Sarpsborg 08 FF v Rosenborg prediction
Team pages: Sarpsborg 08 FF · Rosenborg · Head-to-head
TACTIX model preview
TACTIX’s model makes Over 2.5 goals the free pick for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg, Eliteserien on Sun, 18 Oct 2026 13:30 BST.
The match
Sarpsborg 08 FF host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 13:30 UK); the model’s free pick is Over 2.5 goals.
The key numbers
Rosenborg have scored in 12 consecutive matches. Rosenborg are unbeaten in their last four matches.
Form and the table
10 of Sarpsborg 08 FF’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (67%). Both teams scored in 11 of Sarpsborg 08 FF’s last 15 results (73%). At home, Sarpsborg 08 FF have four wins, one draw and two defeats in their last 7 home matches — 1.86 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.29. Sarpsborg 08 FF have scored 28 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Sarpsborg 08 FF have conceded 31 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.
11 of Rosenborg’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in eight of Rosenborg’s last 15 results (53%). Away from home, Rosenborg have three wins, no draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches — 1.50 points per game, scoring 2.00 and conceding 1.67. Rosenborg have scored 40 goals, the fifth-most of the 16 clubs (2026 so far). Rosenborg have conceded 31 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 16 clubs.
Sarpsborg 08 FF (ninth) and Rosenborg (fifth) are six points apart, 2026 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Rosenborg the stronger side, 205 rating points above Sarpsborg 08 FF (Rosenborg 1808, Sarpsborg 08 FF 1602, after at least 292 rated matches each).
Head-to-head
The most recent meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished Rosenborg 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF.
Team news
Predicted Sarpsborg 08 FF XI (4-4-2): L. Øy, M. Lode, B. Utvik, A. Hiim, C. Niyukuri, S. Christiansen, S. Sörli, A. Sher, O. Skarsem, D. Karlsbakk, N. Williams — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Aimar Sher (3.9 per match over 20 appearances, one goal) and Sondre Sörli (3.4 per match over 22 appearances, five goals and four assists) have been Sarpsborg 08 FF’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Sarpsborg 08 FF (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Aimar Sher averages 1.0 key passes per 90 over 1723 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Sondre Sörli averages 1.6 key passes per 90 over 1859 minutes, with a key pass in nine of the last 10 appearances.
Predicted Rosenborg XI (4-4-2): L. Wahlstedt, M. Ceide, T. Nemčík, A. Pereira, A. Witry, M. Bomholt, O. Selnaes, N. Sahsah, S. Nordli, A. Chiakha, E. Ceide — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Amin Chiakha (5.5 per match over 22 appearances, 14 goals and three assists) and Ole Selnaes (4.8 per match over 19 appearances, one goal and eight assists) have been Rosenborg’s most influential players 2026, all competitions. In numbers for Rosenborg (2026, all competitions, before kick-off), Amin Chiakha averages 2.6 shots per 90 over 1859 minutes, with a shot in 10 of the last 10 appearances. Ole Selnaes averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 1409 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances.
Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.
The numbers
- Kick-off: · Eliteserien · Sarpsborg Stadion
- Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
- Head-to-head (last 6): Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 · draws 3 · Rosenborg 1 · 3.83 goals/game
- Recent form: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1W 3D 1L · Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L
TACTIX runs Sarpsborg 08 FF v Rosenborg (Eliteserien) through its calibrated model across 246 markets, and publishes its market-by-market record openly (updated 13 October 2026). See the live track record →
Key stats
Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 11 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
| Per game | Sarpsborg 08 FF for / against | Line | Rosenborg for / against |
|---|---|---|---|
| Goals scored | 1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8 Last 5 | 3our book | 2.63 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Corners won | 5.75 for · 6.25 against n 8 Last 5 | 9.5standard | 6.5 for · 5.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots | 15.25 for · 15.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 19.5standard | 16.25 for · 12.88 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Shots on target | 5.38 for · 6.13 against n 8 Last 5 | 8.5standard | 7.75 for · 4.75 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Fouls committed | 10 for · 11.75 against n 8 Last 5 | 21.5standard | 15.63 for · 11.38 against n 8 Last 5 |
| Cards shown | 1.13 for · 1.63 against n 8 Last 5 | 3.5standard | 1.88 for · 1.5 against n 8 Last 5 |
Sarpsborg 08 FF
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camil Mmaee n 3 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 0 | — |
| M. Opoku n 8 | 38.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | — |
| Daniel Karlsbakk n 8 | 90 | 1.8 | 1.8 | — |
| Sondre Sörli n 8 | 79 | 1.7 | 1 | — |
| Aimar Sher n 8 | 75.5 | 1.5 | 2.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Camil Mmaee n 3 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 2.3 |
| Daniel Karlsbakk n 8 | 90 | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| M. Opoku n 8 | 38.3 | 2.6 | 0.6 |
| Sondre Sörli n 8 | 79 | 1.9 | 1.1 |
| Noa Williams n 8 | 35.9 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sondre Sörli n 8 | 79 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Noa Williams n 8 | 35.9 | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Daniel Karlsbakk n 8 | 90 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Claus Niyukuri n 8 | 60.8 | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Eirik Wichne n 8 | 31.1 | 0.4 | 0 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| Eirik Wichne n 8 | 31.1 | 4.3 |
| Andreas Hansen n 8 | 51.5 | 2.6 |
| O. Skarsem n 8 | 73.1 | 2.3 |
| V. Halvorsen n 8 | 44.6 | 2.3 |
| Victor Emanuel Halvorsen n 8 | 50.6 | 2 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Leander Øy n 8 | 90 | 4.8 |
Rosenborg
| Player | Mins | Fouls committed 1+2+ | Fouls won 1+2+ | Likely duel |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Reitan-Sunde n 8 | 13.4 | 5 | 5 | — |
| Maciej Soboczynski n 3 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 0 | — |
| Amin Chiakha n 8 | 87 | 3.1 | 1.8 | — |
| Jonas Mortensen n 8 | 25.8 | 2.6 | 0.4 | — |
| Adrian Nilsen Pereira n 8 | 79.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 | — |
| Player | Mins | Shots 1+2+ | Shots on target 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amin Chiakha n 8 | 87 | 4 | 1.7 |
| Maciej Soboczynski n 3 | 16.3 | 3.7 | 0 |
| Simen Nordli n 8 | 45.9 | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| J. Reitan-Sunde n 8 | 13.4 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Emil Konradsen Ceide n 8 | 85.3 | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| Player | Mins | Goals 1+2+ | Assists 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amin Chiakha n 8 | 87 | 1 | 0.4 |
| Noah Sahsah n 8 | 57.6 | 1 | 0 |
| Emil Konradsen Ceide n 8 | 85.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| Mads Bomholt n 8 | 89.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Ole Selnaes n 8 | 85.8 | 0.1 | 0.4 |
| Player | Mins | Tackles 1+2+ |
|---|---|---|
| J. Svensson n 8 | 56.6 | 4.2 |
| Maciej Soboczynski n 3 | 16.3 | 3.7 |
| Ole Selnaes n 8 | 85.8 | 3.4 |
| Jonas Mortensen n 8 | 25.8 | 3.1 |
| M. Kjølø n 8 | 34.1 | 2.6 |
| Player | Mins | Saves 2+3+ |
|---|---|---|
| Leopold Wahlstedt n 8 | 90 | 3.1 |
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Form, head-to-head & standings
The numbers behind Sarpsborg 08 FF v Rosenborg — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)
- 2026-04-12 Rosenborg 2–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2025-10-05 Rosenborg 2–3 Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2025-07-18 Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 Rosenborg
- 2025-06-25 Rosenborg 2–2 Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2024-11-23 Rosenborg 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF
- 2024-07-12 Sarpsborg 08 FF 4–1 Rosenborg
Frequently asked questions
- Who is predicted to win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Rosenborg?
- TACTIX’s free model pick for Sarpsborg 08 FF v Rosenborg is Over 2.5 goals.
- What is the head-to-head record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg?
- In their last 6 meetings, Sarpsborg 08 FF won 2, Rosenborg won 1 and there were 3 draws, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
- What is the recent form of Sarpsborg 08 FF and Rosenborg?
- Recent form — Sarpsborg 08 FF 1W 3D 1L; Rosenborg 3W 1D 1L.
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