Excelsior v AZ Alkmaar prediction

The match

Excelsior host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie on Sunday 20 December (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

12 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Excelsior are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. AZ Alkmaar are unbeaten in the last six meetings with Excelsior, every meeting checked.

Form and the table

Both teams scored in 11 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, Excelsior have two wins, one draw and four defeats in their last 7 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.57 and conceding 1.86. Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Excelsior have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Eight of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (53%). Both teams scored in nine of AZ Alkmaar’s last 15 results in all competitions (60%). Away from home, AZ Alkmaar have three wins, three draws and two defeats in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.50 points per game, scoring 1.50 and conceding 1.13. AZ Alkmaar have scored 20 goals, the fifth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). AZ Alkmaar have conceded 10 goals, the fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Excelsior (10th) and AZ Alkmaar (second) are nine points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have AZ Alkmaar the stronger side, 274 rating points above Excelsior (AZ Alkmaar 1765, Excelsior 1491, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 14 February 2026, finished Excelsior 1–2 AZ Alkmaar.

Team news

Predicted Excelsior XI (4-3-3): S. van Gassel, C. Widell, J. Plug, S. Janssen, R. Meissen, I. Yegoian, L. Hartjes, D. van Vianen, D. Garden, A. Sliti, Á. Þorsteinsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Irakli Yegoian (7.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and five assists) and Casper Widell (3.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Excelsior’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Excelsior (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Irakli Yegoian averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Casper Widell averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 736 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Predicted AZ Alkmaar XI (4-2-3-1): J. De Busser, L. Schouten, W. Goes, E. Dijkstra, M. Chávez, P. Koopmeiners, R. Daal, D. Kwakman, C. Stengs, J. Clasie, M. Meerdink — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Ro-Zangelo Daal (5.8 per match over 11 appearances, five goals) and Peer Koopmeiners (4.8 per match over 11 appearances, two goals and one assist) have been AZ Alkmaar’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for AZ Alkmaar (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Ro-Zangelo Daal averages 2.2 key passes per 90 over 916 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Peer Koopmeiners averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 985 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances.