AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen prediction

Eredivisie · · AFAS Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AZ Alkmaar · NEC Nijmegen · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen, Eredivisie on Sun, 13 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AZ Alkmaar host NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie on Sunday 13 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

Eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, AZ Alkmaar have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.29. AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, NEC Nijmegen have one win, two draws and three defeats in their last 6 away matches in all competitions — 0.83 points per game, scoring 0.67 and conceding 2.17. NEC Nijmegen have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

AZ Alkmaar (second) and NEC Nijmegen (12th) are 10 points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AZ Alkmaar the stronger side, 215 rating points above NEC Nijmegen (AZ Alkmaar 1765, NEC Nijmegen 1550, after at least 184 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished AZ Alkmaar 5–1 NEC Nijmegen.

Team news

Predicted AZ Alkmaar XI (4-2-3-1): J. De Busser, L. Schouten, W. Goes, E. Dijkstra, M. Chávez, P. Koopmeiners, R. Daal, D. Kwakman, C. Stengs, J. Clasie, M. Meerdink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ro-Zangelo Daal (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Peer Koopmeiners (4.8 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been AZ Alkmaar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AZ Alkmaar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ro-Zangelo Daal averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 916 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Peer Koopmeiners averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted NEC Nijmegen XI (3-4-2-1): G. Crettaz, T. Storm, G. Brás, D. Fonville, D. Nejašmić, N. Lebreton, C. Bischoff, J. Monteiro, A. Tahaui, D. Geiger, T. Chery — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.3 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) and Tjaronn Chery (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Tjaronn Chery averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1471 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · AFAS Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AZ Alkmaar 3 · draws 1 · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L · NEC Nijmegen 0W 4D 1L

AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1
Goals
against 1.38 / 2.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.63
Corners
against 4.38 / 2.63 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 1.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAZ Alkmaar for / againstLineNEC Nijmegen for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
13.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 5.13 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
12.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Oufkir n 838.4
3.25/3
2.35/2
—
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
—
M. Chávez n 860.6
2.27/4
0.73/1
—
S. Maikuma n 822.5
22/1
23/1
—
K. Smit n 864.9
1.96/2
1.24/3
—
AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Byskov n 836
3.46/3
1.33/1
B. Kovacs n 823
2.93/3
0.51/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
2.63/1
2.63/1
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
2.47/4
1.96/4
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
0.94/1
00/0
V. Byskov n 836
00/0
0.93/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
0.71/1
00/0
D. Kasius n 840.1
00/0
0.62/0
R. Daal n 883
0.53/1
00/0
AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Maikuma n 822.5
5.55/2
M. Chávez n 860.6
3.55/5
M. de Wit n 857
2.45/5
P. Koopmeiners n 890
2.36/4
L. Schouten n 889.1
2.38/4
AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jari De Busser n 890
2.56/4
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 840
3.46/4
2.34/2
—
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.1
2.97/3
1.84/3
—
I. Hansen-Aarøen n 826.8
2.13/1
00/0
—
A. Kaplan n 855.1
26/2
2.24/3
—
Deveron Fonville n 882
1.98/5
0.86/0
—
NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sierhuis n 839.6
4.37/6
1.75/1
A. Thomas n 467.3
2.34/3
12/1
T. Chery n 883.4
2.26/5
1.25/2
Kevin Kers n 844.9
24/3
0.52/0
P. Schuurs n 835.8
1.94/2
0.93/0
NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schuurs n 835.8
0.62/0
0.62/0
W. Willumsson n 823.5
0.51/0
0.51/0
K. Sierhuis n 839.6
0.62/0
0.31/0
T. Chery n 883.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
Adam Tahaui n 849.1
0.52/0
00/0
NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.1
3.76/4
A. Kaplan n 855.1
3.14/3
A. Thomas n 467.3
2.74/3
Gabriel Brás n 574.8
2.64/3
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 840
2.55/3
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Polster n 883.8
4.26/5
G. Crettaz n 873.5
23/2

The day’s free picks, by email

Every morning at 07:30 UK: the model’s free picks, each with its confidence tier and that tier’s settled record, misses included. No tips, no guarantees, one click to leave.

Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v NEC Nijmegen — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AZ AlkmaarLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
NEC NijmegenLDDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AZ Alkmaar 3 · 1 draw · NEC Nijmegen 2 · 3.83 goals/game
  • 2026-04-19 AZ Alkmaar 5–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2026-01-31 AZ Alkmaar 1–3 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-09-28 NEC Nijmegen 2–1 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-03-29 NEC Nijmegen 3–3 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-08-17 AZ Alkmaar 1–0 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-04-28 NEC Nijmegen 0–3 AZ Alkmaar
League standing · 2026/27
AZ Alkmaar#2 pos20 pts9 pl+10 GD
NEC Nijmegen#12 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
Goals per game
AZ Alkmaar scored2.22
NEC Nijmegen scored1.67
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.11
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.78

See the full prediction

Pro members unlock every market for this match — result, goals, BTTS, corners, cards and player props — plus advanced & key match statistics, expected goals and value against the bookmakers.

Expected goals (xG)
Pro
Win probability & value
Pro
Try Pro for £1.00 — see all predictions

£1.00 for 14 days, then £9.99/month. Cancel in the trial and pay nothing more.

Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen?
In their last 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 3, NEC Nijmegen won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.83 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and NEC Nijmegen?
Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L; NEC Nijmegen 0W 4D 1L.

Today’s boards

Every fixture kicking off in the UK day, and the fixtures where the free pick leads with each market.

Predictions todayTomorrowBTTS boardOver 2.5 boardUnder 2.5 boardOver 1.5 boardHome win boardAway win boardDouble chance board
Share this prediction: X · Facebook · WhatsApp · Telegram

This page is generated from TACTIX’s match data by our software and checked automatically; data as of . How it works → · Report an error

How our model works · Live track record · Predictions are model output, not betting advice.

Unlock all predictions, advanced stats & value against the bookies with ProTry Pro for £1.00 →