Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior prediction

Eredivisie · · Fortuna Sittard Stadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: Fortuna Sittard · Excelsior · Head-to-head

TACTIX model preview

TACTIX’s model makes Home or Away the free pick for Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior, Eredivisie on Sun, 25 Oct 2026 11:15 GMT.

Free pick
Home or Away
This is one free selection. The model’s confidence rating, value against the bookmakers and every other market are part of Pro.
The record in this market: of the calls the model rated 70% or more on Home or Away in the last 90 days, 77.2% of 4535 landed (95% range 76–78.4%); it had given them 74.3% on average. That is the market’s record, not a forecast for this pick. How accurate →
Match preview, in numbers

The match

Fortuna Sittard host Excelsior in the Eredivisie on Sunday 25 October (kick-off 11:15 UK); the model’s free pick is Fortuna Sittard or Excelsior (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

Both teams scored in 12 of Fortuna Sittard’s last 15 results in all competitions (80%).

12 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (80%).

Fortuna Sittard have scored in five consecutive matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

10 of Fortuna Sittard’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (67%). At home, Fortuna Sittard have two wins, two draws and four defeats in their last 8 home matches in all competitions — 1.00 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 2.00. Fortuna Sittard have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Fortuna Sittard have conceded 17 goals, the eighth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 11 of Excelsior’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). Away from home, Excelsior have three wins, four draws and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 1.63 points per game, scoring 2.13 and conceding 1.88. Excelsior have scored 16 goals, the eighth-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Excelsior have conceded 18 goals, the ninth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Fortuna Sittard are winless in their last three matches in all competitions. Excelsior are winless in their last five matches in all competitions. Fortuna Sittard (sixth) and Excelsior (10th) are four points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fortuna Sittard the stronger side, 99 rating points above Excelsior (Fortuna Sittard 1590, Excelsior 1491, after at least 189 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior.

Team news

Predicted Fortuna Sittard XI (4-3-3): M. Branderhorst, J. Hubner, I. Pinto, R. Guth, S. van Ottele, É. Michut, S. 't Zand, Y. Oukili, L. Zeefuik, A. Descotte, M. Ihattaren — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Édouard Michut (4.8 per match over nine appearances, one goal and two assists) and Mohamed Ihattaren (4.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Fortuna Sittard’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fortuna Sittard (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Édouard Michut averages 1.5 key passes per 90 over 700 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last nine appearances. Mohamed Ihattaren averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 578 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.

Predicted Excelsior XI (4-3-3): S. van Gassel, C. Widell, J. Plug, S. Janssen, R. Meissen, I. Yegoian, L. Hartjes, D. van Vianen, D. Garden, A. Sliti, Á. Þorsteinsson — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Irakli Yegoian (7.1 per match over nine appearances, three goals and five assists) and Casper Widell (3.6 per match over nine appearances, one goal) have been Excelsior’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Excelsior (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Irakli Yegoian averages 2.0 key passes per 90 over 857 minutes, with a key pass in eight of the last 10 appearances. Casper Widell averages 0.7 tackles per 90 over 736 minutes, with a tackle in four of the last nine appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Fortuna Sittard Stadion
  • Model coverage: 246 markets priced for this fixture
  • Head-to-head (last 6): Fortuna Sittard 3 · draws 1 · Excelsior 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • Recent form: Fortuna Sittard 2W 2D 1L · Excelsior 0W 2D 3L

Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 19 October 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1.75 / 1.5
Goals
against 1.88 / 2.25 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.25
over 8 matches
2.5 / 3.25
Corners
against 8.38 / 5.13 · 3 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4.25 / 3.38
Shots on target
against 6.25 / 5.63 · 3 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.63 / 1.5
Cards
against 1.88 / 0.88 · 3 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches
246
Markets analysed

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Lines marked “our book” are this fixture’s; the rest are standard thresholds, not prices.
Per gameFortuna Sittard for / againstLineExcelsior for / against
Goals scored
1.75 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.25our book
1.5 for · 2.25 against n 8
Corners won
2.5 for · 8.38 against n 8
9.5standard
3.25 for · 5.13 against n 8
Shots
10.25 for · 19.5 against n 8
19.5standard
10.25 for · 16.25 against n 8
Shots on target
4.25 for · 6.25 against n 8
8.5standard
3.38 for · 5.63 against n 8
Fouls committed
9.63 for · 12.25 against n 8
21.5standard
11.63 for · 7.38 against n 8
Cards shown
1.63 for · 1.88 against n 8
3.5standard
1.5 for · 0.88 against n 8
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
L. Zeefuik n 872.5
2.37/4
1.66/3
—
Y. Oukili n 851.4
26/3
0.93/1
—
A. Descotte n 865.5
1.56/2
1.43/3
—
D. Sinkgraven n 838.6
1.54/1
1.73/2
—
S. Wylin n 862.4
1.33/3
0.42/0
—
Fortuna Sittard — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
A. Descotte n 865.5
2.25/4
1.75/4
O. Romeny n 844.1
1.83/3
1.33/2
L. Zeefuik n 872.5
1.65/2
0.84/1
M. Ihattaren n 872.3
1.66/2
1.13/2
S. 't Zand n 874.6
1.47/2
0.96/0
Fortuna Sittard — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
M. Ihattaren n 872.3
0.52/1
0.53/0
A. Descotte n 865.5
0.94/1
00/0
L. Zeefuik n 872.5
0.53/0
0.21/0
S. 't Zand n 874.6
0.21/0
0.21/0
P. Brittijn n 890
0.32/0
00/0
Fortuna Sittard — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Moussa Gbemou n 89.3
6.14/1
D. Sinkgraven n 838.6
4.46/3
N. de Groot n 830
33/3
Ivo Pinto n 883.6
2.88/5
É. Michut n 883.9
27/5
Fortuna Sittard — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. Branderhorst n 890
4.56/6
Excelsior
Excelsior — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
N. Groen n 620.2
4.55/1
00/0
—
V. Sulzbacher n 831.4
3.26/3
1.13/0
—
Alireza Jahanbakhsh n 818.4
3.14/1
00/0
—
Giulliano Cairo n 39.7
3.11/0
00/0
—
N. Naujoks n 875
1.78/2
0.94/2
—
Excelsior — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
Mario Domínguez n 816.6
4.13/2
0.71/0
N. Groen n 620.2
33/1
1.52/0
Alireza Jahanbakhsh n 818.4
2.44/0
0.61/0
N. Naujoks n 875
25/4
0.94/2
A. Sliti n 862.4
25/4
0.93/2
Excelsior — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
V. Sulzbacher n 831.4
0.41/0
0.41/0
A. Sliti n 862.4
0.53/0
0.21/0
N. Groen n 620.2
0.71/0
00/0
Irakli Yegoian n 864
0.21/0
0.42/0
N. Naujoks n 875
0.63/1
00/0
Excelsior — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Giulliano Cairo n 39.7
9.32/1
D. van Vianen n 761.9
3.15/2
K. Bos n 848.5
2.66/3
J. Plug n 890
2.58/7
V. Sulzbacher n 831.4
2.55/2
Excelsior — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
S. van Gassel n 890
3.66/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
Fortuna SittardWWLDD
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2 scored / 2.4 conceded per game
ExcelsiorDLDLL
Last 5: 0W 2D 3L · 1.2 scored / 3 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
Fortuna Sittard 3 · 1 draw · Excelsior 2 · 3.17 goals/game
  • 2026-02-20 Fortuna Sittard 2–1 Excelsior
  • 2025-10-19 Excelsior 1–0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2024-03-03 Fortuna Sittard 5–2 Excelsior
  • 2023-08-26 Excelsior 2–2 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2023-05-21 Excelsior 3–0 Fortuna Sittard
  • 2022-09-17 Fortuna Sittard 1–0 Excelsior
League standing · 2026/27
Fortuna Sittard#6 pos15 pts9 pl-1 GD
Excelsior#10 pos11 pts9 pl-2 GD
Goals per game
Fortuna Sittard scored1.78
Excelsior scored1.78
Fortuna Sittard conceded1.89
Excelsior conceded2

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Frequently asked questions

Who is predicted to win Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior?
TACTIX’s free model pick for Fortuna Sittard v Excelsior is Home or Away.
What is the head-to-head record between Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior?
In their last 6 meetings, Fortuna Sittard won 3, Excelsior won 2 and there was 1 draw, averaging 3.17 goals per game.
What is the recent form of Fortuna Sittard and Excelsior?
Recent form — Fortuna Sittard 2W 2D 1L; Excelsior 0W 2D 3L.

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