AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven prediction

Eredivisie · · AFAS Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: AZ Alkmaar · PSV Eindhoven · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven, Eredivisie on Sun, 06 Dec 2026 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AZ Alkmaar host PSV Eindhoven in the Eredivisie on Sunday 6 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of PSV Eindhoven’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

PSV Eindhoven are unbeaten in the last six meetings with AZ Alkmaar, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, AZ Alkmaar have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.29. AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

11 of PSV Eindhoven’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Away from home, PSV Eindhoven have five wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 9 away matches in all competitions — 1.78 points per game, scoring 2.33 and conceding 1.33. PSV Eindhoven have scored 27 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). PSV Eindhoven have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

AZ Alkmaar (second) and PSV Eindhoven (third) are one point apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have PSV Eindhoven the stronger side, 132 rating points above AZ Alkmaar (PSV Eindhoven 1897, AZ Alkmaar 1765, after at least 307 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 7 March 2026, finished PSV Eindhoven 2–1 AZ Alkmaar.

Team news

Predicted AZ Alkmaar XI (4-2-3-1): J. De Busser, L. Schouten, W. Goes, E. Dijkstra, M. Chávez, P. Koopmeiners, R. Daal, D. Kwakman, C. Stengs, J. Clasie, M. Meerdink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ro-Zangelo Daal (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Peer Koopmeiners (4.8 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been AZ Alkmaar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AZ Alkmaar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ro-Zangelo Daal averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 916 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Peer Koopmeiners averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted PSV Eindhoven XI (4-2-3-1): M. Kovář, S. Dest, A. Obispo, M. Júnior, R. Flamingo, K. Sano, G. Til, R. van Bommel, P. Wanner, N. Fernandez, R. Pepi — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Sergiño Dest (5.0 per match over 11 appearances, three goals and two assists) and Mauro Júnior (4.4 per match over 11 appearances, one goal and two assists) have been PSV Eindhoven’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for PSV Eindhoven (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Sergiño Dest averages 1.5 tackles per 90 over 1512 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances. Mauro Júnior averages 2.2 tackles per 90 over 1050 minutes, with a tackle in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · AFAS Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AZ Alkmaar 0 · draws 1 · PSV Eindhoven 5 · 4.33 goals/game
  • Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L · PSV Eindhoven 2W 0D 3L

AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.75
Goals
against 1.38 / 1.13 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.88
Corners
against 4.38 / 4 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4.38
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 4.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.25
Cards
against 1.75 / 2.13 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 20 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAZ Alkmaar for / againstLinePSV Eindhoven for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.75 for · 1.13 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.88 for · 4 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
15.25 for · 14.63 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4.38 for · 4.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
11.75 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.25 for · 2.13 against n 8
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Oufkir n 838.4
3.25/3
2.35/2
—
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
—
M. Chávez n 860.6
2.27/4
0.73/1
—
S. Maikuma n 822.5
22/1
23/1
—
K. Smit n 864.9
1.96/2
1.24/3
—
AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Byskov n 836
3.46/3
1.33/1
B. Kovacs n 823
2.93/3
0.51/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
2.63/1
2.63/1
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
2.47/4
1.96/4
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
0.94/1
00/0
V. Byskov n 836
00/0
0.93/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
0.71/1
00/0
D. Kasius n 840.1
00/0
0.62/0
R. Daal n 883
0.53/1
00/0
AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Maikuma n 822.5
5.55/2
M. Chávez n 860.6
3.55/5
M. de Wit n 857
2.45/5
P. Koopmeiners n 890
2.36/4
L. Schouten n 889.1
2.38/4
AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jari De Busser n 890
2.56/4
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
D. Man n 844
2.86/5
0.52/0
—
A. Obispo n 877.4
2.66/6
0.64/0
—
Ruben van Bommel n 854.3
2.55/3
0.42/0
—
S. Mijnans n 863.8
1.87/3
1.26/1
—
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
1.33/0
0.51/0
—
PSV Eindhoven — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mikkel Bro Hansen n 815.1
4.54/1
33/1
S. Mijnans n 863.8
3.56/6
1.45/2
D. Man n 844
3.17/3
14/0
R. Pepi n 864.8
2.86/5
1.25/2
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
2.73/2
0.51/0
PSV Eindhoven — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
G. Til n 860
0.83/1
0.42/0
S. Mijnans n 863.8
0.72/1
0.42/0
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
00/0
0.91/1
E. Bajraktarevic n 861.4
00/0
0.72/2
Mikkel Bro Hansen n 815.1
0.71/0
00/0
PSV Eindhoven — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
A. Bouhamdi n 728.6
3.65/2
P. Wanner n 856.5
35/5
Mauro Júnior n 867.8
2.76/4
N. Fernandez n 853.3
2.55/4
Filip Kostić n 859.8
2.46/4
PSV Eindhoven — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 20 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Kovář n 890
3.26/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v PSV Eindhoven — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AZ AlkmaarLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
PSV EindhovenLWLLW
Last 5: 2W 0D 3L · 1.2 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AZ Alkmaar 0 · 1 draw · PSV Eindhoven 5 · 4.33 goals/game
  • 2026-03-07 PSV Eindhoven 2–1 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-11-09 AZ Alkmaar 1–5 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2025-01-11 PSV Eindhoven 2–2 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-10-19 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 PSV Eindhoven
  • 2024-04-06 PSV Eindhoven 5–1 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2023-12-17 AZ Alkmaar 0–4 PSV Eindhoven
League standing · 2026/27
AZ Alkmaar#2 pos20 pts9 pl+10 GD
PSV Eindhoven#3 pos19 pts9 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
AZ Alkmaar scored2.22
PSV Eindhoven scored3
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.11
PSV Eindhoven conceded1.33

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven?
In their last 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 0, PSV Eindhoven won 5 and there was 1 draw, averaging 4.33 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and PSV Eindhoven?
Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L; PSV Eindhoven 2W 0D 3L.

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