West Brom v Derby prediction

Championship · · The Hawthorns

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for West Brom v Derby, Championship on Wed, 07 Apr 2027 19:45 BST posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

West Brom host Derby in the Championship on Wednesday 7 April (kick-off 19:45 UK).

The key numbers

Derby are winless in their last seven matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of West Brom’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in 10 of West Brom’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). At home, West Brom have three wins, three draws and one defeat in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.71 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 0.86. West Brom have scored 15 goals, the 12th-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). West Brom have conceded 12 goals, the fourth-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs.

10 of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 10 of Derby’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Derby have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 2.00. Derby have scored nine goals, the third-fewest (shared) of the 24 clubs (2026/27 so far). Derby have conceded 20 goals, the fourth-most of the 24 clubs.

West Brom (fifth) and Derby (23rd) are 14 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have West Brom the stronger side, 271 rating points above Derby (West Brom 1598, Derby 1327, after at least 337 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 9 September 2026, finished Derby 0–1 West Brom.

Team news

Predicted West Brom XI (4-4-2): M. O’Leary, C. Styles, G. Campbell, N. Phillips, C. Mepham, I. Price, J. Molumby, O. Diakité, R. Nzingoula, J. Morgan, A. Heggebø — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Isaac Price (5.0 per match over 13 appearances, six goals and two assists) and Callum Styles (4.8 per match over 13 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been West Brom’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for West Brom (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Isaac Price averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1598 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Callum Styles averages 3.4 tackles per 90 over 1145 minutes, with a tackle in 10 of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Derby XI (4-2-3-1): J. Vickers, D. Sanderson, S. Langås, J. Ward, C. Taylor, B. Clark, D. Ozoh, A. Mowatt, S. Szmodics, M. Fuseini, C. Morris — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Bobby Clark (4.1 per match over 12 appearances, two goals and two assists) and Carlton Morris (3.6 per match over eight appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Derby’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Derby (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Bobby Clark averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 1005 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Carlton Morris averages 1.2 shots per 90 over 690 minutes, with a shot in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Championship · The Hawthorns
  • Head-to-head (last 6): West Brom 1 · draws 2 · Derby 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: West Brom 2W 1D 2L · Derby 0W 2D 3L

West Brom v Derby (Championship): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 0.75
Goals
against 0.88 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.25 / 5.63
Corners
against 5.63 / 5 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
3 / 3.88
Shots on target
against 3.5 / 4.5 · 1 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
2.38 / 1.75
Cards
against 2.13 / 2.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameWest Brom for / againstLineDerby for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 0.88 against n 8
2.5standard
0.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
Corners won
6.25 for · 5.63 against n 8
9.5standard
5.63 for · 5 against n 8
Shots
11.88 for · 10 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 13 against n 8
Shots on target
3 for · 3.5 against n 8
8.5standard
3.88 for · 4.5 against n 8
Fouls committed
10.38 for · 14 against n 8
21.5standard
11.88 for · 9.25 against n 8
Cards shown
2.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 2.13 against n 8
West Brom
West Brom — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Heggebø n 847.1
1.94/2
0.72/1
—
B. Stewart n 829
1.94/1
1.22/1
—
Jimmy Morgan n 868.3
1.66/3
2.16/4
—
R. Nzingoula n 863.8
1.66/3
2.36/4
—
Tobias Christopher Collyer n 847.8
1.65/2
0.52/0
—
West Brom — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
I. Price n 875.8
2.48/5
1.27/1
J. Morgan n 381.7
2.23/1
1.52/1
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.24/1
0.92/0
Jimmy Morgan n 868.3
25/2
0.72/1
A. Heggebø n 847.1
1.96/2
0.73/0
West Brom — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Morgan n 381.7
0.72/0
00/0
A. Heggebø n 847.1
0.52/0
0.21/0
I. Price n 875.8
0.43/0
0.11/0
Jimmy Morgan n 868.3
0.21/0
0.21/0
Felix Horn Myhre n 856.1
0.21/0
0.21/0
West Brom — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Harry Whitwell n 856.4
4.87/7
C. Styles n 890
4.38/7
K. Tunde n 825.8
2.63/2
N. Galves n 881
2.48/4
R. Nzingoula n 863.8
2.16/3
West Brom — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. O’Leary n 890
2.66/4
Derby
Derby — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
H. Meister n 834.3
3.96/2
13/0
—
L. Salvesen n 828.8
2.73/3
00/0
—
D. Ozoh n 874.3
2.16/5
0.32/0
—
F. Bilbija n 848.4
2.14/3
1.23/2
—
L. Travis n 877.1
26/4
2.26/6
—
Derby — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
L. Salvesen n 828.8
4.34/4
23/1
H. Meister n 834.3
2.34/2
0.72/0
C. Blackett-Taylor n 823.1
1.92/1
11/1
S. Szmodics n 884.4
1.76/4
0.95/2
F. Bilbija n 848.4
1.62/2
0.21/0
Derby — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
L. Salvesen n 828.8
0.82/0
00/0
S. Szmodics n 884.4
0.32/0
0.11/0
M. Fuseini n 862.9
0.21/0
0.21/0
F. Bilbija n 848.4
0.21/0
0.21/0
R. Brewster n 829.4
00/0
0.41/0
Derby — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. Ozoh n 874.3
3.68/7
A. Mowatt n 885
2.56/5
L. Travis n 877.1
2.57/4
R. Hedges n 869.5
2.36/4
J. Ward n 868.6
2.36/4
Derby — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
J. Widell Zetterström n 890.6
3.77/5
J. Vickers n 889.5
26/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind West Brom v Derby — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
West BromDLLWW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
DerbyLDDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
West Brom 1 · 2 draws · Derby 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-09-09 Derby 0–1 West Brom
  • 2026-01-23 Derby 1–1 West Brom
  • 2025-09-13 West Brom 0–1 Derby
  • 2025-08-12 West Brom 1–1 Derby
  • 2025-04-21 West Brom 1–3 Derby
  • 2024-12-26 Derby 2–1 West Brom
League standing · 2026/27
West Brom#5 pos20 pts11 pl+3 GD
Derby#23 pos6 pts11 pl-11 GD
Goals per game
West Brom scored1.36
Derby scored0.82
West Brom conceded1.09
Derby conceded1.82

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between West Brom and Derby?
In their last 6 meetings, West Brom won 1, Derby won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of West Brom and Derby?
Recent form — West Brom 2W 1D 2L; Derby 0W 2D 3L.

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