Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt prediction

DFB Pokal · · Volksparkstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Hamburger SV · Eintracht Frankfurt

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt, DFB Pokal on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Over 2.5 goals
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Over 2.5 goals in the last 90 days, 65.9% of 624 landed (95% range 62.1–69.5%); it had given them 76.5% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. The model has been overconfident here: weigh its calls in this market with that in mind. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Hamburger SV host Eintracht Frankfurt in the DFB Pokal on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.

The key numbers

13 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%). Both teams scored in 12 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Form and the table

11 of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in nine of Hamburger SV’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, Hamburger SV have three wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 6 home matches in all competitions — 1.67 points per game, scoring 1.33 and conceding 1.83.

Away from home, Eintracht Frankfurt have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 2.88 and conceding 2.13.

Hamburger SV have won their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Eintracht Frankfurt the stronger side, 98 rating points above Hamburger SV (Eintracht Frankfurt 1986, Hamburger SV 1888, after at least 25 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 2 May 2026, finished Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, A. Grønbæk (5.0 per match over six appearances, two goals and two assists) and N. Capaldo (4.2 per match over seven appearances, one goal) have been Hamburger SV’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Hamburger SV (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), A. Grønbæk averages 1.1 shots per 90 over 417 minutes, with a shot in two of the last seven appearances. N. Capaldo averages 2.9 tackles per 90 over 628 minutes, with a tackle in seven of the last eight appearances.

By TACTIX Impact, Younes Ebnoutalib (5.7 per match over six appearances, five goals and one assist) and Can Uzun (4.9 per match over five appearances, two goals) have been Eintracht Frankfurt’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Eintracht Frankfurt (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Younes Ebnoutalib averages 3.0 shots per 90 over 566 minutes, with a shot in seven of the last eight appearances. Can Uzun averages 3.1 key passes per 90 over 670 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · DFB Pokal · Volksparkstadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 4): Hamburger SV 1 · draws 1 · Eintracht Frankfurt 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • Recent form: Hamburger SV 3W 0D 2L · Eintracht Frankfurt 2W 1D 2L

Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt (DFB Pokal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 22 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.25 / 2.88
Goals
against 2 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
3.38 / 5.43
Corners
against 5.75 / 4.29 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 7 matches
4.25 / 6
Shots on target
against 5.88 / 7 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 7 matches
1.38 / 2.29
Cards
against 2 / 1.57 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 7 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameHamburger SV for / againstLineEintracht Frankfurt for / against
Goals scored
1.25 for · 2 against n 8
3.25our book
2.88 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
3.38 for · 5.75 against n 8
9.5standard
5.43 for · 4.29 against n 7
Shots
12 for · 19.25 against n 8
19.5standard
14.86 for · 16.86 against n 7
Shots on target
4.25 for · 5.88 against n 8
8.5standard
6 for · 7 against n 7
Fouls committed
13.5 for · 11.63 against n 8
21.5standard
10.86 for · 13 against n 7
Cards shown
1.38 for · 2 against n 8
3.5standard
2.29 for · 1.57 against n 7
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Otto Emerson Stange n 836.6
46/4
1.55/0
—
N. Capaldo n 878.5
2.17/6
1.74/2
—
M. Adeline n 864.5
2.16/4
0.52/1
—
L. Lemke n 748.7
1.83/3
0.31/0
—
L. Vušković n 878.8
1.76/3
15/1
—
Hamburger SV — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
R. Philippe n 824.1
3.77/1
1.94/0
Y. Poulsen n 832
2.83/3
1.12/1
Fábio Vieira n 872
2.57/5
1.66/2
P. Daka n 868.6
1.86/3
00/0
T. Moffi n 833.4
1.74/1
13/0
Hamburger SV — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Muheim n 838
0.62/0
0.31/0
A. Grønbæk n 863.4
0.41/1
0.41/1
Y. Poulsen n 832
0.72/0
00/0
L. Lemke n 748.7
0.31/0
0.31/0
M. Adeline n 864.5
0.21/0
0.32/0
Hamburger SV — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
N. Capaldo n 878.5
2.97/5
A. Grønbæk n 863.4
2.85/4
Zakaria El Ouahdi n 875.6
2.56/4
M. Adeline n 864.5
2.34/3
L. Lemke n 748.7
2.14/4
Hamburger SV — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. Tangvik n 890
4.48/6
Daniel Heuer Fernandes n 890
3.26/6
Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
M. Götze n 843.9
2.35/3
0.82/1
—
A. Amenda n 865.8
2.17/3
0.52/1
—
O. Højlund n 851.3
25/4
0.42/0
—
N. Aséko Nkili n 860.4
1.95/3
2.86/4
—
A. Knauff n 846.3
1.97/1
0.52/0
—
Eintracht Frankfurt — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Y. Ebnoutalib n 870.8
37/7
1.67/2
F. Chaïbi n 872.3
2.26/4
1.14/1
J. Burkardt n 865.8
1.95/4
14/2
A. Amaimouni n 825.3
1.84/0
0.41/0
C. Uzun n 868.6
1.67/3
0.83/2
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Ebnoutalib n 870.8
0.83/1
0.21/0
J. Burkardt n 865.8
0.53/0
0.21/0
R. Kristensen n 888.3
0.32/0
0.11/0
E. Skhiri n 861.1
00/0
0.42/0
N. Brown n 851.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
Eintracht Frankfurt — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Elias Baum n 849.4
3.47/4
A. Amaimouni n 825.3
2.74/1
K. Kosugi n 884.4
2.48/5
R. Onyedika n 873.8
2.36/5
R. Kristensen n 888.3
2.26/5
Eintracht Frankfurt — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Atubolu n 890
4.58/8

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Hamburger SVLLWWW
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 1.2 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Eintracht FrankfurtLWDLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.4 scored / 2.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 4
Hamburger SV 1 · 1 draw · Eintracht Frankfurt 2 · 2.75 goals/game
  • 2026-05-02 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–2 Hamburger SV
  • 2025-12-20 Hamburger SV 1–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
  • 2018-05-05 Eintracht Frankfurt 3–0 Hamburger SV
  • 2017-12-12 Hamburger SV 1–2 Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals per game
Hamburger SV scored1.2
Eintracht Frankfurt scored1.4
Hamburger SV conceded2.6
Eintracht Frankfurt conceded2.6

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Hamburger SV v Eintracht Frankfurt is Over 2.5 goals.
What is the head-to-head record between Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt?
In their last 4 meetings, Hamburger SV won 1, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 2.75 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Hamburger SV and Eintracht Frankfurt?
Recent form — Hamburger SV 3W 0D 2L; Eintracht Frankfurt 2W 1D 2L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

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