SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg prediction
Team pages: SC Freiburg · VfL Wolfsburg · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg, DFB Pokal on Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:00 GMT.
The match
SC Freiburg host VfL Wolfsburg in the DFB Pokal on Wednesday 28 October (kick-off 17:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
14 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (93%).
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 11 of SC Freiburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, SC Freiburg have seven wins, no draws and one defeat in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 2.63 points per game, scoring 3.13 and conceding 1.25.
Eight of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of VfL Wolfsburg’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, VfL Wolfsburg have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.25 and conceding 1.75.
VfL Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last three matches in all competitions. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have SC Freiburg the stronger side, 126 rating points above VfL Wolfsburg (SC Freiburg 2009, VfL Wolfsburg 1883, after at least 27 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
SC Freiburg are unbeaten in the last four meetings with VfL Wolfsburg. The most recent meeting, on 3 May 2026, finished SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg.
Team news
By TACTIX Impact, Igor Matanović (6.1 per match over 11 appearances, six goals and three assists) and Matthias Ginter (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been SC Freiburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for SC Freiburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Igor Matanović averages 3.1 shots per 90 over 1079 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Matthias Ginter averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 978 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.
By TACTIX Impact, F. Reese (7.9 per match over nine appearances, three goals and six assists) and A. Bernhardsson (6.8 per match over seven appearances, four goals and three assists) have been VfL Wolfsburg’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for VfL Wolfsburg (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), F. Reese averages 3.2 shots per 90 over 808 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last nine appearances. A. Bernhardsson averages 1.9 key passes per 90 over 1322 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · DFB Pokal · Europa-Park Stadion
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): SC Freiburg 4 · draws 1 · VfL Wolfsburg 1 · 3.17 goals/game
- Recent form: SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L · VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L
SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg (DFB Pokal): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 23 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 22 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | SC Freiburg for / against | Line | VfL Wolfsburg for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.25 for · 1.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5our book | 3.13 for · 2 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.88 for · 3.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 7.13 for · 7.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 16.5 for · 9.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 20.88 for · 16.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for · 3 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 8.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10.75 for · 14.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 13.75 for · 10.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.75 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
SC Freiburg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Goto n 8 | 23.6 | 3.8 | 1 | — |
| I. Matanović n 8 | 66.5 | 1.9 | 2.4 | — |
| D. Scherhant n 8 | 71.5 | 1.7 | 1.1 | — |
| L. Höler n 8 | 27.4 | 1.6 | 0.8 | — |
| Y. Engelhardt n 8 | 65.4 | 1.4 | 1.2 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 8 | 33.1 | 4.1 | 1 |
| D. Scherhant n 8 | 71.5 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| I. Matanović n 8 | 66.5 | 2.5 | 1 |
| L. Höler n 8 | 27.4 | 2.5 | 0.4 |
| V. Grifo n 8 | 30.8 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| V. Grifo n 8 | 30.8 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Y. Suzuki n 8 | 74.9 | 0.6 | 0 |
| D. Scherhant n 8 | 71.5 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Cyriaque Kalou Irié n 8 | 33.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| M. Eggestein n 8 | 90 | 0.5 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Rosenfelder n 8 | 60.9 | 3.5 |
| Berkay Yilmaz n 8 | 59.8 | 3 |
| P. Treu n 8 | 68.4 | 2.1 |
| P. Osterhage n 8 | 58.3 | 1.7 |
| L. Kübler n 8 | 40.6 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Backhaus n 8 | 90 | 1.6 |
VfL Wolfsburg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fischer n 8 | 73.4 | 2.6 | 0.6 | — |
| Vinicius Souza n 8 | 79.8 | 2.3 | 0.4 | — |
| R. Glatzel n 8 | 65.1 | 2.2 | 1 | — |
| Cleiton n 8 | 52.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| E. Rexhbeçaj n 8 | 61 | 1.8 | 0.9 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Besio n 8 | 18.1 | 5 | 1.9 |
| M. Damar n 8 | 78.4 | 3.7 | 2.3 |
| F. Reese n 8 | 89.1 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| F. Hornby n 8 | 78.4 | 3.2 | 1 |
| K. Shiogai n 8 | 42.1 | 2.9 | 1.3 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| A. Besio n 8 | 18.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| F. Reese n 8 | 89.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| R. Glatzel n 8 | 65.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| M. Arnold n 8 | 26.1 | 0.9 | 0 |
| A. Bernhardsson n 8 | 73.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Bence Dárdai n 8 | 28.8 | 3.1 |
| M. Angely n 8 | 80.3 | 2.8 |
| K. Fischer n 8 | 73.4 | 2.8 |
| Vinicius Souza n 8 | 79.8 | 2.5 |
| J. Mæhle n 8 | 88.8 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Zieliński n 8 | 94.4 | 2.9 |
| T. Wellenreuther n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-03 SC Freiburg 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg
- 2025-12-20 VfL Wolfsburg 3–4 SC Freiburg
- 2025-04-26 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg
- 2024-12-13 SC Freiburg 3–2 VfL Wolfsburg
- 2024-04-27 SC Freiburg 1–2 VfL Wolfsburg
- 2023-12-09 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 SC Freiburg
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for SC Freiburg v VfL Wolfsburg is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg?
- In their last 6 meetings, SC Freiburg won 4, VfL Wolfsburg won 1 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of SC Freiburg and VfL Wolfsburg?
- Recent form — SC Freiburg 2W 1D 2L; VfL Wolfsburg 2W 2D 1L.
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