Sandefjord v Lillestrom prediction
Team pages: Sandefjord · Lillestrom · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Sandefjord vs Lillestrom, Eliteserien on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 16:00 BST.
The match
Sandefjord host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 16:00 UK); the model’s free pick is Sandefjord or Lillestrom (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.
Form and the table
Eight of Sandefjord’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of Sandefjord’s last 15 results (60%). At home, Sandefjord have two wins, four draws and two defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.25 points per game, scoring 1.13 and conceding 1.00. Sandefjord have scored 22 goals, the second-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Sandefjord have conceded 28 goals, the third-fewest of the 16 clubs.
Lillestrom are winless in their last three matches. Nine of Lillestrom’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in eight of Lillestrom’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Lillestrom have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.14 points per game, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.57. Lillestrom have scored 30 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Lillestrom have conceded 31 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.
Sandefjord (12th) and Lillestrom (sixth) are nine points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Sandefjord the stronger side, 67 rating points above Lillestrom (Sandefjord 1640, Lillestrom 1573, after at least 232 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 16 May 2026, finished Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord.
Team news
Predicted Sandefjord XI (4-1-4-1): E. Hadaya, F. Pedersen, X. Lambrix, V. Egeli, R. Holten, S. Mörk, E. Pettersen, E. Patoulidis, J. Vester, E. Gigović, O. Kapskarmo — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, O. Kapskarmo (4.4 per match over five appearances, one goal and two assists) and Zinedin Smajlović (4.3 per match over 10 appearances, one assist) have been Sandefjord’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sandefjord (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), O. Kapskarmo averages 1.8 shots per 90 over 395 minutes, with a shot in three of the last five appearances. Zinedin Smajlović averages 1.8 tackles per 90 over 1172 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Lillestrom XI (4-1-4-1): P. Dahlberg, F. Elkær, L. Ranger, R. Gabrielsen, S. Kristiansen, F. Vá, G. Nyheim, Y. Ibrahimaj, E. Kitolano, Y. Paintsil, T. Lehne Olsen — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Felix Vá (5.2 per match over 23 appearances, six goals and six assists) and Lars Ranger (4.7 per match over 21 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Lillestrom’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Lillestrom (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Felix Vá averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 1900 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Lars Ranger averages 3.5 tackles per 90 over 1773 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Jotun Arena
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sandefjord 2 · draws 0 · Lillestrom 4 · 3 goals/game
- Recent form: Sandefjord 1W 3D 1L · Lillestrom 2W 1D 2L
Sandefjord v Lillestrom (Eliteserien): TACTIX’s calibrated model has priced this fixture across 246 markets — the full record, losers included, is published live (as of 13 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sandefjord for / against | Line | Lillestrom for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.13 for · 1 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 1.25 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 4.5 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.63 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 14.5 for · 16.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 10.75 for · 14.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 4.13 for · 5.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 4.13 for · 5.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 12.88 for · 14.5 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 11.5 for · 11.13 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 2.5 for · 2.38 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.38 for · 2.25 against n 8 Last 5 |
Sandefjord
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Apetorgbor n 8 | 29 | 3.5 | 1.2 | — |
| G. Højbjerg n 7 | 32.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | — |
| Jakob Maslo Dunsby n 8 | 67.4 | 2.2 | 2.7 | — |
| J. Vester n 8 | 58.1 | 2.1 | 1.5 | — |
| Xander Lambrix n 8 | 89 | 1.8 | 1 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Holm Mathisen n 8 | 32.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Bendik Berntsen n 8 | 51.6 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| O. Kapskarmo n 8 | 74.1 | 2 | 1.1 |
| Jakob Maslo Dunsby n 8 | 67.4 | 2 | 0.8 |
| J. Dunsby n 8 | 39.9 | 2 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Foster Apetorgbor n 8 | 29 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| E. Gigović n 3 | 78.3 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| M. Sauer n 8 | 33.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| O. Kapskarmo n 8 | 74.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 |
| Jakob Maslo Dunsby n 8 | 67.4 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Melchior n 8 | 75.6 | 3.3 |
| Evangelos Patoulidis n 8 | 57.4 | 2.7 |
| Martin Hellan n 8 | 25.1 | 2.7 |
| Xander Lambrix n 8 | 89 | 1.8 |
| Bendik Berntsen n 8 | 51.6 | 1.7 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Elias Hadaya n 8 | 90 | 4.3 |
Lillestrom
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harald Woxen n 8 | 29.4 | 5 | 0 | — |
| Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim n 8 | 85 | 2.8 | 1.7 | — |
| Henrik Melland n 8 | 40 | 2.3 | 0.8 | — |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 49.6 | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| Sturla Ottesen n 8 | 50 | 1.3 | 1.3 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| G. Nordh n 5 | 13.4 | 4 | 4 |
| T. Lehne Olsen n 8 | 51.4 | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 49.6 | 2.3 | 1.6 |
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 2 | 0.1 |
| Felix Vá n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Felix Vá n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| F. Gulbrandsen n 8 | 49.6 | 0.5 | 0 |
| T. Lehne Olsen n 8 | 51.4 | 0.4 | 0 |
| F. Ottosson n 8 | 44.3 | 0.3 | 0 |
| Sander Moen Foss n 8 | 73.3 | 0.2 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| G. Nordh n 5 | 13.4 | 4 |
| Lars Ranger n 8 | 84 | 3.8 |
| K. Krygård n 8 | 44.9 | 3.5 |
| Harald Woxen n 8 | 29.4 | 3.1 |
| Frederik Elkær n 8 | 79.6 | 2.4 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Pontus Dahlberg n 8 | 90 | 4.4 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sandefjord v Lillestrom — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-05-16 Lillestrom 3–1 Sandefjord
- 2024-11-23 Lillestrom 0–3 Sandefjord
- 2024-04-21 Sandefjord 0–1 Lillestrom
- 2023-12-03 Sandefjord 1–0 Lillestrom
- 2023-07-16 Lillestrom 4–2 Sandefjord
- 2022-08-21 Lillestrom 3–0 Sandefjord
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sandefjord vs Lillestrom?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sandefjord v Lillestrom is Home or Away.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sandefjord and Lillestrom?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sandefjord won 2, Lillestrom won 4 and there were 0 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sandefjord and Lillestrom?
- Recent form — Sandefjord 1W 3D 1L; Lillestrom 2W 1D 2L.
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This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error
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