AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard prediction

Eredivisie · · AFAS Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AZ Alkmaar · Fortuna Sittard · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard, Eredivisie on Sun, 21 Feb 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AZ Alkmaar host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on Sunday 21 February (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Fortuna Sittard’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

Fortuna Sittard have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, AZ Alkmaar have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.29. AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

10 of Fortuna Sittard’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). Away from home, Fortuna Sittard have two wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 7 away matches in all competitions — 1.14 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 2.00. Fortuna Sittard have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Fortuna Sittard have conceded 17 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Fortuna Sittard are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. AZ Alkmaar (second) and Fortuna Sittard (sixth) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AZ Alkmaar the stronger side, 175 rating points above Fortuna Sittard (AZ Alkmaar 1765, Fortuna Sittard 1590, after at least 273 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 22 August 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar.

Team news

Predicted AZ Alkmaar XI (4-2-3-1): J. De Busser, L. Schouten, W. Goes, E. Dijkstra, M. Chávez, P. Koopmeiners, R. Daal, D. Kwakman, C. Stengs, J. Clasie, M. Meerdink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ro-Zangelo Daal (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Peer Koopmeiners (4.8 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been AZ Alkmaar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AZ Alkmaar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ro-Zangelo Daal averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 916 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Peer Koopmeiners averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Fortuna Sittard XI (5-3-2): M. Branderhorst, J. Hubner, I. Pinto, R. Guth, S. van Ottele, J. Dahlhaus, É. Michut, S. 't Zand, Y. Oukili, L. Zeefuik, A. Descotte — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Édouard Michut (4.7 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Mohamed Ihattaren (4.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Fortuna Sittard’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fortuna Sittard (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Édouard Michut averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 700 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Mohamed Ihattaren averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 578 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · AFAS Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AZ Alkmaar 4 · draws 0 · Fortuna Sittard 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L · Fortuna Sittard 2W 2D 1L

AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.88 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 2.5
Corners
against 4.38 / 8.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.25
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 6.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.63
Cards
against 1.63 / 1.88 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAZ Alkmaar for / againstLineFortuna Sittard for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
2.5 for · 8.38 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 19.25 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.25 for · 6.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
9.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.63 against n 8
3.5standard
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Oufkir n 838.4
3.25/3
2.35/2
—
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
—
M. Chávez n 860.6
2.27/4
0.73/1
—
S. Maikuma n 822.5
22/1
23/1
—
K. Smit n 864.9
1.96/2
1.24/3
—
AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Byskov n 836
3.46/3
1.33/1
B. Kovacs n 823
2.93/3
0.51/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
2.63/1
2.63/1
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
2.47/4
1.96/4
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
0.94/1
00/0
V. Byskov n 836
00/0
0.93/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
0.71/1
00/0
D. Kasius n 840.1
00/0
0.62/0
R. Daal n 883
0.53/1
00/0
AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Maikuma n 822.5
5.55/2
M. Chávez n 860.6
3.55/5
M. de Wit n 857
2.45/5
P. Koopmeiners n 890
2.36/4
L. Schouten n 889.1
2.38/4
AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jari De Busser n 890
2.56/4
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Zeefuik n 872.5
2.27/4
1.66/3
—
Y. Oukili n 851.4
26/3
0.93/1
—
A. Descotte n 865.5
1.76/3
1.43/3
—
D. Sinkgraven n 838.6
1.54/1
1.73/2
—
S. Wylin n 862.4
1.33/3
0.42/0
—
Fortuna Sittard — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Descotte n 865.5
2.25/4
1.75/4
O. Romeny n 844.1
1.83/3
1.33/2
L. Zeefuik n 872.5
1.65/2
0.84/1
M. Ihattaren n 872.3
1.66/2
1.13/2
S. 't Zand n 874.6
1.47/2
0.96/0
Fortuna Sittard — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ihattaren n 872.3
0.52/1
0.53/0
A. Descotte n 865.5
0.94/1
00/0
L. Zeefuik n 872.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
S. 't Zand n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
P. Brittijn n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Fortuna Sittard — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Moussa Gbemou n 89.3
6.14/1
D. Sinkgraven n 838.6
4.46/3
N. de Groot n 830
33/3
Ivo Pinto n 883.6
2.88/5
É. Michut n 883.9
27/5
Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Branderhorst n 890
4.56/6

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AZ AlkmaarLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Fortuna SittardWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AZ Alkmaar 4 · 0 draws · Fortuna Sittard 2 · 2.67 goals/game
  • 2026-08-22 Fortuna Sittard 0–2 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2026-04-04 AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2025-12-21 Fortuna Sittard 4–3 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-02-23 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-10-06 Fortuna Sittard 1–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-02-17 Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar
League standing · 2026/27
AZ Alkmaar#2 pos20 pts9 pl+10 GD
Fortuna Sittard#6 pos15 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
AZ Alkmaar scored2.22
Fortuna Sittard scored1.78
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.11
Fortuna Sittard conceded1.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard?
In their last 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 4, Fortuna Sittard won 2 and there were 0 draws, averaging 2.67 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and Fortuna Sittard?
Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L; Fortuna Sittard 2W 2D 1L.

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