.88 / 5.5 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
2.75 / 5
Shots on target
against 5.75 / 5 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
3 / 2
Cards
against 2.25 / 1.63 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameLincoln for / againstLineBolton for / against
Goals scored
0.75 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 8.88 against n 8
9.5standard
4.75 for · 5.5 against n 8
Shots
9.75 for · 18.88 against n 8
19.5standard
14.25 for · 13.13 against n 8
Shots on target
2.75 for · 5.75 against n 8
8.5standard
5 for · 5 against n 8
Fouls committed
12 for · 11.88 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
3 for · 2.25 against n 8
3.5standard
2 for · 1.63 against n 8
Lincoln
Lincoln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
F. Draper n 867.3
3.77/4
2.26/4
—
B. House n 872
2.25/4
1.76/4
—
Andrei Coubiș n 878.8
1.65/3
0.64/0
—
Y. Konak n 846.3
1.55/1
2.97/2
—
Ivan Varfolomeev n 858.1
1.45/1
13/2
—
Lincoln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
M. Ladefoged n 834.5
2.94/3
1.33/1
F. Draper n 867.3
27/3
0.84/1
C. Ogbene n 835.1
1.94/2
13/0
R. Hackett n 866.8
1.33/2
0.51/1
B. House n 872
0.94/2
0.21/0
Lincoln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Elder n 857.8
0.21/0
0.42/0
B. House n 872
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Hackett n 866.8
0.21/0
0.21/0
J. Honohan n 872.1
00/0
0.32/0
F. Draper n 867.3
0.32/0
00/0
Lincoln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Ivan Varfolomeev n 858.1
3.37/5
B. House n 872
36/6
C. Elder n 857.8
2.56/2
Y. Konak n 846.3
2.44/3
C. McGrandles n 873.1
2.35/5
Lincoln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
G. Wickens n 890
2.98/3
J. Gauci n 890
25/2
Bolton
Bolton — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Nelson n 825
2.73/2
1.83/1
—
Thelonius Bair n 827
2.14/1
0.41/0
—
Ruben Rodrigues n 852
1.95/2
38/5
—
S. Iling-Junior n 847.8
1.64/2
0.73/0
—
E. Erhahon n 861.3
1.56/1
0.95/0
—
Bolton — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
J. Nelson n 825
3.65/2
1.84/0
Thelonius Bair n 827
2.94/2
1.32/1
R. Hardie n 822.6
23/1
0.51/0
S. Dalby n 869.4
1.97/1
16/0
T. Gale n 865.5
1.96/4
0.95/0
Bolton — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Thelonius Bair n 827
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Ito n 839
0.62/0
00/0
S. Dalby n 869.4
0.53/0
00/0
T. Gale n 865.5
0.32/0
0.21/0
X. Simons n 847.8
0.52/0
00/0
Bolton — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
M. Conway n 860.8
3.75/4
E. Erhahon n 861.3
2.87/4
C. Forino-Joseph n 888.3
2.58/7
J. McAtee n 847.5
2.46/1
J. Nelson n 825
2.33/2
Bolton — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Gavin Bazunu n 890
3.16/3
J. Bonham n 890.9
2.75/2

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Lincoln v Bolton — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
LincolnWLLLD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
BoltonWWLWD
Last 5: 3W 1D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Lincoln 2 · 2 draws · Bolton 2 · 2.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-29 Bolton 0–1 Lincoln
  • 2026-02-14 Lincoln 1–1 Bolton
  • 2025-08-23 Bolton 1–1 Lincoln
  • 2025-04-21 Lincoln 4–2 Bolton
  • 2024-12-29 Bolton 3–0 Lincoln
  • 2023-12-26 Lincoln 0–1 Bolton
League standing · 2026/27
Lincoln#18 pos12 pts11 pl-10 GD
Bolton#15 pos14 pts11 pl-3 GD
Goals per game
Lincoln scored0.82
Bolton scored1.36
Lincoln conceded1.73
Bolton conceded1.64

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Lincoln and Bolton?
In their last 6 meetings, Lincoln won 2, Bolton won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Lincoln and Bolton?
Recent form — Lincoln 1W 1D 3L; Bolton 3W 1D 1L.

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