NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard prediction

The match

NEC Nijmegen host Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie on Sunday 18 October (kick-off 19:00 UK); the model’s free pick is NEC Nijmegen or Fortuna Sittard (no draw), a Bronze-tier call.

The key numbers

NEC Nijmegen are winless in their last seven matches.

Fortuna Sittard have scored in five consecutive matches.

Form and the table

11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (73%). Both teams scored in 11 of NEC Nijmegen’s last 15 results (73%). At home, NEC Nijmegen have two wins, three draws and three defeats in their last 8 home matches — 1.13 points per game, scoring 1.38 and conceding 1.75. NEC Nijmegen have scored 13 goals, the sixth-fewest of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). NEC Nijmegen have conceded 14 goals, the seventh-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs.

Nine of Fortuna Sittard’s last 15 results went over 2.5 goals (60%). Both teams scored in 11 of Fortuna Sittard’s last 15 results (73%). Away from home, Fortuna Sittard have three wins, one draw and three defeats in their last 7 away matches — 1.43 points per game, scoring 1.43 and conceding 1.71. Fortuna Sittard have scored 14 goals, the eighth-fewest (shared) of the 18 clubs (2026/27 so far). Fortuna Sittard have conceded 15 goals, the ninth-fewest of the 18 clubs.

NEC Nijmegen (11th) and Fortuna Sittard (seventh) are five points apart, 2026/27 so far. TACTIX’s Glicko-2 team ratings have Fortuna Sittard the stronger side, 34 rating points above NEC Nijmegen (Fortuna Sittard 1587, NEC Nijmegen 1553, after at least 183 rated matches each).

Head-to-head

The most recent meeting, on 28 February 2026, finished NEC Nijmegen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard.

Team news

NEC Nijmegen have five names on the availability list: B. Nuytinck (out, Ankle Injury), E. Mor (out, Groin Injury), P. Sandler (out, Injury), A. Thomas (doubtful, Inactive) and D. Tadic (doubtful, Injury) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted NEC Nijmegen XI (3-4-2-1): G. Crettaz, T. Storm, D. Fonville, G. Brás, D. Nejašmić, N. Lebreton, C. Bischoff, J. Monteiro, A. Tahaui, D. Geiger, T. Chery — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Darko Nejašmić (4.3 per match over 12 appearances, one goal) and Deveron Fonville (4.1 per match over nine appearances) have been NEC Nijmegen’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for NEC Nijmegen (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Darko Nejašmić averages 1.1 key passes per 90 over 995 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last 10 appearances. Deveron Fonville averages 2.0 tackles per 90 over 1106 minutes, with a tackle in nine of the last 10 appearances.

Fortuna Sittard have four names on the availability list: I. Marquez (out, Injury), R. Bayram (out, Knee Injury), Y. Oukili (out, Groin Injury) and J. Dahlhaus (doubtful, Inactive) — the squad report for this match, fetched 2026-10-17. Predicted Fortuna Sittard XI (5-3-2): M. Branderhorst, J. Hubner, I. Pinto, R. Guth, S. van Ottele, S. Wylin, É. Michut, S. 't Zand, P. Brittijn, L. Zeefuik, A. Descotte — derived from the last 8 line-ups, most-used eleven, one position borrowed or covered. By TACTIX Impact, Édouard Michut (4.7 per match over eight appearances, one goal and two assists) and Mohamed Ihattaren (4.1 per match over eight appearances, three goals and three assists) have been Fortuna Sittard’s most influential players 2026/27, all competitions. In numbers for Fortuna Sittard (2026/27, all competitions, before kick-off), Édouard Michut averages 1.8 key passes per 90 over 610 minutes, with a key pass in five of the last eight appearances. Mohamed Ihattaren averages 1.7 key passes per 90 over 578 minutes, with a key pass in six of the last eight appearances.