AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht prediction

Eredivisie · · AFAS Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

TACTIX’s free model pick for AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht, Eredivisie on Sun, 24 Jan 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

AZ Alkmaar host Utrecht in the Eredivisie on Sunday 24 January (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Form and the table

Eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). At home, AZ Alkmaar have five wins, two draws and no defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 2.43 points per game, scoring 2.86 and conceding 1.29. AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 10 of Utrecht’s last 15 results in all competitions (67%). Away from home, Utrecht have three wins, two draws and three defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.38 points per game, scoring 1.25 and conceding 2.25. Utrecht have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Utrecht have conceded 26 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs.

AZ Alkmaar (second) and Utrecht (11th) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AZ Alkmaar the stronger side, 67 rating points above Utrecht (AZ Alkmaar 1765, Utrecht 1698, after at least 312 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 15 August 2026, finished Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar.

Team news

Predicted AZ Alkmaar XI (4-2-3-1): J. De Busser, L. Schouten, W. Goes, E. Dijkstra, M. Chávez, P. Koopmeiners, R. Daal, D. Kwakman, C. Stengs, J. Clasie, M. Meerdink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ro-Zangelo Daal (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Peer Koopmeiners (4.8 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been AZ Alkmaar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AZ Alkmaar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ro-Zangelo Daal averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 916 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Peer Koopmeiners averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Utrecht XI (3-4-3): V. Barkas, S. Horemans, M. Didden, N. Panagiotou, D. van den Berg, D. de Wit, A. Zagré, N. Vesterlund, Y. Cathline, A. Stepanov, A. Stepanov — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, A. Stepanov (4.6 per match over three appearances, three goals) and Dani de Wit (3.9 per match over nine appearances, two goals and one assist) have been Utrecht’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Utrecht (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Dani de Wit averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 775 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · AFAS Stadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): AZ Alkmaar 2 · draws 2 · Utrecht 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • Recent form: AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L · Utrecht 2W 1D 2L

AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.88
Goals
against 1.38 / 3 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
6.13 / 4.13
Corners
against 4.38 / 6.38 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
5.5 / 4
Shots on target
against 3.88 / 7.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.75 / 2.13
Cards
against 1.75 / 1 · 4 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameAZ Alkmaar for / againstLineUtrecht for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.38 against n 8
2.5standard
1.88 for · 3 against n 8
Corners won
6.13 for · 4.38 against n 8
9.5standard
4.13 for · 6.38 against n 8
Shots
15 for · 10.88 against n 8
19.5standard
12.75 for · 18.38 against n 8
Shots on target
5.5 for · 3.88 against n 8
8.5standard
4 for · 7.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.5 for · 11.13 against n 8
21.5standard
16.25 for · 10.5 against n 8
Cards shown
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
2.13 for · 1 against n 8
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
A. Oufkir n 838.4
3.25/3
2.35/2
—
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
—
M. Chávez n 860.6
2.27/4
0.73/1
—
S. Maikuma n 822.5
22/1
23/1
—
K. Smit n 864.9
1.96/2
1.24/3
—
AZ Alkmaar — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
V. Byskov n 836
3.46/3
1.33/1
B. Kovacs n 823
2.93/3
0.51/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
2.63/1
2.63/1
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
2.47/4
1.96/4
Weslley Patati n 833.8
2.35/2
0.72/0
AZ Alkmaar — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Mexx Meerdink n 864.4
0.94/1
00/0
V. Byskov n 836
00/0
0.93/0
J. Hornkamp n 830.9
0.71/1
00/0
D. Kasius n 840.1
00/0
0.62/0
R. Daal n 883
0.53/1
00/0
AZ Alkmaar — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Maikuma n 822.5
5.55/2
M. Chávez n 860.6
3.55/5
M. de Wit n 857
2.45/5
P. Koopmeiners n 890
2.36/4
L. Schouten n 889.1
2.38/4
AZ Alkmaar — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
Jari De Busser n 890
2.56/4
Utrecht
Utrecht — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
S. van Duijn n 834.1
35/2
0.71/1
—
A. Blake n 831
2.95/2
3.35/4
—
M. Didden n 874.4
2.37/5
0.52/1
—
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/2
2.86/2
—
A. Zagré n 881.5
1.96/3
0.63/1
—
Utrecht — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Blake n 831
2.94/2
1.53/1
Ángel Alarcón n 863.5
2.35/4
1.24/2
Y. Cathline n 862.8
2.36/3
0.41/1
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
1.76/3
0.85/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
1.46/2
0.85/0
Utrecht — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
Y. Cathline n 862.8
0.41/1
0.42/0
A. Blake n 831
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Stepanov n 871.6
0.64/0
00/0
Artem Stepanov n 866.3
0.53/0
00/0
Ángel Alarcón n 863.5
0.52/1
00/0
Utrecht — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
D. van den Berg n 854.4
2.77/4
P. Kloosterboer n 324.7
2.42/0
A. Zagré n 881.5
2.27/6
M. Broholm n 839.6
24/3
S. Horemans n 881.9
1.97/4
Utrecht — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
V. Barkas n 893.8
4.37/6
S. Padt n 890
4.37/7

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
AZ AlkmaarLWLWD
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1 scored / 1.2 conceded per game
UtrechtLDWLW
Last 5: 2W 1D 2L · 1.6 scored / 3.2 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
AZ Alkmaar 2 · 2 draws · Utrecht 2 · 3.5 goals/game
  • 2026-08-15 Utrecht 1–4 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2026-03-01 Utrecht 2–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2025-10-26 AZ Alkmaar 4–1 Utrecht
  • 2025-01-18 Utrecht 0–0 AZ Alkmaar
  • 2024-09-29 AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Utrecht
  • 2024-05-19 AZ Alkmaar 3–3 Utrecht
League standing · 2026/27
AZ Alkmaar#2 pos20 pts9 pl+10 GD
Utrecht#11 pos11 pts9 pl-10 GD
Goals per game
AZ Alkmaar scored2.22
Utrecht scored1.78
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.11
Utrecht conceded2.89

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between AZ Alkmaar and Utrecht?
In their last 6 meetings, AZ Alkmaar won 2, Utrecht won 2 and there were 2 draws, averaging 3.5 goals per game.
What is the recent form of AZ Alkmaar and Utrecht?
Recent form — AZ Alkmaar 2W 1D 2L; Utrecht 2W 1D 2L.

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