Portsmouth v Millwall prediction
Team pages: Portsmouth · Millwall · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Portsmouth v Millwall, Championship on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST.
The match
Portsmouth host Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Portsmouth or Millwall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
Eight of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, Portsmouth have two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.33 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.67. Portsmouth have scored 14 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Portsmouth have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Eight of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Millwall have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57. Millwall have scored 18 goals, the sixth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Millwall have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.
Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. Portsmouth (13th) and Millwall (12th) are level on points, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Portsmouth the stronger side, 57 rating points above Millwall (Portsmouth 1518, Millwall 1461, after at least 103 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth.
Team news
Predicted Portsmouth XI (4-2-3-1): N. Schmid, J. Meghoma, M. Dia, Z. Swanson, R. Poole, A. Kamara, A. Segecic, M. Pack, E. Adams, R. Kavuma McQueen, M. Milovanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ebrima Adams (4.0 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and one assist) and R. Kavuma McQueen (3.9 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Portsmouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Portsmouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ebrima Adams averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 628 minutes, with a key pass in two of the last 10 appearances. R. Kavuma McQueen averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 597 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Millwall XI (4-2-3-1): M. Crocombe, C. Taylor, J. Cooper, Z. Sturge, J. Osei-Tutu, C. Neghli, J. Metcalfe, D. Mazou-Sacko, M. Sykes, K. Lisbie, L. Dykes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Caleb Taylor (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Jake Cooper (3.6 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Millwall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Millwall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Caleb Taylor averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1175 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jake Cooper averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 1257 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Championship · Fratton Park
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Portsmouth 2 · draws 0 · Millwall 4 · 2.67 goals/game
- Recent form: Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L · Millwall 1W 3D 1L
Portsmouth v Millwall (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Portsmouth for / against | Line | Millwall for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.88 for · 7.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.5 for · 10.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 13 for · 16 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 3.75 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 11.5 for · 11 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.38 for · 10.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.88 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.38 for · 2.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
Portsmouth
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Mohamed n 8 | 41.5 | 2.7 | 0.5 | — |
| Rocco Robert Shein n 8 | 55.4 | 2.2 | 0.4 | — |
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 46.1 | 2 | 2 | — |
| R. Kavuma McQueen n 8 | 53.9 | 1.9 | 1.5 | — |
| E. Adams n 8 | 46.1 | 1.7 | 2.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| R. Kavuma McQueen n 8 | 53.9 | 3.8 | 1.3 |
| E. Kenny n 8 | 69.4 | 2.6 | 1.1 |
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 46.1 | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Lucas Pasquoto n 8 | 32.3 | 2.1 | 0.3 |
| A. Segecic n 8 | 82.8 | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Milovanović n 8 | 46.1 | 0.7 | 0 |
| E. Kenny n 8 | 69.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| R. Kavuma McQueen n 8 | 53.9 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Z. Swanson n 8 | 67.8 | 0.3 | 0 |
| K. Anderson n 8 | 32.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| E. Adams n 8 | 46.1 | 5.9 |
| I. Mohamed n 8 | 41.5 | 3.3 |
| Luke Brooke-Smith n 8 | 27.6 | 3.3 |
| T. Devlin n 8 | 61.9 | 2.7 |
| J. Meghoma n 8 | 71.8 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| D. Bielica n 8 | 90 | 4.6 |
| N. Schmid n 8 | 91.1 | 2.3 |
Millwall
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Esse n 8 | 45 | 2.8 | 1.5 | — |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 2.6 | 0.9 | — |
| D. Mazou-Sacko n 8 | 75.8 | 2.4 | 0.9 | — |
| Jenson Metcalfe n 8 | 80 | 2.1 | 2.5 | — |
| Zak Norton Sturge n 8 | 89.3 | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lisbie n 8 | 54.9 | 2.5 | 1 |
| L. Dykes n 8 | 85.4 | 2.1 | 0.9 |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 1.7 | 0.4 |
| T. Arconte n 8 | 69.4 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| C. Taylor n 8 | 90 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cundle n 8 | 29.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Z. Lovelace n 8 | 27.8 | 0 | 0.8 |
| L. Dykes n 8 | 85.4 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| C. Neghli n 8 | 89.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| T. Arconte n 8 | 69.4 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Jenson Metcalfe n 8 | 80 | 3 |
| R. Esse n 8 | 45 | 2.5 |
| D. Mazou-Sacko n 8 | 75.8 | 2.2 |
| Y. Issoufou n 8 | 26.3 | 2.1 |
| D. Kelly n 8 | 38.5 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Crocombe n 8 | 84.4 | 2.7 |
| F. Marschall n 8 | 84.4 | 2.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Portsmouth v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-02-21 Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth
- 2025-11-22 Portsmouth 3–1 Millwall
- 2025-04-05 Millwall 2–1 Portsmouth
- 2025-01-28 Portsmouth 0–1 Millwall
- 2024-08-13 Portsmouth 0–1 Millwall
- 2021-08-10 Millwall 2–1 Portsmouth
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Portsmouth v Millwall?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Millwall is Home or Away (best price 1.33 at Bet365).
- What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Millwall?
- In their last 6 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Millwall?
- Recent form — Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L; Millwall 1W 3D 1L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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