Norwich v Stoke City prediction

Championship · · Carrow Road

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Norwich · Stoke City · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for Norwich v Stoke City, Championship on Tue, 20 Apr 2027 19:45 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

Norwich host Stoke City in the Championship on Tuesday 20 April (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Stoke City have scored in 13 consecutive matches in all competitions. Norwich have lost their last six matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 10 of Norwich’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Norwich have three wins, no draws and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.29 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.57. Norwich have scored 17 goals, the ninth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Norwich have conceded 21 goals, the third-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Nine of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 10 of Stoke City’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Stoke City have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.14 and conceding 1.71. Stoke City have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Stoke City have conceded 16 goals, the 11th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Norwich (21st) and Stoke City (sixth) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Stoke City the stronger side, 106 rating points above Norwich (Stoke City 1528, Norwich 1423, after at least 335 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

Stoke City are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Norwich. The most recent meeting, on 1 September 2026, finished Stoke City 1–0 Norwich.

Team news

Predicted Norwich XI (4-2-3-1): V. Kovačević, J. Córdoba, R. McConville, J. Stacey, B. Chrisene, P. Mattsson, A. Brooks, O. Schwartau, K. McLean, J. Wright, M. Kvistgaarden — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Jack Stacey (4.3 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) and D. Yongwa (4.1 per match over five appearances) have been Norwich’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Norwich (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Jack Stacey averages 3.1 tackles per 90 over 877 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances. D. Yongwa averages 4.5 tackles per 90 over 342 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last five appearances.

Predicted Stoke City XI (3-4-3): V. Johansson, L. Graham, B. Wilmot, M. Talovierov, E. Galbraith, E. Soumaré, B. Johnson, E. Bocat, L. Cissé, J. McGlynn, G. Hirst — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ethan Galbraith (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, three goals and three assists) and Eric-Junior Bocat (3.6 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) have been Stoke City’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Stoke City (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ethan Galbraith averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1467 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Eric-Junior Bocat averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 936 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Carrow Road
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Norwich 2 · draws 2 · Stoke City 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Norwich 0W 0D 5L · Stoke City 4W 0D 1L

Norwich v Stoke City (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.88
Goals
against 2.38 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.13
Corners
against 3.5 / 5 · 0 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 4.75 / 4.75 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.13 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.38 / 2.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNorwich for / againstLineStoke City for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 2.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 0.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 3.5 against n 8
9.5standard
5.13 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.75 for · 12.63 against n 8
19.5standard
11.88 for · 17 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 4.75 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.88 for · 11 against n 8
21.5standard
12.75 for · 11 against n 8
Cards shown
2.13 for · 1.38 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
Norwich
Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.87/7
1.67/3
—
J. Makama n 850.3
2.56/2
1.14/1
—
M. Kvistgaarden n 845
25/3
1.86/1
—
S. Field n 831.9
1.84/1
2.53/2
—
D. Yongwa n 857.4
1.64/3
1.66/2
—
Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Crnac n 825
2.75/1
0.92/0
A. Musaba n 846.8
2.27/2
1.45/1
M. Touré n 859.4
1.96/3
1.15/1
O. Schwartau n 857.6
1.85/3
0.42/0
J. Makama n 850.3
1.85/2
0.72/1
Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Touré n 859.4
0.94/1
00/0
Jacob Wright n 858.1
0.42/0
0.21/0
O. Schwartau n 857.6
0.21/0
0.42/0
M. Kvistgaarden n 845
0.31/0
0.31/0
P. Maghoma n 840.8
00/0
0.62/0
Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Yongwa n 857.4
4.16/5
J. Stacey n 882.3
3.68/6
P. Mattsson n 889.4
2.68/6
A. Ben Slimane n 847.5
2.66/4
B. Chrisene n 877.3
2.57/5
Norwich — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Kovačević n 890
2.66/4
D. Grimshaw n 884.4
1.63/2
Stoke City
Stoke City — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Boženík n 836.3
4.76/4
1.63/2
—
S. Gallagher n 852.8
2.86/5
0.63/0
—
B. Lawal n 749.1
2.15/2
0.52/0
—
Luca Bombino n 840.3
25/2
2.85/3
—
George Hirst n 839.4
26/1
0.31/0
—
Stoke City — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Boženík n 836.3
2.55/3
0.62/0
S. Gallagher n 852.8
1.95/2
1.13/1
L. Cissé n 860.5
1.75/2
0.42/0
George Hirst n 839.4
1.74/2
0.92/1
J. McGlynn n 865.6
1.26/1
0.74/0
Stoke City — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Gallagher n 852.8
0.42/0
0.21/0
George Hirst n 839.4
0.31/0
0.31/0
R. Boženík n 836.3
0.31/0
0.31/0
E. Bocat n 872.3
0.21/0
0.31/1
J. McGlynn n 865.6
0.32/0
0.21/0
Stoke City — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Luca Bombino n 840.3
8.77/7
B. Pearson n 841.5
3.36/3
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré n 881
2.98/6
S. Gallagher n 852.8
2.16/2
Luke Graham n 880
1.76/4
Stoke City — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Johansson n 890
3.46/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Norwich v Stoke City — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NorwichLLLLL
Last 5: 0W 0D 5L · 0.8 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Stoke CityWWWLW
Last 5: 4W 0D 1L · 1.8 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Norwich 2 · 2 draws · Stoke City 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-09-01 Stoke City 1–0 Norwich
  • 2026-01-04 Norwich 0–2 Stoke City
  • 2025-09-27 Stoke City 1–1 Norwich
  • 2025-02-22 Norwich 4–2 Stoke City
  • 2024-10-19 Stoke City 1–1 Norwich
  • 2024-03-16 Stoke City 0–3 Norwich
League standing · 2026/27
Norwich#21 pos9 pts11 pl-4 GD
Stoke City#6 pos19 pts11 pl+2 GD
Goals per game
Norwich scored1.55
Stoke City scored1.64
Norwich conceded1.91
Stoke City conceded1.45

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between Norwich and Stoke City?
In their last 6 meetings, Norwich won 2, Stoke City won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Norwich and Stoke City?
Recent form — Norwich 0W 0D 5L; Stoke City 4W 0D 1L.

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