Portsmouth v Millwall prediction

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portsmouth · Millwall · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Portsmouth v Millwall, Championship on Sat, 24 Oct 2026 12:30 BST.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.3% of 4357 landed (95% range 76–78.5%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Portsmouth host Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 24 October (kick-off 12:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Portsmouth or Millwall (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

Form and the table

Eight of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Portsmouth’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Portsmouth have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.43. Portsmouth have scored 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Portsmouth have conceded 13 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 24 clubs.

Eight of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Millwall’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Millwall have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 1.57. Millwall have scored 18 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Millwall have conceded 18 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 24 clubs.

Portsmouth (13th) and Millwall (12th) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Portsmouth the stronger side, 49 rating points above Millwall (Portsmouth 1509, Millwall 1461, after at least 102 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth.

Team news

Predicted Portsmouth XI (4-2-3-1): N. Schmid, Z. Swanson, J. Meghoma, M. Dia, T. Devlin, A. Kamara, A. Segecic, M. Pack, R. Kavuma McQueen, E. Adams, M. Milovanović — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, R. Kavuma McQueen (4.1 per match over 10 appearances, one goal and two assists) and Ebrima Adams (3.6 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Portsmouth’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Portsmouth (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), R. Kavuma McQueen averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 560 minutes, with a key pass in four of the last 10 appearances. Ebrima Adams averages 1.3 key passes per 90 over 538 minutes, with a key pass in three of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Millwall XI (4-2-3-1): M. Crocombe, C. Taylor, J. Cooper, Z. Sturge, J. Osei-Tutu, C. Neghli, J. Metcalfe, D. Mazou-Sacko, M. Sykes, K. Lisbie, L. Dykes — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Caleb Taylor (4.5 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) and Jake Cooper (3.6 per match over 14 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Millwall’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Millwall (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Caleb Taylor averages 1.3 tackles per 90 over 1175 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last 10 appearances. Jake Cooper averages 1.1 tackles per 90 over 1257 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · Fratton Park
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Portsmouth 2 · draws 0 · Millwall 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L · Millwall 1W 3D 1L

Portsmouth v Millwall (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 18 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.13 / 1.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.88 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 7.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 4.13
Shots on target
against 3.75 / 4.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.5 / 2.38
Cards
against 2.75 / 2.75 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineMillwall for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.38 against n 8
Corners won
6.88 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 7.75 against n 8
Shots
16.25 for · 9.75 against n 8
19.5standard
13 for · 16 against n 8
Shots on target
3.75 for · 3.75 against n 8
8.5standard
4.13 for · 4.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
11.5 for · 11.5 against n 8
21.5standard
13.38 for · 10.63 against n 8
Cards shown
1.5 for · 2.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.38 for · 2.75 against n 8
Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Mohamed n 833.5
36/2
0.72/0
—
M. Milovanović n 843.9
2.36/3
2.15/2
—
Rocco Robert Shein n 861.1
2.27/4
0.42/0
—
E. Adams n 840.5
1.96/1
3.36/3
—
R. Kavuma McQueen n 857.1
1.65/2
1.65/3
—
Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Kavuma McQueen n 857.1
3.97/4
1.23/1
M. Milovanović n 843.9
3.17/3
1.55/1
A. Segecic n 882
2.18/5
0.43/0
Lucas Pasquoto n 832.3
2.12/2
0.31/0
E. Adams n 840.5
1.75/1
0.62/0
Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Milovanović n 843.9
0.83/0
00/0
R. Kavuma McQueen n 857.1
00/0
0.42/0
O. Bailey n 828.8
00/0
0.41/0
H. Blair n 825.5
00/0
0.41/0
Z. Swanson n 867.8
0.32/0
00/0
Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Adams n 840.5
5.38/6
I. Mohamed n 833.5
3.45/2
Luke Brooke-Smith n 827.6
3.35/2
M. Dia n 875.8
2.46/4
T. Devlin n 861.9
2.46/4
Portsmouth — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
D. Bielica n 890
4.68/8
N. Schmid n 891.1
2.57/3
Millwall
Millwall — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
R. Esse n 845
2.85/3
1.54/2
—
Y. Issoufou n 826.3
2.66/0
0.92/0
—
D. Mazou-Sacko n 875.8
2.47/4
0.95/1
—
Jenson Metcalfe n 880
2.16/4
2.56/4
—
Zak Norton Sturge n 889.3
1.87/5
14/4
—
Millwall — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Lisbie n 854.9
2.54/3
13/1
L. Dykes n 885.4
2.18/5
0.96/1
Y. Issoufou n 826.3
1.73/1
0.41/0
T. Arconte n 869.4
1.57/2
0.63/1
C. Taylor n 890
1.46/3
0.54/0
Millwall — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Cundle n 829.6
0.41/0
0.41/0
Z. Lovelace n 827.8
00/0
0.82/0
L. Dykes n 885.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
C. Neghli n 889.9
0.43/0
0.11/0
T. Arconte n 869.4
0.52/1
00/0
Millwall — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jenson Metcalfe n 880
38/7
R. Esse n 845
2.55/3
D. Mazou-Sacko n 875.8
2.26/4
Y. Issoufou n 826.3
2.14/1
D. Kelly n 838.5
23/3
Millwall — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Crocombe n 884.4
2.74/3
F. Marschall n 884.4
2.45/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Millwall — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthDDLWW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1.2 scored / 1 conceded per game
MillwallDDWLD
Last 5: 1W 3D 1L · 1.4 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Portsmouth 2 · 0 draws · Millwall 4 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-02-21 Millwall 1–3 Portsmouth
  • 2025-11-22 Portsmouth 3–1 Millwall
  • 2025-04-05 Millwall 2–1 Portsmouth
  • 2025-01-28 Portsmouth 0–1 Millwall
  • 2024-08-13 Portsmouth 0–1 Millwall
  • 2021-08-10 Millwall 2–1 Portsmouth
League standing · 2026/27
Portsmouth#13 pos14 pts10 pl0 GD
Millwall#12 pos15 pts11 pl0 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.3
Millwall scored1.64
Portsmouth conceded1.3
Millwall conceded1.64

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Portsmouth v Millwall?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Millwall is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Millwall?
In their last 6 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Millwall won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Millwall?
Recent form — Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L; Millwall 1W 3D 1L.

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