Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig prediction

DFB Pokal · · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Rot-Weiß Essen · RB Leipzig

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Away win the free pick for Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig, DFB Pokal on Tue, 27 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.

Free pick
Away win
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Away win in the last 90 days, 85.4% of 103 landed (95% range 77.4–91%); it had given them 76% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Rot-Weiß Essen host RB Leipzig in the DFB Pokal on Tuesday 27 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is RB Leipzig to win.

The key numbers

12 of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Six of Rot-Weiß Essen’s last 11 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (55%). Both teams scored in five of Rot-Weiß Essen’s last 11 results in all competitions (45%). At home, Rot-Weiß Essen have five wins, no draws and five defeats in their last 10 home matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.40 and conceding 1.70.

Both teams scored in eight of RB Leipzig’s last 15 results in all competitions (53%). Away from home, RB Leipzig have two wins, no draws and six defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 0.75 points per game, scoring 1.75 and conceding 3.00.

TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have RB Leipzig the stronger side, 429 rating points above Rot-Weiß Essen (RB Leipzig 2105, Rot-Weiß Essen 1676, after at least nine rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 17 August 2024, finished Rot-Weiß Essen 1–4 RB Leipzig.

Team news

By TACTIX Impact, Antonio Nusa (6.3 per match over nine appearances, four goals and three assists) and Brajan Gruda (5.0 per match over seven appearances, two goals and one assist) have been RB Leipzig’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for RB Leipzig (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Antonio Nusa averages 1.4 key passes per 90 over 1519 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances. Brajan Gruda averages 2.7 shots per 90 over 465 minutes, with a shot in six of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · DFB Pokal · Stadion an der Hafenstrasse
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 1): Rot-Weiß Essen 0 · draws 0 · RB Leipzig 1 · 5 goals/game
  • Recent form: Rot-Weiß Essen 2W 0D 3L · RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L

Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig (DFB Pokal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 20 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.13 / 2.25
Goals
against 1.88 / 1.88 · 1 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
3.75 / 5.5
Corners
against 6 / 6.75 · 1 of the last 4 over 9.5
over 4 matches
4.75 / 6.25
Shots on target
against 3.25 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 4 over 8.5
over 4 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.5 / 1.63 · 2 of the last 4 over 3.5
over 4 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 17 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameRot-Weiß Essen for / againstLineRB Leipzig for / against
Goals scored
1.13 for · 1.88 against n 8
2.5standard
2.25 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
3.75 for · 6 against n 4
9.5standard
5.5 for · 6.75 against n 8
Shots
13.5 for · 11.25 against n 4
19.5standard
17.5 for · 15.88 against n 8
Shots on target
4.75 for · 3.25 against n 4
8.5standard
6.25 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.75 for · 13 against n 4
21.5standard
10.25 for · 12.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.5 against n 4
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8
Rot-Weiß Essen
Rot-Weiß Essen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Dickson Abiama n 842.6
2.96/2
1.13/1
—
Tony Menzel n 832.8
2.75/2
1.74/1
—
T. Moustier n 817.4
2.64/0
0.61/0
—
Ramien Safi n 345.3
21/1
00/0
—
S. Telalović n 840.9
1.95/1
1.96/1
—
Rot-Weiß Essen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Telalović n 840.9
4.77/3
2.55/2
M. Janssen n 337
4.12/1
1.61/1
Dickson Abiama n 842.6
2.96/4
1.34/1
Lucas Brumme n 431.8
2.12/1
1.41/1
Torben Müsel n 865.9
1.97/4
14/2
Rot-Weiß Essen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
S. Telalović n 840.9
0.83/0
00/0
M. Janssen n 337
0.81/0
00/0
Marvin Obuz n 622.7
00/0
0.71/0
Jannik Hofmann n 490
00/0
0.31/0
Torben Müsel n 865.9
0.21/0
00/0
Rot-Weiß Essen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Dickson Abiama n 842.6
2.94/2
T. Moustier n 817.4
2.64/0
Franci Bouebari n 336
2.52/1
Michael Kostka n 569.4
2.34/3
Lucas Brumme n 431.8
2.12/1
Rot-Weiß Essen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jakob Golz n 490
2.53/2
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. Konate n 310.3
2.91/0
2.91/0
—
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.28/4
1.34/3
—
C. Harder n 841.4
2.25/3
0.52/0
—
Marc Guiu n 847.5
2.15/3
0.73/0
—
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
1.72/1
00/0
—
RB Leipzig — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
S. Konate n 310.3
5.82/0
00/0
C. Harder n 841.4
36/4
1.96/1
J. Bakayoko n 826.1
34/2
1.33/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
2.86/4
13/1
B. Gruda n 866
2.46/5
1.24/2
RB Leipzig — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
C. Nkunku n 863.5
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Maksimović n 831.1
0.72/0
0.41/0
T. Gomis n 844.9
0.52/0
0.51/1
R. Reitz n 860
0.21/0
0.63/0
C. Harder n 841.4
0.52/0
0.31/0
RB Leipzig — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
E. Banzuzi n 870.5
2.77/7
N. Seiwald n 849.3
2.76/3
R. Reitz n 860
2.64/4
Max Finkgräfe n 853.5
2.55/3
L. Klostermann n 830
2.33/2
RB Leipzig — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 17 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Maarten Vandevoordt n 890
5.58/7

The day’s free picks, by email

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Rot-Weiß EssenLLWLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 0.8 scored / 1.4 conceded per game
RB LeipzigWLWWL
Last 5: 3W 0D 2L · 2.6 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 1
Rot-Weiß Essen 0 · 0 draws · RB Leipzig 1 · 5 goals/game
  • 2024-08-17 Rot-Weiß Essen 1–4 RB Leipzig
Goals per game
Rot-Weiß Essen scored0.8
RB Leipzig scored2.6
Rot-Weiß Essen conceded1.4
RB Leipzig conceded1.6

See the full prediction

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Rot-Weiß Essen v RB Leipzig is Away win.
What is the head-to-head record between Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig?
In their last 1 meetings, Rot-Weiß Essen won 0, RB Leipzig won 1 and there were 0 draws, averaging 5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Rot-Weiß Essen and RB Leipzig?
Recent form — Rot-Weiß Essen 2W 0D 3L; RB Leipzig 3W 0D 2L.

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