St. Truiden v Lommel United prediction
Team pages: St. Truiden · Lommel United
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for St. Truiden v Lommel United, Cup on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 17:30 BST.
The match
St. Truiden host Lommel United in Cup on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 17:30 UK); the model’s free pick is St. Truiden to win.
Form and the table
Eight of St. Truiden’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in seven of St. Truiden’s last 15 results (47%). At home, St. Truiden have four wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.75 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 0.88.
Lommel United are unbeaten in their last three matches. Eight of Lommel United’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in six of Lommel United’s last 15 results (40%). Away from home, Lommel United have five wins, two draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches — 2.13 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13.
TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have St. Truiden the stronger side, 328 rating points above Lommel United (St. Truiden 2105, Lommel United 1777, after at least 13 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 8 August 2026, finished St. Truiden 1–1 Lommel United.
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Ilias Sebaoui (5.3 per match over nine appearances, three goals and three assists) and Ryan Merlen (4.6 per match over nine appearances, three goals and four assists) have been St. Truiden’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for St. Truiden (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ilias Sebaoui averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 798 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances. Ryan Merlen averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 704 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last nine appearances.
By TACTIX Impact, J. van Duiven (5.7 per match over eight appearances, three assists) and L. Schoofs (4.5 per match over eight appearances, two goals) have been Lommel United’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Lommel United (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), J. van Duiven averages 2.3 tackles per 90 over 720 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last eight appearances. L. Schoofs averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 720 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Cup
- Model coverage: 19 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 1): St. Truiden 0 · draws 1 · Lommel United 0 · 2 goals/game
- Recent form: St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L · Lommel United 2W 1D 2L
TACTIX runs St. Truiden v Lommel United (Cup) through its calibrated model across 19 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 18 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 15 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | St. Truiden for / against | Line | Lommel United for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.88 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.25our book | 1.25 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.5 for · 2.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 4 for · 8.29 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16 for · 12.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 11.43 for · 17.71 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.5 for · 4.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 3.14 for · 4.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.5 for · 10.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 7.14 for · 10.43 against n 7 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.14 for · 1.86 against n 7 Last 5 |
St. Truiden
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ishiwatari n 8 | 51.9 | 3.3 | 1.7 | — |
| N. Mbuku n 8 | 43.3 | 2.3 | 2.9 | — |
| Samed Baždar n 8 | 60.5 | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| S. Taniguchi n 8 | 69.4 | 1.5 | 0.3 | — |
| K. Matsuzawa n 8 | 43.9 | 1.5 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samed Baždar n 8 | 60.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| N. Mbuku n 8 | 43.3 | 3.1 | 1.3 |
| I. Sebaoui n 8 | 88.5 | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Oumar Diouf n 8 | 24.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| Frederic Soelle Soelle n 8 | 62.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Samed Baždar n 8 | 60.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| R. Merlen n 8 | 79.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| I. Sebaoui n 8 | 88.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 |
| Frederic Soelle Soelle n 8 | 62.3 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| K. Matsuzawa n 8 | 43.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Nelson Ishiwatari n 8 | 51.9 | 5.6 |
| W. Janssens n 8 | 31.1 | 3.3 |
| N. Mbuku n 8 | 43.3 | 2.6 |
| V. Musliu n 8 | 81.1 | 2.5 |
| K. Takai n 8 | 53.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| L. Kokubo n 8 | 84.4 | 3.1 |
Lommel United
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. El Boukammiri n 8 | 41.9 | 1.6 | 1.1 | — |
| L. Schoofs n 8 | 90 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| R. Seuntjens n 8 | 75.4 | 1.5 | 1.8 | — |
| N. Rommens n 8 | 36.5 | 1.5 | 0.9 | — |
| T. Gooijer n 8 | 30.6 | 1.5 | 1.1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Đ. Gordić n 4 | 9.8 | 4.6 | 2.3 |
| M. El Boukammiri n 8 | 41.9 | 2.7 | 0.8 |
| Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu n 8 | 62.3 | 2.3 | 0.9 |
| J. Talvitie n 8 | 67.6 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| T. Reyners n 8 | 86.9 | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rommens n 8 | 36.5 | 0 | 0.6 |
| R. Seuntjens n 8 | 75.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| J. Talvitie n 8 | 67.6 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah Konadu n 8 | 62.3 | 0.5 | 0 |
| J. van Duiven n 8 | 90 | 0 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| N. Corthouts n 5 | 17 | 4.2 |
| L. Schoofs n 8 | 90 | 2.5 |
| J. van Duiven n 8 | 90 | 2.3 |
| Đ. Gordić n 4 | 9.8 | 2.3 |
| S. Adewoye n 8 | 70.4 | 2.2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Matthias Pieklak n 8 | 90 | 3.5 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind St. Truiden v Lommel United — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-08-08 St. Truiden 1–1 Lommel United
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win St. Truiden v Lommel United?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for St. Truiden v Lommel United is Home win (best price 1.40 at Betvictor).
- What is the head-to-head record between St. Truiden and Lommel United?
- In their last 1 meetings, St. Truiden won 0, Lommel United won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of St. Truiden and Lommel United?
- Recent form — St. Truiden 2W 0D 3L; Lommel United 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.