Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. prediction
Team pages: Flamengo · Estudiantes L.P. · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P., CONMEBOL Libertadores on Fri, 23 Oct 2026 01:30 BST.
The match
Flamengo host Estudiantes L.P. in CONMEBOL Libertadores on Friday 23 October (kick-off 01:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Flamengo or Estudiantes L.P. (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
The key numbers
Flamengo are unbeaten in their last 11 matches in all competitions. Estudiantes L.P. are winless in their last three matches in all competitions.
Form and the table
Eight of Flamengo’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in eight of Flamengo’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). At home, Flamengo have six wins, one draw and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.71 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 0.57. Flamengo have scored 14 goals, the second-most of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Flamengo have conceded two goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Eight of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Estudiantes L.P.’s last 15 results in all competitions (40%). Away from home, Estudiantes L.P. have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.00 and conceding 1.14. Estudiantes L.P. have scored six goals, the 15th-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs (2026 so far). Estudiantes L.P. have conceded five goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 32 clubs.
Flamengo have kept a clean sheet in their last three matches in all competitions. Flamengo (first) and Estudiantes L.P. (second) are seven points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Flamengo the stronger side, 105 rating points above Estudiantes L.P. (Flamengo 2006, Estudiantes L.P. 1901, after at least 41 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
Flamengo are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Estudiantes L.P.. The most recent meeting, on 16 October 2026, finished Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo.
Team news
Predicted Flamengo XI (4-2-3-1): A. Rossi, E. Royal, L. Ortiz, L. Pereira, A. Lucas, S. Lino, Jorginho, E. Pulgar, J. Carrascal, L. Paquetá, B. Henrique — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Samuel Lino (4.3 per match over 42 appearances, 10 goals and nine assists) and Lucas Paquetá (4.1 per match over 31 appearances, 10 goals and one assist) have been Flamengo’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Flamengo (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Samuel Lino averages 2.3 key passes per 90 over 2907 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lucas Paquetá averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 2348 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Estudiantes L.P. XI (4-2-3-1): F. Muslera, S. Núñez, G. Benedetti, T. Palacios, L. Pírez, E. Piovi, A. Castro, J. Burgos, B. Rodriguez, M. Amondarain, G. Carrillo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, C. Medina (3.8 per match over five appearances, one assist) and Tiago Palacios (3.5 per match over 28 appearances, seven goals and three assists) have been Estudiantes L.P.’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Estudiantes L.P. (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), C. Medina averages 0.8 key passes per 90 over 2784 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances. Tiago Palacios averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1747 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · CONMEBOL Libertadores · Estádio do Maracanã
- Referee: Gustavo Tejera
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Flamengo 2 · draws 2 · Estudiantes L.P. 1 · 1.4 goals/game
- Recent form: Flamengo 3W 2D 0L · Estudiantes L.P. 1W 2D 2L
Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. (CONMEBOL Libertadores): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 21 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Flamengo for / against | Line | Estudiantes L.P. for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 0.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 2.5our book | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 7.13 for · 4.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4.57 for · 4 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14 for · 12.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 15.71 for · 11 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 6 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 5.14 for · 3.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.75 for · 12.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 14 for · 15.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 3.13 for · 3.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.43 for · 2.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
Flamengo
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Sandro n 8 | 68.4 | 2.8 | 1.5 | — |
| S. Niguez n 8 | 40.9 | 2.5 | 0.6 | — |
| Luiz Araujo n 8 | 38.4 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| E. Pulgar n 8 | 80.3 | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 62.6 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. de la Cruz n 8 | 23.4 | 3.4 | 1.9 |
| Pedro n 8 | 57.9 | 2.5 | 1.6 |
| Bruno Henrique n 8 | 39.8 | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 62.6 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Samuel Lino n 8 | 60.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. de Arrascaeta n 8 | 61.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Pedro n 8 | 57.9 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 62.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| G. Varela n 8 | 62.9 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Samuel Lino n 8 | 60.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Luiz Araujo n 8 | 38.4 | 3.8 |
| Lucas Paquetá n 8 | 62.6 | 3.2 |
| J. Freitas n 8 | 21.5 | 2.6 |
| Samuel Lino n 8 | 60.3 | 2.4 |
| N. de la Cruz n 8 | 23.4 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Rossi n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
Estudiantes L.P.
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Monsalve n 8 | 41.4 | 3 | 3.3 | — |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 50.8 | 2.7 | 1.3 | — |
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 60.5 | 2.6 | 3.2 | — |
| Ezequiel Piovi n 8 | 67.9 | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 60.9 | 2 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guido Carrillo n 8 | 45.3 | 4 | 1.2 |
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 51.6 | 3.3 | 1.5 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| Tiago Palacios n 8 | 50.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| Joaquín Tobio Burgos n 8 | 57.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edwuin Cetré n 8 | 51.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| Fabricio Pérez n 8 | 46.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| Adolfo Gaich n 8 | 60.9 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Alexis Castro n 8 | 66.5 | 0.3 | 0 |
| M. Monsalve n 8 | 41.4 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Neves n 8 | 60.4 | 3.7 |
| Alexis Castro n 8 | 66.5 | 3.6 |
| Baltasar Rodriguez n 8 | 60.5 | 3.2 |
| Eros Mancuso n 8 | 65.5 | 3.1 |
| Eric Meza n 8 | 50.3 | 2.9 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Fabricio Iacovich n 8 | 92 | 3.1 |
| Fernando Muslera n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-10-16 Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo
- 2026-05-21 Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.
- 2026-04-30 Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo
- 2025-09-26 Estudiantes L.P. 1–0 Flamengo
- 2025-09-19 Flamengo 2–1 Estudiantes L.P.
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P.?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Flamengo v Estudiantes L.P. is Home or Away (best price 1.20 at William Hill).
- What is the head-to-head record between Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P.?
- In their last 5 meetings, Flamengo won 2, Estudiantes L.P. won 1 and there were 2 draws, averaging 1.4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Flamengo and Estudiantes L.P.?
- Recent form — Flamengo 3W 2D 0L; Estudiantes L.P. 1W 2D 2L.
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