Portsmouth v Norwich result

Full-time · Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich

Championship · · Fratton Park

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Portsmouth · Norwich

The model’s pre-match pick

Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich — Norwich won this Championship match. TACTIX’s pre-match model pick was Home or Draw.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.5% of 1546 landed (95% range 73.3–77.6%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match report, in numbers

The result

Norwich won 2–1 at Fratton Park in the Championship on Saturday 16 August. Portsmouth have scored in eight consecutive matches in all competitions.

The goals

Norwich led 2–0 at half-time. The goals — Norwich: Harry Darling (6’, assisted by Marcelino Núñez) and Josh Sargent (14’, assisted by J. Córdoba); Portsmouth: Adrian Segecic (84’, assisted by F. Bianchini).

How it turned

Replaying TACTIX’s published pre-match model through the match’s three key moments (goals and red cards), the biggest swing came with Harry Darling’s goal on 6 minutes.

The numbers

Expected goals (xG) had little between the sides: Portsmouth 1.76, Norwich 1.96, from 19 shots to 11 (the provider’s expected goals for this match).

Discipline

S. Martin showed six yellow cards — against 5.2 yellows a game across the last 10 matches refereed (this competition). The bookings — Portsmouth: Regan Poole (58’), C. Ogilvie (90+7’) and John Swift (90+9’); Norwich: M. Topić (25’), J. Córdoba (37’) and Harry Darling (90+8’).

What it changes

Portsmouth move down from third to 10th (two league matches played).

Norwich move up from 18th to ninth (two league matches played).

Who stood out

By TACTIX Impact for this match, Josh Sargent (Norwich) 6.7, Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) 6.3 and Vladan Kovačević (Norwich) 6.3 led the match.

What the model said

The model’s free pick, Portsmouth or the draw, a Bronze-tier call, did not land — graded in the live track record like every other call. Bronze-tier calls in this market have landed 75.5% of the time in the last 90 days (1168 of 1546).

Next up

Portsmouth next travel to Wolves on 20 October 2026.

Norwich next travel to Charlton on 24 October 2026.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

Next for Portsmouth: Wolves v Portsmouth, Tuesday 20 October — the preview. Next for Norwich: Charlton v Norwich, Saturday 24 October — the preview.

The numbers

  • Result: Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich · Championship
  • Venue: Fratton Park · Portsmouth
  • Referee: S. Martin
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 3): Portsmouth 2 · draws 1 · Norwich 0 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L · Norwich 2W 1D 2L

Portsmouth 1–2 Norwich (Championship): this fixture is settled. TACTIX’s pre-match coverage ran across 246 markets, and every graded call — wins and losses — is in the live track record (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.5 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.25 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5 / 4.5
Corners
against 5.13 / 6.17 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 6 matches
4.5 / 4.17
Shots on target
against 4.38 / 4.17 · 2 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 6 matches
2.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 2 / 2.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 6 matches
5.2 yellows
Referee · S. Martin
2.3 home / 2.9 away
over 10 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 12 August 2025. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gamePortsmouth for / againstLineNorwich for / against
Goals scored
1.5 for · 1.25 against n 8
2.5standard
1.5 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
5 for · 5.13 against n 8
9.5standard
4.5 for · 6.17 against n 6
Shots
12.38 for · 13.13 against n 8
19.5standard
11.67 for · 13 against n 6
Shots on target
4.5 for · 4.38 against n 8
8.5standard
4.17 for · 4.17 against n 6
Fouls committed
10 for · 14.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.5 for · 13 against n 6
Cards shown
2.63 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 2.5 against n 6

Referee: S. Martin — 5.2 yellow cards a game, 0 red cards, 21.9 fouls over 10 matches (2.3 to the home side, 2.9 to the away side).

Portsmouth
Portsmouth — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
I. Hayden n 851.3
2.24/4
1.34/1
—
C. Saydee n 846.9
1.96/2
2.46/3
—
C. Lang n 861.1
1.86/2
24/3
E. Marcondes
J. Williams n 860.9
1.77/2
0.21/0
—
A. Segecic n 863.5
1.44/2
1.45/3
E. Marcondes
Portsmouth — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Segecic n 863.5
2.56/3
1.66/2
Yang Min-Hyeok n 858.1
2.16/4
14/1
J. Murphy n 889.1
1.96/4
0.94/3
C. Bishop n 886.4
1.85/2
1.35/2
A. Aouchiche n 874.1
1.86/4
0.94/2
Portsmouth — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Segecic n 863.5
0.42/0
0.21/0
J. Murphy n 889.1
0.11/0
0.53/1
C. Bishop n 886.4
0.52/1
00/0
M. Pack n 824
00/0
0.51/0
R. Atkinson n 883
0.31/1
0.11/0
Portsmouth — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
J. Williams n 860.9
4.17/6
A. Segecic n 863.5
2.35/5
I. Hayden n 851.3
2.24/3
J. Swift n 869
25/4
F. Potts n 887.3
1.86/5
Norwich
Norwich — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
K. Fisher n 874.4
2.66/5
1.46/3
—
Ruairi McConville n 827.3
2.14/1
0.41/0
—
Jacob Lungi Sørensen n 833.5
23/2
1.32/1
—
E. Marcondes n 860.1
1.96/3
1.75/3
A. Segecic
M. Topić n 855.6
1.85/1
0.84/0
—
Norwich — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Marcelino Núñez n 866.4
26/3
1.23/2
A. Forson n 833.9
24/2
0.71/1
Jacob Lungi Sørensen n 833.5
1.73/1
0.31/0
H. Darling n 890
1.56/5
0.64/1
Josh Sargent n 875.3
1.57/3
0.75/0
Norwich — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
A. Forson n 833.9
0.71/1
0.31/0
Marcelino Núñez n 866.4
0.52/1
0.21/0
J. Stacey n 855.6
0.42/0
0.21/0
Jacob Wright n 881.5
00/0
0.63/1
H. Darling n 890
0.43/0
00/0
Norwich — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 12 August 2025. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
K. McLean n 890
37/7
A. Forson n 833.9
34/3
Jacob Wright n 881.5
2.88/6
J. Stacey n 855.6
2.86/3
Jacob Lungi Sørensen n 833.5
2.76/1

The next free picks, by email

The pick on this page was published before kick-off and graded afterwards. The daily email carries the next ones at 07:30 UK, each with its tier’s settled record, misses included. One click to leave.

Match statistics & details

Full-time team statistics as recorded by the data provider; – = not recorded.
PortsmouthNorwich
58%Possession42%
1.76Expected goals (xG)1.96
19Shots11
3Shots on target5
9Shots off target6
7Blocked shots0
8Shots inside the box7
9Corners0
3Offsides1
8Fouls13
3Yellow cards3
0Red cards0
2Saves2
459Passes353
75%Pass accuracy67%

Portsmouth player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
N. Schmid9000000007.3
R. Poole90001100Y6.5
C. Shaughnessy9000301107
C. Ogilvie90000012Y6.6
J. Swift90001030Y6.6
A. Dozzell9000100206.3
A. Segecic9010214107.3
C. Bishop9000213006.3
J. Williams7000000206.5
J. Murphy7000201006.6
C. Lang5700000206.6
F. Bianchini sub3401001007.2
Z. Swanson sub2100001207
T. Waddingham sub2100000006.3

Norwich player stats

PlayerMinGAShSoTKPTklCardsRating
V. Kovačević9000000007.2
J. Medić9000000006.9
H. Darling90102222Y7.3
J. Córdoba90010012Y6.7
M. Topić90001003Y6.9
A. Crnac9000301106.3
P. Diallo7600003407.3
Josh Sargent7510220007.5
J. Stacey6500001207
Marcelino Núñez5001201107.3
E. Marcondes4500110106.6
O. Schwartau sub4500000106.2
Jacob Wright sub4100002106.9
K. Fisher sub2600000105.7
M. Kvistgaarden sub1600000006.2
J. Schlupp sub1500000006.3

Sh = shots, SoT = shots on target, KP = key passes, Tkl = tackles; – = not recorded for that player. Rating is the data provider’s.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Portsmouth v Norwich — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
PortsmouthWDDWL
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 1 scored / 0.8 conceded per game
NorwichLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 3
Portsmouth 2 · 1 draw · Norwich 0 · 3 goals/game
  • 2025-04-18 Norwich 3–5 Portsmouth
  • 2024-12-10 Portsmouth 0–0 Norwich
  • 2019-01-05 Norwich 0–1 Portsmouth
League standing · 2025/26
Portsmouth#18 pos55 pts46 pl-15 GD
Norwich#9 pos65 pts46 pl+7 GD
Goals per game
Portsmouth scored1.07
Norwich scored1.37
Portsmouth conceded1.39
Norwich conceded1.22

The full post-match picture

Pro members see this match shot by shot — every attempt with its expected-goals value, the situation and shot-type breakdowns, the xG timeline, and how the model’s pre-match probabilities compared with what happened. Plus every market the model graded for this fixture.

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Frequently asked questions

What was the model’s pick for Portsmouth v Norwich?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Portsmouth v Norwich was Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between Portsmouth and Norwich?
In their last 3 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, Norwich won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Portsmouth and Norwich?
Recent form — Portsmouth 2W 2D 1L; Norwich 2W 1D 2L.

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