Molde v Start prediction
Team pages: Molde · Start · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home win the free pick for Molde vs Start, Eliteserien on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:00 BST.
The match
Molde host Start in the Eliteserien on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Molde to win.
The key numbers
Molde have scored in 14 consecutive matches. 12 of Molde’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (80%).
Molde are unbeaten in the last five meetings with Start, every meeting checked.
Form and the table
Both teams scored in 12 of Molde’s last 15 results (80%). At home, Molde have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.86 and conceding 1.43. Molde have scored 46 goals, the third-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Molde have conceded 34 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 16 clubs.
10 of Start’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in eight of Start’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Start have one win, no draws and five defeats in their last 6 away matches — 0.50 points per game, scoring 1.17 and conceding 2.67. Start have scored 24 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Start have conceded 48 goals, the second-most of the 16 clubs.
Molde (fourth) and Start (16th) are 21 points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Molde the stronger side, 310 rating points above Start (Molde 1668, Start 1358, after at least 82 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Start 1–1 Molde.
Team news
Predicted Molde XI (4-2-3-1): A. Posiadała, M. Linnes, S. Kabini, B. Risa, S. Hansen, D. Daga, E. Breivik, S. Granaas, O. Spiten-Nysæter, E. Hestad, J. Abdulai — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, E. Breivik (5.5 per match over 22 appearances, eight goals and eight assists) and D. Daga (5.1 per match over 10 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Molde’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Molde (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), E. Breivik averages 2.1 key passes per 90 over 1974 minutes, with a key pass in 10 of the last 10 appearances. D. Daga averages 0.7 key passes per 90 over 792 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Start XI (5-3-2): F. Manojlovic, E. Reitan, J. Husebø, A. Ujkani, J. Norheim, D. Dashaev, E. Segberg, S. Mvoué, M. Ugland, J. Cornelius, H. Lorentzen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Granheim Sander Aske (4.5 per match over three appearances, one assist) and Tom Strannegård (4.1 per match over 17 appearances, two goals and three assists) have been Start’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Start (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Granheim Sander Aske averages 1.0 tackles per 90 over 270 minutes. Tom Strannegård averages 2.1 tackles per 90 over 1982 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Aker Stadion
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 5): Molde 4 · draws 1 · Start 0 · 4 goals/game
- Recent form: Molde 3W 1D 1L · Start 2W 0D 3L
As of 13 October 2026, TACTIX’s model — calibration published live, losing picks included — covers Molde v Start across 246 markets; the key numbers are on this page. See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Molde for / against | Line | Start for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 2.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.75our book | 1.25 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 6.13 for · 4.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 19.38 for · 11.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 18.88 for · 14 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 8.13 for · 3.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12 for · 9.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 10.75 for · 10.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.63 for · 2.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
Molde
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Bender n 8 | 13.5 | 3.3 | 0.8 | — |
| D. Daga n 8 | 83.5 | 2.7 | 1.1 | — |
| J. Abdulai n 8 | 69.3 | 2.4 | 1 | — |
| Niklas Odegard n 8 | 48.3 | 2.3 | 1.2 | — |
| Sander Hestetun Kilen n 8 | 58.9 | 1.5 | 0.6 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Toure Kone Doherty n 8 | 35.3 | 4.8 | 3.8 |
| J. Abdulai n 8 | 69.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
| O. Spiten-Nysæter n 8 | 62 | 2.7 | 0.9 |
| Kristian Lonebu n 8 | 53.1 | 2.3 | 1.5 |
| Sander Hestetun Kilen n 8 | 58.9 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Toure Kone Doherty n 8 | 35.3 | 1.9 | 0 |
| Sander Hestetun Kilen n 8 | 58.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Kristian Lonebu n 8 | 53.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| V. Bender n 8 | 13.5 | 0 | 0.8 |
| E. Hestad n 8 | 78.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| M. Linnes n 8 | 69.1 | 3.6 |
| D. Daga n 8 | 83.5 | 2.8 |
| Niklas Odegard n 8 | 48.3 | 2.6 |
| V. Bender n 8 | 13.5 | 2.5 |
| S. Granaas n 8 | 88.6 | 2.3 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| A. Posiadała n 8 | 90 | 2 |
Start
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Mvoué n 8 | 79.4 | 2.1 | 1.1 | — |
| James Ampofo n 8 | 42.1 | 2.1 | 0.8 | — |
| N. Koutsakos n 7 | 40.7 | 1.9 | 1.9 | — |
| D. Dashaev n 8 | 50.1 | 1.8 | 1.1 | — |
| Eirik Schulze n 8 | 46.9 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| N. Koutsakos n 7 | 40.7 | 3.5 | 0.6 |
| Jesper Cornelius n 8 | 75.5 | 3.4 | 0.7 |
| James Ampofo n 8 | 42.1 | 2.9 | 0.5 |
| Eirik Schulze n 8 | 46.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 |
| Hakon Lorentzen n 8 | 60.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erlend Segberg n 8 | 90 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Eirik Schulze n 8 | 46.9 | 0 | 0.5 |
| Hakon Lorentzen n 8 | 60.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Granheim Sander Aske n 3 | 90 | 0 | 0.3 |
| Jesper Cornelius n 8 | 75.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Mikael Ugland n 8 | 59.4 | 4.2 |
| J. Meyer n 3 | 8.3 | 3.6 |
| Tom Strannegård n 8 | 70.4 | 2.7 |
| John Olav Norheim n 8 | 90 | 2.6 |
| Steve Mvoué n 8 | 79.4 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| F. Manojlovic n 8 | 84.4 | 2.9 |
| Jacob Pryts n 8 | 90 | 2 |
| Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng n 8 | 90 | 1.8 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Molde v Start — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-19 Start 1–1 Molde
- 2020-08-05 Molde 5–0 Start
- 2020-06-24 Start 2–3 Molde
- 2018-10-29 Start 1–3 Molde
- 2018-05-27 Molde 3–1 Start
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Molde vs Start?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Molde v Start is Home win.
- What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Start?
- In their last 5 meetings, Molde won 4, Start won 0 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Molde and Start?
- Recent form — Molde 3W 1D 1L; Start 2W 0D 3L.
Today’s boards
Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.
This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.