NEC Nijmegen v Ajax prediction

Eredivisie · · Goffertstadion

Updated · refreshed continuously

Team pages: NEC Nijmegen · Ajax · Head-to-head

TACTIX’s free model pick for NEC Nijmegen v Ajax, Eredivisie on Sun, 21 Mar 2027 16:00 GMT posts shortly before kick-off. Form, head-to-head and league standing for both sides are below.

Match preview, in numbers

The match

NEC Nijmegen host Ajax in the Eredivisie on Sunday 21 March (kick-off 16:00 UK).

The key numbers

13 of Ajax’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (87%).

Ajax have scored in at least 15 consecutive matches in all competitions. NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last eight matches in all competitions.

Form and the table

11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results in all competitions (73%). At home, NEC Nijmegen have two wins, four draws and three defeats in their last 9 home matches in all competitions — 1.11 points per game, scoring 1.44 and conceding 1.78. NEC Nijmegen have scored 15 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 16 goals, the seventh-fewest of the 18 clubs.

Both teams scored in 13 of Ajax’s last 15 results in all competitions (87%). Away from home, Ajax have six wins, one draw and one defeat in their last 8 away matches in all competitions — 2.38 points per game, scoring 3.38 and conceding 1.25. Ajax have scored 27 goals, the second-most (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Ajax have conceded 12 goals, the fifth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen (12th) and Ajax (fourth) are eight points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Ajax the stronger side, 308 rating points above NEC Nijmegen (Ajax 1858, NEC Nijmegen 1550, after at least 184 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

NEC Nijmegen are unbeaten in the last four meetings with Ajax. The most recent meeting, on 10 October 2026, finished Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen.

Team news

Predicted NEC Nijmegen XI (3-4-2-1): G. Crettaz, T. Storm, G. Brás, D. Fonville, D. Nejašmić, N. Lebreton, C. Bischoff, J. Monteiro, A. Tahaui, D. Geiger, T. Chery — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.2 per match over 13 appearances, one goal) and Tjaronn Chery (4.0 per match over 13 appearances, five goals and two assists) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.2 key passes per 90 over 1085 minutes, with a key pass in seven of the last 10 appearances. Tjaronn Chery averages 2.3 shots per 90 over 1471 minutes, with a shot in eight of the last 10 appearances.

Predicted Ajax XI (4-3-3): M. ter Stegen, Y. Baas, C. Henrique, A. Bouwman, T. Kehrer, J. Mokio, D. Klaassen, J. Brandt, O. Gloukh, T. Arokodare, K. Dolberg — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven. By TACTIX Impact, Mika Godts (8.0 per match over four appearances, one goal and three assists) and T. Kehrer (4.7 per match over six appearances, one goal and two assists) have been Ajax’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Ajax (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Mika Godts averages 2.2 shots per 90 over 842 minutes, with a shot in six of the last 10 appearances. T. Kehrer averages 1.6 tackles per 90 over 452 minutes, with a tackle in five of the last seven appearances.

Written from the matches TACTIX holds for both sides; each figure names the games it is counted over.

The numbers

  • Kick-off: · Eredivisie · Goffertstadion
  • Head-to-head (last 6): NEC Nijmegen 1 · draws 4 · Ajax 1 · 3 goals/game
  • Recent form: NEC Nijmegen 0W 4D 1L · Ajax 2W 2D 1L

NEC Nijmegen v Ajax (Eredivisie): the key numbers are on this page — and TACTIX’s live, market-by-market track record is one click away (as of 30 July 2026). See the live track record →

Key stats

1 / 3
Goals
against 2.25 / 1.5 · 2 of the last 5 over 2.5
over 8 matches
4.63 / 6.5
Corners
against 2.63 / 3.25 · 2 of the last 5 over 9.5
over 8 matches
4 / 8.25
Shots on target
against 5.13 / 4.25 · 4 of the last 5 over 8.5
over 8 matches
1.25 / 1.75
Cards
against 1.75 / 1.75 · 1 of the last 5 over 3.5
over 8 matches

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.

Per game, last 8 completed matches, to 18 October 2026. Bars: for (mint) against (amber), scaled to the larger figure in the row. Over/under figures use standard thresholds, not bookmaker lines.
Per gameNEC Nijmegen for / againstLineAjax for / against
Goals scored
1 for · 2.25 against n 8
2.5standard
3 for · 1.5 against n 8
Corners won
4.63 for · 2.63 against n 8
9.5standard
6.5 for · 3.25 against n 8
Shots
13.88 for · 12.13 against n 8
19.5standard
21.13 for · 10.38 against n 8
Shots on target
4 for · 5.13 against n 8
8.5standard
8.25 for · 4.25 against n 8
Fouls committed
12.13 for · 11.75 against n 8
21.5standard
10.13 for · 11.13 against n 8
Cards shown
1.25 for · 1.75 against n 8
3.5standard
1.75 for · 1.75 against n 8
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 840
3.46/4
2.34/2
—
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.1
2.97/3
1.84/3
—
I. Hansen-Aarøen n 826.8
2.13/1
00/0
—
A. Kaplan n 855.1
26/2
2.24/3
—
Deveron Fonville n 882
1.98/5
0.86/0
—
NEC Nijmegen — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
K. Sierhuis n 839.6
4.37/6
1.75/1
A. Thomas n 467.3
2.34/3
12/1
T. Chery n 883.4
2.26/5
1.25/2
Kevin Kers n 844.9
24/3
0.52/0
P. Schuurs n 835.8
1.94/2
0.93/0
NEC Nijmegen — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
P. Schuurs n 835.8
0.62/0
0.62/0
W. Willumsson n 823.5
0.51/0
0.51/0
K. Sierhuis n 839.6
0.62/0
0.31/0
T. Chery n 883.4
0.53/1
0.11/0
Adam Tahaui n 849.1
0.52/0
00/0
NEC Nijmegen — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
Jamiro Monteiro n 843.1
3.76/4
A. Kaplan n 855.1
3.14/3
A. Thomas n 467.3
2.74/3
Gabriel Brás n 574.8
2.64/3
Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar n 840
2.55/3
NEC Nijmegen — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
N. Polster n 883.8
4.26/5
G. Crettaz n 873.5
23/2
Ajax
Ajax — Discipline: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsFouls committed 1+2+Fouls won 1+2+Likely duel
J. Mokio n 872.8
2.27/4
0.64/0
—
V. Tsygankov n 863.9
1.85/3
1.85/5
—
A. Gaaei n 879.5
1.75/3
0.63/1
—
D. Janse n 864.1
1.64/3
0.53/0
—
Lucas Rosa n 868.6
1.54/3
1.35/3
—
Ajax — Shooting: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsShots 1+2+Shots on target 1+2+
T. Arokodare n 861.5
4.98/7
1.87/2
Marcos Leonardo n 835.8
4.46/4
2.24/3
A. Ouazane n 829.1
4.27/3
2.35/1
K. Dolberg n 856.4
3.27/5
1.45/2
S. Berghuis n 867.6
38/7
1.57/2
Ajax — Goalscoring: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsGoals 1+2+Assists 1+2+
K. Dolberg n 856.4
0.63/0
0.62/1
T. Arokodare n 861.5
1.15/1
00/0
D. Klaassen n 856.5
0.84/0
0.21/0
J. Brandt n 880.1
0.74/1
00/0
T. Kehrer n 859.1
0.21/0
0.42/0
Ajax — Tackles: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 1+, lower cell 2+.
PlayerMinsTackles 1+2+
S. Amrabat n 858.9
2.98/3
Jofre Torrents n 632.2
2.85/1
A. Gaaei n 879.5
2.78/6
Lucas Rosa n 868.6
2.65/4
J. Mokio n 872.8
2.38/4
Ajax — Goalkeeper saves: per 90 minutes, each player’s last 8 appearances before kick-off, to 18 October 2026. Meter: one column per match, newest first; upper cell 2+, lower cell 3+.
PlayerMinsSaves 2+3+
M. ter Stegen n 890
3.66/5
M. Paes n 894.6
2.46/5

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Form, head-to-head & standings

The numbers behind NEC Nijmegen v Ajax — recent results, past meetings and where each side sits. (TACTIX’s model forecast is in the projections below.)

Recent form
NEC NijmegenLDDDD
Last 5: 0W 4D 1L · 1 scored / 2 conceded per game
AjaxWDDLW
Last 5: 2W 2D 1L · 2.8 scored / 1.6 conceded per game
Head-to-head last 6
NEC Nijmegen 1 · 4 draws · Ajax 1 · 3 goals/game
  • 2026-10-10 Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2026-02-21 Ajax 1–1 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2025-12-20 NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Ajax
  • 2025-05-11 Ajax 0–3 NEC Nijmegen
  • 2024-12-01 NEC Nijmegen 1–2 Ajax
  • 2024-02-18 Ajax 2–2 NEC Nijmegen
League standing · 2026/27
NEC Nijmegen#12 pos10 pts9 pl-1 GD
Ajax#4 pos18 pts9 pl+15 GD
Goals per game
NEC Nijmegen scored1.67
Ajax scored3
NEC Nijmegen conceded1.78
Ajax conceded1.33

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Frequently asked questions

What is the head-to-head record between NEC Nijmegen and Ajax?
In their last 6 meetings, NEC Nijmegen won 1, Ajax won 1 and there were 4 draws, averaging 3 goals per game.
What is the recent form of NEC Nijmegen and Ajax?
Recent form — NEC Nijmegen 0W 4D 1L; Ajax 2W 2D 1L.

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