1. FC Köln v Union Berlin prediction

DFB Pokal · · RheinEnergieStadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Draw the free pick for 1. FC Köln v Union Berlin, DFB Pokal on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 19:45 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Draw
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Draw in the last 90 days, 75.3% of 1559 landed (95% range 73.1–77.4%); it had given them 75.1% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

1. FC Köln host Union Berlin in the DFB Pokal on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 19:45 UK); the model’s free pick is 1. FC Köln or the draw, a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

12 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%). Both teams scored in 14 of 1. FC Köln’s last 15 results in all competitions (93%).

12 of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

At home, 1. FC Köln have three wins, two draws and two defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.57 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.86.

Both teams scored in nine of Union Berlin’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, Union Berlin have two wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 0.86 points per game, scoring 1.29 and conceding 3.43.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Union Berlin the stronger side, 63 rating points above 1. FC Köln (Union Berlin 1867, 1. FC Köln 1804, after at least 23 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Tom Krauß (4.0 per match over seven appearances) and Borna Sosa (4.0 per match over three appearances) have been 1. FC Köln’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for 1. FC Köln (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Tom Krauß averages 0.9 key passes per 90 over 573 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last seven appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Josip Juranović (5.8 per match over four appearances, three assists) and Leopold Querfeld (5.7 per match over four appearances, one goal and one assist) have been Union Berlin’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Union Berlin (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Josip Juranović averages 2.7 tackles per 90 over 328 minutes. Leopold Querfeld averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 360 minutes.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · DFB Pokal · RheinEnergieStadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): 1. FC Köln 1 · draws 2 · Union Berlin 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L · Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L

1. FC Köln v Union Berlin (DFB Pokal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.38 / 1.63
Goals
against 2.13 / 2.38 · 3 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
5.75 / 4.63
Corners
against 6 / 6.38 · 4 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5 / 5.63
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 6.13 · 5 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 2.63
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per game1. FC Köln for / againstLineUnion Berlin for / against
Goals scored
1.38 for · 2.13 against n 8
2.5standard
1.63 for · 2.38 against n 8
Corners won
5.75 for · 6 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 15.38 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 14.88 against n 8
Shots on target
5 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
5.63 for · 6.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.88 for · 10.63 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 9.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.5 against n 8
3.5standard
2.63 for · 1.75 against n 8
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Lochoshvili n 887.9
1.86/4
0.64/1
—
T. Krauß n 878.9
1.66/3
1.36/2
—
S. El Mala n 861.8
1.66/2
1.15/1
—
Paul Michael Junior Okon-Engstler n 841.1
1.65/1
0.82/1
—
G. Mensah n 884.9
1.56/5
0.53/1
—
1. FC Köln — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Reigan Heskey n 312
52/0
2.51/0
S. El Mala n 861.8
3.56/5
1.54/3
T. Dallinga n 831.6
2.85/2
1.43/1
M. Moore n 862
2.57/4
1.55/2
R. Ache n 859.5
2.16/3
1.34/2
1. FC Köln — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
T. Dallinga n 831.6
0.71/1
0.41/0
R. Ache n 859.5
0.42/0
0.42/0
L. Maina n 857.9
0.21/0
0.63/0
M. Moore n 862
0.21/0
0.21/0
S. El Mala n 861.8
0.42/0
00/0
1. FC Köln — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Krauß n 878.9
3.16/6
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson n 868.9
2.85/4
B. Sosa n 857.1
2.85/3
A. Castro-Montes n 863.9
2.56/5
E. Martel n 868.6
26/3
1. FC Köln — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Schwäbe n 890
3.87/5
Union Berlin
Union Berlin — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Kemlein n 851
25/3
00/0
—
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.97/3
0.52/1
—
T. Skarke n 835.5
1.94/2
2.25/1
—
R. Khedira n 887.1
1.88/5
0.42/1
—
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.86/4
2.18/4
—
Union Berlin — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Skarke n 835.5
3.25/4
2.23/3
K. Imeri n 862.9
1.85/4
1.15/1
Ilyas Ansah n 850.4
1.84/2
1.14/1
Jeong Woo-Yeong n 857.4
1.45/1
0.42/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
1.34/2
0.83/1
Union Berlin — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
J. Juranović n 856.3
0.21/0
0.83/1
T. Skarke n 835.5
0.62/0
0.31/0
K. Imeri n 862.9
0.21/0
0.52/1
O. Burke n 874.8
0.32/0
0.21/0
M. Ljubičić n 872
0.31/1
0.21/0
Union Berlin — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
T. Rothe n 890
2.98/6
J. Juranović n 856.3
2.64/4
J. Haberer n 844.4
2.56/3
A. Schäfer n 879.3
2.37/4
Zeno Van Den Bosch n 881
2.26/6
Union Berlin — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Raab n 883.9
3.86/6
F. Rønnow n 882.6
3.57/3

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind 1. FC Köln v Union Berlin — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
1. FC KölnLDLWL
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 1 scored / 1.8 conceded per game
Union BerlinLLLWD
Last 5: 1W 1D 3L · 0.4 scored / 2.8 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
1. FC Köln 1 · 2 draws · Union Berlin 3 · 2.17 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Union Berlin 2–2 1. FC Köln
  • 2025-12-20 1. FC Köln 0–1 Union Berlin
  • 2024-05-11 1. FC Köln 3–2 Union Berlin
  • 2023-12-20 Union Berlin 2–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2023-03-04 Union Berlin 0–0 1. FC Köln
  • 2022-09-11 1. FC Köln 0–1 Union Berlin
Goals per game
1. FC Köln scored1
Union Berlin scored0.4
1. FC Köln conceded1.8
Union Berlin conceded2.8

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win 1. FC Köln v Union Berlin?
TACTIX’s free model pick for 1. FC Köln v Union Berlin is Home or Draw.
What is the head-to-head record between 1. FC Köln and Union Berlin?
In their last 6 meetings, 1. FC Köln won 1, Union Berlin won 3 and there were 2 draws, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of 1. FC Köln and Union Berlin?
Recent form — 1. FC Köln 1W 1D 3L; Union Berlin 1W 1D 3L.

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